ACCO

ACCO Brands Corporation

60
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation60/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

ACCO offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT has the edge over ACCO overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

ACCO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Weak

ACCO's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ACCO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.8x18x26x35x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.8x18x26x35x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.7x$3.97-26%
Forward5.8x$5.35—
Current7.6x$5.35—
Fair8.6x$6.00+12%
Expensive11x$8.04+50%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ACCO has the edge over CAT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605—
Current24x$605—
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

ACCO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ACCO, with profitability holding steady.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

CAT has the edge over ACCO on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

ACCO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$7.13
Downside-21%$4.20

Calculated from the latest close: $5.35 on Nov 12.

ACCO trails CAT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

CAT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ACCO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ACCO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.23Q1 2024: $-0.26Q2 2024: $-1.82Q3 2024: $-1.88Q4 2024: $-1.06Q1 2025: $-1.13Q2 2025: $0.47Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.44Q1 2026: $0.78Q2 2026: $0.62Q3 2026: $0.70Forward: $0.92
Q4 2023: $-0.23Q1 2024: $-0.26Q2 2024: $-1.82Q3 2024: $-1.88Q4 2024: $-1.06Q1 2025: $-1.13Q2 2025: $0.47Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.44Q1 2026: $0.78Q2 2026: $0.62Q3 2026: $0.70Forward: $0.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.92+31%
Q3 2026$0.70+67%
Q2 2026$0.62+32%
Q1 2026$0.78+$1.91
Q4 2025$0.44+$1.50
Q3 2025$0.42+$2.30
Q2 2025$0.47+$2.29
Q1 2025-$1.13-$0.87
Q4 2024-$1.06-$0.83

ACCO has the edge over CAT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$30.32+19%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT earned $25.48 per share over the past year, up 31% from the year before.

ACCO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $489MQ1 2024: $359MQ2 2024: $438MQ3 2024: $421MQ4 2024: $448MQ1 2025: $317MQ2 2025: $395MQ3 2025: $384MQ4 2025: $429MQ1 2026: $344MQ2 2026: $415MQ3 2026: $380M
Q4 2023: $489MQ1 2024: $359MQ2 2024: $438MQ3 2024: $421MQ4 2024: $448MQ1 2025: $317MQ2 2025: $395MQ3 2025: $384MQ4 2025: $429MQ1 2026: $344MQ2 2026: $415MQ3 2026: $380M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$380.3M-0.9%
Q2 2026$415.1M+5.1%
Q1 2026$343.7M+8.3%
Q4 2025$428.8M-4.3%
Q3 2025$383.7M-8.8%
Q2 2025$394.8M-9.9%
Q1 2025$317.4M-12%
Q4 2024$448.1M-8.3%

ACCO's revenue fell from its 2021 peak and has held roughly level since: $380M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT has the edge over ACCO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ACCO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $58MQ1 2024: $28MQ2 2024: −$26MQ3 2024: $93MQ4 2024: $53MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: −$39MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: −$35MQ3 2026: $131M
Q4 2023: $58MQ1 2024: $28MQ2 2024: −$26MQ3 2024: $93MQ4 2024: $53MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: −$39MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: −$35MQ3 2026: $131M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$131.4M+84%
Q2 2026-$35.3M+$3.6M
Q1 2026$3.5M-36%
Q4 2025$30.6M-42%
Q3 2025$71.5M-23%
Q2 2025-$38.9M-$13.3M
Q1 2025$5.5M-80%
Q4 2024$52.7M-9.1%

ACCO generated $130M in free cash flow over the past year, up 43% from the year before.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

CAT has the edge over ACCO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ACCO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 95MQ1 2024: 96MQ2 2024: 97MQ3 2024: 98MQ4 2024: 96MQ1 2025: 93MQ2 2025: 93MQ3 2025: 93MQ4 2025: 94MQ1 2026: 96MQ2 2026: 96MQ3 2026: 96M
Q4 2023: 95MQ1 2024: 96MQ2 2024: 97MQ3 2024: 98MQ4 2024: 96MQ1 2025: 93MQ2 2025: 93MQ3 2025: 93MQ4 2025: 94MQ1 2026: 96MQ2 2026: 96MQ3 2026: 96M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+400K shares
1 year+2.9%+2.7M shares
3 years-0.7%-700K shares
5 years-1.3%-1.3M shares
Available history-5%-5M shares

ACCO has 96M diluted shares, up 2.9% from a year ago.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has the edge over ACCO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ACCO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 7.1xQ1 2024: 7.2xQ4 2024: 21.1xQ1 2025: 33.9xQ2 2025: 5.1xQ3 2025: 4.7xQ4 2025: 4.7xQ1 2026: 4.9xQ2 2026: 5.3xQ3 2026: 4.5x
Q4 2023: 7.1xQ1 2024: 7.2xQ4 2024: 21.1xQ1 2025: 33.9xQ2 2025: 5.1xQ3 2025: 4.7xQ4 2025: 4.7xQ1 2026: 4.9xQ2 2026: 5.3xQ3 2026: 4.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.5xHigh
Q2 20265.3xHigh
Q1 20264.9xHigh
Q4 20254.7xHigh
Q3 20254.7xHigh
Q2 20255.1xHigh
Q1 202533.9xHigh
Q4 202421.1xHigh

ACCO's net debt is about 4.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.7 years a year ago.

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has the edge over ACCO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ACCO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI67.3Neutral
Stochastic75.7Neutral

ACCO's weekly RSI is 67 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

ACCO PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricACCOSector medianRelative
PE7.6x24x68% below
PE %395819 pts below

ACCO has the edge over CAT on valuation relative to its sector.

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.3% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

ACCO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.7612% above
20 week MA$4.4321% above
50 week MA$4.0133% above
100 week MA$4.0632% above
200 week MA$4.7213% above

ACCO has the edge over CAT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

CAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.

ACCO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.34$8.53-8.7%
2021$8.53$8.05-5.6%
2022$8.05$5.58-31%
2023$5.58$6.08+9%
2024$6.08$5.25-14%
2025$5.25$3.73-29%
2026 YTD$3.73$5.35+43%

ACCO has the edge over CAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 3.8% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key