ACGL

Arch Capital Group Ltd.

50
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation45/ 100
Upside potential37/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

ACGL's fundamentals are mixed: its operating margin rose 7 points to 26%, but revenue fell 3.9%. At 8.9x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 9.3x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.

CIFR

Cipher Mining Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score CIFR yet.

ACGL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Strong
N/A
N/A

ACGL's profitability is currently strong, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ACGL.

CIFR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

CIFR's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIFR.

ACGL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.4x11x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.4x11x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.8x$95.05-13%
Current9x$109โ€”
Fair9.3x$113+3.8%
Forward11x$109โ€”
Expensive12x$152+40%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ACGL's PE is in its fair range at 8.9x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 11x, in its expensive range.

CIFR PE Valuation

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ACGL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect ACGL's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline.

CIFR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

CIFR has the edge over ACGL on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

ACGL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+11%$120.83
Downside-18%$89.12

Calculated from the latest close: $109.24 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ACGL and CIFR's risk to reward.

CIFR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $7.15 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ACGL and CIFR's risk to reward.

ACGL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.62Q1 2024: $12.67Q2 2024: $14.22Q3 2024: $14.90Q4 2024: $11.19Q1 2025: $9.75Q2 2025: $9.68Q3 2025: $10.68Q4 2025: $11.60Q1 2026: $13.00Q2 2026: $12.77Q3 2026: $12.21Forward: $9.79
Q4 2023: $11.62Q1 2024: $12.67Q2 2024: $14.22Q3 2024: $14.90Q4 2024: $11.19Q1 2025: $9.75Q2 2025: $9.68Q3 2025: $10.68Q4 2025: $11.60Q1 2026: $13.00Q2 2026: $12.77Q3 2026: $12.21Forward: $9.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.79-20%
Q3 2026$12.21+14%
Q2 2026$12.77+32%
Q1 2026$13.00+33%
Q4 2025$11.60+3.7%
Q3 2025$10.68-28%
Q2 2025$9.68-32%
Q1 2025$9.75-23%
Q4 2024$11.19-3.7%

ACGL has the edge over CIFR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CIFR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.06-$2.86
Q2 2026-$2.85-$2.40
Q1 2026-$2.32-$1.94
Q4 2025-$2.15-$2.01
Q3 2025-$0.20-$0.07
Q2 2025-$0.45-850%
Q1 2025-$0.38-733%
Q4 2024-$0.14-$0.04

CIFR lost $3.06 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.

ACGL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $4.2BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: $4.5BQ1 2025: $4.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $4.5BQ2 2026: $4.7BQ3 2026: $4.7B
Q4 2023: $4BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $4.2BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: $4.5BQ1 2025: $4.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $4.5BQ2 2026: $4.7BQ3 2026: $4.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.7B-8.9%
Q2 2026$4.7B-10%
Q1 2026$4.5B-3.3%
Q4 2025$4.9B+8.5%
Q3 2025$5.1B+8.2%
Q2 2025$5.2B+23%
Q1 2025$4.7B+19%
Q4 2024$4.5B+14%

ACGL has the edge over CIFR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIFR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$26.7M-63%
Q2 2026$24.8M-43%
Q1 2026$34.8M-29%
Q4 2025$59.7M+41%
Q3 2025$71.7M+198%
Q2 2025$43.6M+18%
Q1 2025$49M+1.7%
Q4 2024$42.2M-2.8%

CIFR's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $27M last quarter, down 63% from the same quarter a year ago.

ACGL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $2.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.7B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $2.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.7B-20%
Q2 2026$1.3B+18%
Q1 2026$1.2B-19%
Q4 2025$1.4B-11%
Q2 2025$1.1B-26%
Q1 2025$1.4B-6.5%
Q4 2024$1.6B-5.5%
Q2 2024$1.5B+33%

ACGL has the edge over CIFR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CIFR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$114MQ1 2024: โˆ’$35MQ2 2024: โˆ’$33MQ3 2024: โˆ’$83MQ4 2024: โˆ’$76MQ1 2025: โˆ’$72MQ2 2025: โˆ’$88MQ3 2025: โˆ’$256MQ4 2025: โˆ’$280MQ1 2026: โˆ’$462MQ2 2026: โˆ’$654MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.7B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$114MQ1 2024: โˆ’$35MQ2 2024: โˆ’$33MQ3 2024: โˆ’$83MQ4 2024: โˆ’$76MQ1 2025: โˆ’$72MQ2 2025: โˆ’$88MQ3 2025: โˆ’$256MQ4 2025: โˆ’$280MQ1 2026: โˆ’$462MQ2 2026: โˆ’$654MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.7B-$1.4B
Q2 2026-$653.8M-$566.3M
Q1 2026-$462.5M-$390.7M
Q4 2025-$280.3M-$204.2M
Q3 2025-$256.2M-$173.1M
Q2 2025-$87.5M-$54.3M
Q1 2025-$71.8M-$37.3M
Q4 2024-$76.1M+$38M

CIFR's free cash flow was โˆ’$3.1B over the past year, against โˆ’$492M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

ACGL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 379MQ1 2024: 381MQ2 2024: 382MQ3 2024: 382MQ4 2024: 382MQ1 2025: 382MQ2 2025: 380MQ3 2025: 376MQ4 2025: 376MQ1 2026: 360MQ2 2026: 349MQ3 2026: 341M
Q4 2023: 379MQ1 2024: 381MQ2 2024: 382MQ3 2024: 382MQ4 2024: 382MQ1 2025: 382MQ2 2025: 380MQ3 2025: 376MQ4 2025: 376MQ1 2026: 360MQ2 2026: 349MQ3 2026: 341M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.1%-7.4M shares
1 year-9.2%-34.7M shares
3 years-10%-38M shares
5 years-14%-56.5M shares
Available history-17%-70.2M shares

ACGL has the edge over CIFR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CIFR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+30.3M shares
1 year+12%+46.5M shares
3 years+75%+188M shares
5 years+102%+222M shares

CIFR has 440M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago, despite $151M in buybacks over the past year.

ACGL Net Leverage

CIFR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025125.4xHigh
Q4 20240.5xVery low
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.1xNet Cash

CIFR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

ACGL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI69.0Neutral
Stochastic81.6Overbought

ACGL's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 82 (overbought).

CIFR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.4Neutral
Stochastic7.8Oversold

CIFR's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

ACGL PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricACGLSector medianRelative
PE9x13x31% below
PE %426321 pts below

ACGL is trading at 8.9x earnings, a 31% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CIFR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIFRSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ACGL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$101.27.9% above
20 week MA$100.29% above
50 week MA$97.013% above
100 week MA$94.116% above
200 week MA$90.121% above

ACGL has the edge over CIFR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CIFR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.633% below
20 week MA$15.554% below
50 week MA$17.058% below
100 week MA$12.241% below
200 week MA$7.869% below

CIFR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9% below its 200-week average.

ACGL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$42.6$34.9-18%
2021$34.9$43.5+25%
2022$43.5$63.4+46%
2023$63.4$74.3+17%
2024$74.3$92.3+24%
2025$92.3$95.9+3.8%
2026 YTD$95.9$109.2+14%

ACGL has the edge over CIFR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CIFR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.92$9.95+0.3%
2021$9.95$5.21-48%
2022$5.21$0.54-90%
2023$0.54$4.13+665%
2024$4.13$4.86+18%
2025$4.86$15.2+213%
2026 YTD$15.2$7.15-53%

CIFR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +665% in 2023 to โˆ’90% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

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