ABNB

Airbnb, Inc.

65
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation53/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

ABNB offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over ABNB overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

ABNB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Unavailable

ABNB's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

ABNB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x47x70x94x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x47x70x94x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap20x$108-41%
Forward29x$181—
Fair34x$183+1.3%
Current34x$181—
Expensive46x$245+35%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ABNB's PE is in its fair range at 34x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 29x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN has the edge over ABNB in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ABNB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

ABNB has the edge over AMZN on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.

ABNB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$240.90
Downside-15%$154.41

Calculated from the latest close: $181.13 on Nov 12.

ABNB trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ABNB, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ABNB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.24Q1 2024: $7.47Q2 2024: $7.35Q3 2024: $2.85Q4 2024: $4.11Q1 2025: $3.94Q2 2025: $4.11Q3 2025: $4.19Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.05Q2 2026: $4.39Q3 2026: $5.34Forward: $6.18
Q4 2023: $7.24Q1 2024: $7.47Q2 2024: $7.35Q3 2024: $2.85Q4 2024: $4.11Q1 2025: $3.94Q2 2025: $4.11Q3 2025: $4.19Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.05Q2 2026: $4.39Q3 2026: $5.34Forward: $6.18
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.18+16%
Q3 2026$5.34+27%
Q2 2026$4.39+6.8%
Q1 2026$4.05+2.8%
Q4 2025$4.03-1.9%
Q3 2025$4.19+47%
Q2 2025$4.11-44%
Q1 2025$3.94-47%
Q4 2024$4.11-43%

ABNB's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $5.34 over the past year, against $8.26 in late 2023.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over ABNB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ABNB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.7BQ4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $3.1BQ3 2025: $4.1BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $4.9B
Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.7BQ4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $3.1BQ3 2025: $4.1BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $4.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.9B+19%
Q2 2026$3.6B+17%
Q1 2026$2.7B+18%
Q4 2025$2.8B+12%
Q3 2025$4.1B+9.7%
Q2 2025$3.1B+13%
Q1 2025$2.3B+6.1%
Q4 2024$2.5B+12%

ABNB's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $4.9B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN has the edge over ABNB on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ABNB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $466MQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $975MQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $526MQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $466MQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $975MQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $526MQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B+11%
Q2 2026$1.3B+30%
Q1 2026$1.7B-4.5%
Q4 2025$526M+13%
Q3 2025$1.4B+26%
Q2 2025$975M-7.2%
Q1 2025$1.8B-7%
Q4 2024$466M+640%

ABNB has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

ABNB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 662MQ1 2024: 654MQ2 2024: 649MQ3 2024: 642MQ4 2024: 645MQ1 2025: 632MQ2 2025: 626MQ3 2025: 621MQ4 2025: 623MQ1 2026: 608MQ2 2026: 597MQ3 2026: 597M
Q4 2023: 662MQ1 2024: 654MQ2 2024: 649MQ3 2024: 642MQ4 2024: 645MQ1 2025: 632MQ2 2025: 626MQ3 2025: 621MQ4 2025: 623MQ1 2026: 608MQ2 2026: 597MQ3 2026: 597M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year-3.9%-24M shares
3 years-9.5%-63M shares
5 years-12%-84.9M shares
Available history+12%+66.1M shares

ABNB has the edge over AMZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has 10.9B diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

ABNB Net Leverage

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

ABNB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.9Neutral
Stochastic66.8Neutral

ABNB's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 67 (neutral).

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

ABNB PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricABNBSector medianRelative
PE34x18x88% above
PE %48502 pts below

ABNB is trading at 34x earnings, a 88% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN has the edge over ABNB on valuation relative to its sector.

ABNB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$170.96% above
20 week MA$168.07.8% above
50 week MA$146.823% above
100 week MA$137.831% above
200 week MA$135.933% above

ABNB is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% above its 200-week average.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 40% above its 200-week average.

ABNB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.3$154.8+11%
2021$154.8$171.3+11%
2022$171.3$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$136.1+60%
2024$136.1$133.4-2%
2025$133.4$136.8+2.6%
2026 YTD$136.8$181.1+32%

ABNB has the edge over AMZN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 15% so far in 2026.

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