ABUS

Arbutus Biopharma Corporation

67
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

ABUS has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ABUS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Unavailable

ABUS's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

ABUS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1.7x3.4x5.1x6.9x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1.7x3.4x5.1x6.9x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current3.6x$4.03—
Cheap5.2x$5.83+45%
Fair5.5x$6.20+54%
Expensive6.3x$7.07+75%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ABUS has the edge over NVO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

ABUS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect ABUS's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ABUS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$5.35
Downside-24%$3.05

Calculated from the latest close: $4.03 on Nov 12.

ABUS trails NVO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ABUS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ABUS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.44Q1 2024: $-0.44Q2 2024: $-0.45Q3 2024: $-0.43Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.29Q3 2025: $-0.23Q4 2025: $-0.17Q1 2026: $0.83Q2 2026: $0.79Q3 2026: $1.13
Q4 2023: $-0.44Q1 2024: $-0.44Q2 2024: $-0.45Q3 2024: $-0.43Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.29Q3 2025: $-0.23Q4 2025: $-0.17Q1 2026: $0.83Q2 2026: $0.79Q3 2026: $1.13
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$1.13+$1.36
Q2 2026$0.79+$1.08
Q1 2026$0.83+$1.24
Q4 2025-$0.17+$0.21
Q3 2025-$0.23+$0.20
Q2 2025-$0.29+$0.16
Q1 2025-$0.41+$0.03
Q4 2024-$0.38+$0.06

ABUS has returned to profit: it earned $1.13 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.89 over the past year, up 4.9% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2020.

ABUS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $11MQ3 2025: $529,000Q4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $179MQ2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $299,000
Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $11MQ3 2025: $529,000Q4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $179MQ2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $299,000
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$299K-43%
Q2 2026$1M-91%
Q1 2026$179.1M+10055%
Q4 2025$1.1M-33%
Q3 2025$529K-60%
Q2 2025$10.7M+522%
Q1 2025$1.8M+15%
Q4 2024$1.6M-27%

ABUS's revenue is growing: $299,000 last quarter, down 43% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO has the edge over ABUS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ABUS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: −$15MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$10MQ1 2025: −$13MQ2 2025: −$16MQ3 2025: −$6MQ4 2025: −$5MQ1 2026: −$8MQ2 2026: −$6MQ3 2026: $240M
Q4 2023: −$17MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: −$15MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$10MQ1 2025: −$13MQ2 2025: −$16MQ3 2025: −$6MQ4 2025: −$5MQ1 2026: −$8MQ2 2026: −$6MQ3 2026: $240M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$239.8M+$245.6M
Q2 2026-$6M+$9.7M
Q1 2026-$8.1M+$5.3M
Q4 2025-$4.7M+$5.7M
Q3 2025-$5.8M+$14.9M
Q2 2025-$15.7M-$1.2M
Q1 2025-$13.4M+$6M
Q4 2024-$10.4M+$6.9M

ABUS has the edge over NVO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $7.3B over the past year.

ABUS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 166MQ1 2024: 176MQ2 2024: 188MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 186MQ1 2025: 191MQ2 2025: 192MQ3 2025: 192MQ4 2025: 192MQ1 2026: 195MQ2 2026: 197MQ3 2026: 200M
Q4 2023: 166MQ1 2024: 176MQ2 2024: 188MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 186MQ1 2025: 191MQ2 2025: 192MQ3 2025: 192MQ4 2025: 192MQ1 2026: 195MQ2 2026: 197MQ3 2026: 200M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+2.2M shares
1 year+4.1%+7.8M shares
3 years+19%+32.1M shares
5 years+106%+103M shares
Available history+190%+131M shares

ABUS has 200M diluted shares, up 4.1% from a year ago.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over ABUS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ABUS Net Leverage

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ABUS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.0Neutral
Stochastic12.4Oversold

ABUS's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

ABUS PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricABUSSector medianRelative
PE3.6x26x86% below
PE %02929 pts below

ABUS has the edge over NVO on valuation relative to its sector.

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

ABUS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.234.7% below
20 week MA$4.5812% below
50 week MA$4.459.4% below
100 week MA$4.030% above
200 week MA$3.4317% above

ABUS has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

ABUS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.49$3.87+55%
2021$3.87$4.16+7.5%
2022$4.16$2.39-43%
2023$2.39$2.50+4.6%
2024$2.50$3.21+28%
2025$3.21$4.78+49%
2026 YTD$4.78$4.03-16%

ABUS has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

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