ABNB
Airbnb, Inc.
ABNB has the edge over NIO overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
ABNB Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Unavailable |
ABNB's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ABNB PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 20x | $108 | -41% |
| Forward | 29x | $181 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $183 | +1.3% |
| Current | 34x | $181 | — |
| Expensive | 46x | $245 | +35% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ABNB's PE is in its fair range at 34x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 29x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ABNB Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ABNB, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
ABNB Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.18 | +16% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.34 | +27% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.39 | +6.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.05 | +2.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.03 | -1.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.19 | +47% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.11 | -44% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.94 | -47% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.11 | -43% |
ABNB has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
ABNB Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.9B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.6B | +17% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.7B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.8B | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.1B | +9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.1B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.3B | +6.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.5B | +12% |
ABNB's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $4.9B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 42% | +1.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | +1.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3.2% | +1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 9.7% | -7.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 20% | +1.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 1.7% | -3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 17% | +40 points |
ABNB has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
ABNB Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +30% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.7B | -4.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $526M | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.4B | +26% |
| Q2 2025 | $975M | -7.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | -7% |
| Q4 2024 | $466M | +640% |
ABNB has the edge over NIO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
ABNB Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | -3.9% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -9.5% | -63M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -84.9M shares |
| Available history | +12% | +66.1M shares |
ABNB has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $712M |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B |
| Q3 2025 | $877M |
| Q2 2025 | $1B |
| Q1 2025 | $807M |
| Q4 2024 | $838M |
ABNB spent $3.9B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 12% from the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
ABNB Net Leverage
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
ABNB Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 59.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 66.8 | Neutral |
ABNB's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 67 (neutral).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
ABNB PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | ABNB | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 34x | 18x | 88% above |
| PE % | 48 | 50 | 2 pts below |
ABNB is trading at 34x earnings, a 88% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ABNB Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $170.9 | 6% above |
| 20 week MA | $168.0 | 7.8% above |
| 50 week MA | $146.8 | 23% above |
| 100 week MA | $137.8 | 31% above |
| 200 week MA | $135.9 | 33% above |
ABNB has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
ABNB Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $139.3 | $154.8 | +11% |
| 2021 | $154.8 | $171.3 | +11% |
| 2022 | $171.3 | $85.3 | -50% |
| 2023 | $85.3 | $136.1 | +60% |
| 2024 | $136.1 | $133.4 | -2% |
| 2025 | $133.4 | $136.8 | +2.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $136.8 | $181.1 | +32% |
ABNB has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.