ACHC

Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc.

55
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

ACHC offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR has the edge over ACHC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

ACHC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Under pressure
Weak

ACHC's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ACHC PE Valuation

ACHC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

ACHC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ACHC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for OSCR, with profitability improving.

ACHC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+62%$61.42
Downside-38%$23.61

Calculated from the latest close: $37.81 on Nov 12.

ACHC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OSCR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR trails ACHC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ACHC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.24Q1 2024: $-0.13Q2 2024: $-0.07Q3 2024: $3.06Q4 2024: $2.78Q1 2025: $2.04Q2 2025: $1.52Q3 2025: $1.18Q4 2025: $-12.16Q1 2026: $-12.20Q2 2026: $-12.41Q3 2026: $-12.43Forward: $2.02
Q4 2023: $-0.24Q1 2024: $-0.13Q2 2024: $-0.07Q3 2024: $3.06Q4 2024: $2.78Q1 2025: $2.04Q2 2025: $1.52Q3 2025: $1.18Q4 2025: $-12.16Q1 2026: $-12.20Q2 2026: $-12.41Q3 2026: $-12.43Forward: $2.02
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.02—
Q3 2026-$12.43-1153%
Q2 2026-$12.41-916%
Q1 2026-$12.20-698%
Q4 2025-$12.16-537%
Q3 2025$1.18-61%
Q2 2025$1.52+$1.59
Q1 2025$2.04+$2.17
Q4 2024$2.78+$3.02

ACHC has swung to a loss: it lost $12.43 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has the edge over ACHC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ACHC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $743MQ1 2024: $768MQ2 2024: $796MQ3 2024: $816MQ4 2024: $774MQ1 2025: $771MQ2 2025: $869MQ3 2025: $852MQ4 2025: $821MQ1 2026: $829MQ2 2026: $866MQ3 2026: $895M
Q4 2023: $743MQ1 2024: $768MQ2 2024: $796MQ3 2024: $816MQ4 2024: $774MQ1 2025: $771MQ2 2025: $869MQ3 2025: $852MQ4 2025: $821MQ1 2026: $829MQ2 2026: $866MQ3 2026: $895M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$895.3M+5.1%
Q2 2026$865.8M-0.4%
Q1 2026$828.8M+7.6%
Q4 2025$821.5M+6.1%
Q3 2025$851.6M+4.4%
Q2 2025$869.2M+9.2%
Q1 2025$770.5M+0.3%
Q4 2024$774.2M+4.2%

ACHC's revenue is growing: $895M last quarter, up 5.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over ACHC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ACHC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: −$464MQ2 2024: $17MQ3 2024: −$27MQ4 2024: −$87MQ1 2025: −$163MQ2 2025: −$34MQ3 2025: −$63MQ4 2025: −$179MQ1 2026: −$15MQ2 2026: $124MQ3 2026: $47M
Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: −$464MQ2 2024: $17MQ3 2024: −$27MQ4 2024: −$87MQ1 2025: −$163MQ2 2025: −$34MQ3 2025: −$63MQ4 2025: −$179MQ1 2026: −$15MQ2 2026: $124MQ3 2026: $47M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$47.1M+$110.2M
Q2 2026$123.5M+$157.8M
Q1 2026-$15M+$148.1M
Q4 2025-$179.5M-$92.7M
Q3 2025-$63M-$35.9M
Q2 2025-$34.2M-303%
Q1 2025-$163.2M+$300.5M
Q4 2024-$86.8M-$64.4M

ACHC has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$24M over the past year, against −$347M the year before.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR has the edge over ACHC on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ACHC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 91MQ1 2024: 92MQ2 2024: 92MQ3 2024: 92MQ4 2024: 92MQ1 2025: 92MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 91MQ4 2025: 91MQ1 2026: 91MQ2 2026: 91MQ3 2026: 92M
Q4 2023: 91MQ1 2024: 92MQ2 2024: 92MQ3 2024: 92MQ4 2024: 92MQ1 2025: 92MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 91MQ4 2025: 91MQ1 2026: 91MQ2 2026: 91MQ3 2026: 92M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+372K shares
1 year+1.3%+1.2M shares
3 years+0.6%+578K shares
5 years+0.9%+857K shares
Available history+4.5%+3.9M shares

ACHC has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

ACHC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 11.9xQ1 2024: 14.2xQ2 2024: 12.7xQ3 2024: 3.4xQ4 2024: 3.8xQ1 2025: 5.1xQ2 2025: 5.7xQ3 2025: 6.8x
Q4 2023: 11.9xQ1 2024: 14.2xQ2 2024: 12.7xQ3 2024: 3.4xQ4 2024: 3.8xQ1 2025: 5.1xQ2 2025: 5.7xQ3 2025: 6.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20256.8xHigh
Q2 20255.7xHigh
Q1 20255.1xHigh
Q4 20243.8xElevated
Q3 20243.4xElevated
Q2 202412.7xHigh
Q1 202414.2xHigh
Q4 202311.9xHigh

ACHC's net debt is about 6.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.4 years a year ago.

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has more cash than debt.

ACHC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI70.3Overbought
Stochastic70.2Neutral

ACHC's weekly RSI is 70 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 70 (neutral).

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

ACHC PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricACHCSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

ACHC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR is trading at 13x earnings, a 50% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

ACHC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.520% above
20 week MA$30.923% above
50 week MA$24.852% above
100 week MA$25.946% above
200 week MA$48.622% below

ACHC has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 22% below its 200-week average.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR has the edge over ACHC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ACHC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$33.0$49.3+49%
2021$49.3$59.1+20%
2022$59.1$83.0+40%
2023$83.0$77.8-6.3%
2024$77.8$38.0-51%
2025$38.0$14.7-61%
2026 YTD$14.7$37.8+157%

ACHC has the edge over OSCR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +314% in 2023 to −74% in 2021. It's up 114% so far in 2026.

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