ABNB

Airbnb, Inc.

65
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation53/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

ABNB has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

ABNB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Unavailable

ABNB's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

ABNB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x47x70x94x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x47x70x94x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap20x$108-41%
Forward29x$181—
Fair34x$183+1.3%
Current34x$181—
Expensive46x$245+35%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ABNB's PE is in its fair range at 34x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 29x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ABNB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

ABNB has the edge over F on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ABNB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$240.90
Downside-15%$154.41

Calculated from the latest close: $181.13 on Nov 12.

ABNB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails ABNB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

ABNB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.24Q1 2024: $7.47Q2 2024: $7.35Q3 2024: $2.85Q4 2024: $4.11Q1 2025: $3.94Q2 2025: $4.11Q3 2025: $4.19Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.05Q2 2026: $4.39Q3 2026: $5.34Forward: $6.18
Q4 2023: $7.24Q1 2024: $7.47Q2 2024: $7.35Q3 2024: $2.85Q4 2024: $4.11Q1 2025: $3.94Q2 2025: $4.11Q3 2025: $4.19Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.05Q2 2026: $4.39Q3 2026: $5.34Forward: $6.18
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.18+16%
Q3 2026$5.34+27%
Q2 2026$4.39+6.8%
Q1 2026$4.05+2.8%
Q4 2025$4.03-1.9%
Q3 2025$4.19+47%
Q2 2025$4.11-44%
Q1 2025$3.94-47%
Q4 2024$4.11-43%

ABNB has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

ABNB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.7BQ4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $3.1BQ3 2025: $4.1BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $4.9B
Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.7BQ4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $3.1BQ3 2025: $4.1BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $4.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.9B+19%
Q2 2026$3.6B+17%
Q1 2026$2.7B+18%
Q4 2025$2.8B+12%
Q3 2025$4.1B+9.7%
Q2 2025$3.1B+13%
Q1 2025$2.3B+6.1%
Q4 2024$2.5B+12%

ABNB has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

ABNB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $466MQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $975MQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $526MQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $466MQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $975MQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $526MQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B+11%
Q2 2026$1.3B+30%
Q1 2026$1.7B-4.5%
Q4 2025$526M+13%
Q3 2025$1.4B+26%
Q2 2025$975M-7.2%
Q1 2025$1.8B-7%
Q4 2024$466M+640%

ABNB generated $5B in free cash flow over the past year, up 9.3% from the year before.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.

ABNB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 662MQ1 2024: 654MQ2 2024: 649MQ3 2024: 642MQ4 2024: 645MQ1 2025: 632MQ2 2025: 626MQ3 2025: 621MQ4 2025: 623MQ1 2026: 608MQ2 2026: 597MQ3 2026: 597M
Q4 2023: 662MQ1 2024: 654MQ2 2024: 649MQ3 2024: 642MQ4 2024: 645MQ1 2025: 632MQ2 2025: 626MQ3 2025: 621MQ4 2025: 623MQ1 2026: 608MQ2 2026: 597MQ3 2026: 597M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year-3.9%-24M shares
3 years-9.5%-63M shares
5 years-12%-84.9M shares
Available history+12%+66.1M shares

ABNB has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

ABNB Net Leverage

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has more cash than debt.

ABNB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.9Neutral
Stochastic66.8Neutral

ABNB's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 67 (neutral).

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

ABNB PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricABNBSector medianRelative
PE34x18x88% above
PE %48502 pts below

ABNB is trading at 34x earnings, a 88% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ABNB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$170.96% above
20 week MA$168.07.8% above
50 week MA$146.823% above
100 week MA$137.831% above
200 week MA$135.933% above

ABNB has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

ABNB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.3$154.8+11%
2021$154.8$171.3+11%
2022$171.3$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$136.1+60%
2024$136.1$133.4-2%
2025$133.4$136.8+2.6%
2026 YTD$136.8$181.1+32%

ABNB has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

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