ABNB

Airbnb, Inc.

65
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation53/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

ABNB has the edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

ABNB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Unavailable

ABNB's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ABNB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x47x70x94x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x47x70x94x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap20x$108-41%
Forward29x$181—
Fair34x$183+1.3%
Current34x$181—
Expensive46x$245+35%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ABNB's PE is in its fair range at 34x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 29x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ABNB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ABNB, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ABNB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$240.90
Downside-15%$154.41

Calculated from the latest close: $181.13 on Nov 12.

ABNB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails ABNB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ABNB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.24Q1 2024: $7.47Q2 2024: $7.35Q3 2024: $2.85Q4 2024: $4.11Q1 2025: $3.94Q2 2025: $4.11Q3 2025: $4.19Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.05Q2 2026: $4.39Q3 2026: $5.34Forward: $6.18
Q4 2023: $7.24Q1 2024: $7.47Q2 2024: $7.35Q3 2024: $2.85Q4 2024: $4.11Q1 2025: $3.94Q2 2025: $4.11Q3 2025: $4.19Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.05Q2 2026: $4.39Q3 2026: $5.34Forward: $6.18
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.18+16%
Q3 2026$5.34+27%
Q2 2026$4.39+6.8%
Q1 2026$4.05+2.8%
Q4 2025$4.03-1.9%
Q3 2025$4.19+47%
Q2 2025$4.11-44%
Q1 2025$3.94-47%
Q4 2024$4.11-43%

ABNB has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

ABNB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.7BQ4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $3.1BQ3 2025: $4.1BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $4.9B
Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.7BQ4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $3.1BQ3 2025: $4.1BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $4.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.9B+19%
Q2 2026$3.6B+17%
Q1 2026$2.7B+18%
Q4 2025$2.8B+12%
Q3 2025$4.1B+9.7%
Q2 2025$3.1B+13%
Q1 2025$2.3B+6.1%
Q4 2024$2.5B+12%

ABNB's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $4.9B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over ABNB on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ABNB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $466MQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $975MQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $526MQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $466MQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $975MQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $526MQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B+11%
Q2 2026$1.3B+30%
Q1 2026$1.7B-4.5%
Q4 2025$526M+13%
Q3 2025$1.4B+26%
Q2 2025$975M-7.2%
Q1 2025$1.8B-7%
Q4 2024$466M+640%

ABNB has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

ABNB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 662MQ1 2024: 654MQ2 2024: 649MQ3 2024: 642MQ4 2024: 645MQ1 2025: 632MQ2 2025: 626MQ3 2025: 621MQ4 2025: 623MQ1 2026: 608MQ2 2026: 597MQ3 2026: 597M
Q4 2023: 662MQ1 2024: 654MQ2 2024: 649MQ3 2024: 642MQ4 2024: 645MQ1 2025: 632MQ2 2025: 626MQ3 2025: 621MQ4 2025: 623MQ1 2026: 608MQ2 2026: 597MQ3 2026: 597M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year-3.9%-24M shares
3 years-9.5%-63M shares
5 years-12%-84.9M shares
Available history+12%+66.1M shares

ABNB has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

ABNB Net Leverage

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ABNB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.9Neutral
Stochastic66.8Neutral

ABNB's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 67 (neutral).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

ABNB PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricABNBSector medianRelative
PE34x18x88% above
PE %48502 pts below

ABNB is trading at 34x earnings, a 88% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ABNB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$170.96% above
20 week MA$168.07.8% above
50 week MA$146.823% above
100 week MA$137.831% above
200 week MA$135.933% above

ABNB has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

ABNB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.3$154.8+11%
2021$154.8$171.3+11%
2022$171.3$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$136.1+60%
2024$136.1$133.4-2%
2025$133.4$136.8+2.6%
2026 YTD$136.8$181.1+32%

ABNB has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

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