ABUS

Arbutus Biopharma Corporation

67
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

ABUS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over ABUS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

ABUS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Unavailable

ABUS's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ABUS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1.7x3.4x5.1x6.9x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1.7x3.4x5.1x6.9x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current3.6x$4.03—
Cheap5.2x$5.83+45%
Fair5.5x$6.20+54%
Expensive6.3x$7.07+75%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ABUS has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ABUS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect ABUS's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

ABUS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$5.35
Downside-24%$3.05

Calculated from the latest close: $4.03 on Nov 12.

ABUS trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ABUS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ABUS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.44Q1 2024: $-0.44Q2 2024: $-0.45Q3 2024: $-0.43Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.29Q3 2025: $-0.23Q4 2025: $-0.17Q1 2026: $0.83Q2 2026: $0.79Q3 2026: $1.13
Q4 2023: $-0.44Q1 2024: $-0.44Q2 2024: $-0.45Q3 2024: $-0.43Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.29Q3 2025: $-0.23Q4 2025: $-0.17Q1 2026: $0.83Q2 2026: $0.79Q3 2026: $1.13
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$1.13+$1.36
Q2 2026$0.79+$1.08
Q1 2026$0.83+$1.24
Q4 2025-$0.17+$0.21
Q3 2025-$0.23+$0.20
Q2 2025-$0.29+$0.16
Q1 2025-$0.41+$0.03
Q4 2024-$0.38+$0.06

ABUS has returned to profit: it earned $1.13 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $30.81 over the past year, up 51% from the year before, and higher year over year for 11 quarters in a row.

ABUS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $11MQ3 2025: $529,000Q4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $179MQ2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $299,000
Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $11MQ3 2025: $529,000Q4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $179MQ2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $299,000
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$299K-43%
Q2 2026$1M-91%
Q1 2026$179.1M+10055%
Q4 2025$1.1M-33%
Q3 2025$529K-60%
Q2 2025$10.7M+522%
Q1 2025$1.8M+15%
Q4 2024$1.6M-27%

ABUS's revenue is growing: $299,000 last quarter, down 43% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over ABUS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ABUS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: −$15MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$10MQ1 2025: −$13MQ2 2025: −$16MQ3 2025: −$6MQ4 2025: −$5MQ1 2026: −$8MQ2 2026: −$6MQ3 2026: $240M
Q4 2023: −$17MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: −$15MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$10MQ1 2025: −$13MQ2 2025: −$16MQ3 2025: −$6MQ4 2025: −$5MQ1 2026: −$8MQ2 2026: −$6MQ3 2026: $240M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$239.8M+$245.6M
Q2 2026-$6M+$9.7M
Q1 2026-$8.1M+$5.3M
Q4 2025-$4.7M+$5.7M
Q3 2025-$5.8M+$14.9M
Q2 2025-$15.7M-$1.2M
Q1 2025-$13.4M+$6M
Q4 2024-$10.4M+$6.9M

ABUS has the edge over LLY on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY generated $19.7B in free cash flow over the past year, up 112% from the year before.

ABUS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 166MQ1 2024: 176MQ2 2024: 188MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 186MQ1 2025: 191MQ2 2025: 192MQ3 2025: 192MQ4 2025: 192MQ1 2026: 195MQ2 2026: 197MQ3 2026: 200M
Q4 2023: 166MQ1 2024: 176MQ2 2024: 188MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 186MQ1 2025: 191MQ2 2025: 192MQ3 2025: 192MQ4 2025: 192MQ1 2026: 195MQ2 2026: 197MQ3 2026: 200M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+2.2M shares
1 year+4.1%+7.8M shares
3 years+19%+32.1M shares
5 years+106%+103M shares
Available history+190%+131M shares

ABUS has 200M diluted shares, up 4.1% from a year ago.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over ABUS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ABUS Net Leverage

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

ABUS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.0Neutral
Stochastic12.4Oversold

ABUS's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

ABUS PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricABUSSector medianRelative
PE3.6x26x86% below
PE %02929 pts below

ABUS has the edge over LLY on valuation relative to its sector.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

ABUS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.234.7% below
20 week MA$4.5812% below
50 week MA$4.459.4% below
100 week MA$4.030% above
200 week MA$3.4317% above

ABUS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 17% above its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over ABUS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ABUS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.49$3.87+55%
2021$3.87$4.16+7.5%
2022$4.16$2.39-43%
2023$2.39$2.50+4.6%
2024$2.50$3.21+28%
2025$3.21$4.78+49%
2026 YTD$4.78$4.03-16%

ABUS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over ABUS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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