ABNB

Airbnb, Inc.

65
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation53/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

ABNB has the edge over NKE overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ABNB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Unavailable

ABNB's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

ABNB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x47x70x94x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x47x70x94x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap20x$108-41%
Forward29x$181—
Fair34x$183+1.3%
Current34x$181—
Expensive46x$245+35%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ABNB's PE is in its fair range at 34x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 29x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over ABNB in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ABNB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

ABNB has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ABNB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$240.90
Downside-15%$154.41

Calculated from the latest close: $181.13 on Nov 12.

ABNB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NKE, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE trails ABNB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

ABNB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.24Q1 2024: $7.47Q2 2024: $7.35Q3 2024: $2.85Q4 2024: $4.11Q1 2025: $3.94Q2 2025: $4.11Q3 2025: $4.19Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.05Q2 2026: $4.39Q3 2026: $5.34Forward: $6.18
Q4 2023: $7.24Q1 2024: $7.47Q2 2024: $7.35Q3 2024: $2.85Q4 2024: $4.11Q1 2025: $3.94Q2 2025: $4.11Q3 2025: $4.19Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.05Q2 2026: $4.39Q3 2026: $5.34Forward: $6.18
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.18+16%
Q3 2026$5.34+27%
Q2 2026$4.39+6.8%
Q1 2026$4.05+2.8%
Q4 2025$4.03-1.9%
Q3 2025$4.19+47%
Q2 2025$4.11-44%
Q1 2025$3.94-47%
Q4 2024$4.11-43%

ABNB has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

ABNB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.7BQ4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $3.1BQ3 2025: $4.1BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $4.9B
Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.7BQ4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $3.1BQ3 2025: $4.1BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $4.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.9B+19%
Q2 2026$3.6B+17%
Q1 2026$2.7B+18%
Q4 2025$2.8B+12%
Q3 2025$4.1B+9.7%
Q2 2025$3.1B+13%
Q1 2025$2.3B+6.1%
Q4 2024$2.5B+12%

ABNB has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

ABNB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $466MQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $975MQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $526MQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $466MQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $975MQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $526MQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B+11%
Q2 2026$1.3B+30%
Q1 2026$1.7B-4.5%
Q4 2025$526M+13%
Q3 2025$1.4B+26%
Q2 2025$975M-7.2%
Q1 2025$1.8B-7%
Q4 2024$466M+640%

ABNB has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

ABNB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 662MQ1 2024: 654MQ2 2024: 649MQ3 2024: 642MQ4 2024: 645MQ1 2025: 632MQ2 2025: 626MQ3 2025: 621MQ4 2025: 623MQ1 2026: 608MQ2 2026: 597MQ3 2026: 597M
Q4 2023: 662MQ1 2024: 654MQ2 2024: 649MQ3 2024: 642MQ4 2024: 645MQ1 2025: 632MQ2 2025: 626MQ3 2025: 621MQ4 2025: 623MQ1 2026: 608MQ2 2026: 597MQ3 2026: 597M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year-3.9%-24M shares
3 years-9.5%-63M shares
5 years-12%-84.9M shares
Available history+12%+66.1M shares

ABNB has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

ABNB Net Leverage

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ABNB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.9Neutral
Stochastic66.8Neutral

ABNB's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 67 (neutral).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

ABNB PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricABNBSector medianRelative
PE34x18x88% above
PE %48502 pts below

ABNB is trading at 34x earnings, a 88% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE has the edge over ABNB on valuation relative to its sector.

ABNB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$170.96% above
20 week MA$168.07.8% above
50 week MA$146.823% above
100 week MA$137.831% above
200 week MA$135.933% above

ABNB has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

ABNB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.3$154.8+11%
2021$154.8$171.3+11%
2022$171.3$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$136.1+60%
2024$136.1$133.4-2%
2025$133.4$136.8+2.6%
2026 YTD$136.8$181.1+32%

ABNB has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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