ABG
Asbury Automotive Group, Inc.
ABG has a slight edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
ABG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure |
ABG's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
TSLA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
ABG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 5.2x | $132 | -34% |
| Forward | 7.5x | $200 | — |
| Current | 8x | $200 | — |
| Fair | 8.1x | $204 | +2.3% |
| Expensive | 12x | $300 | +50% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ABG has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TSLA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 60x | $54.70 | -86% |
| Fair | 174x | $158 | -60% |
| Forward | 196x | $397 | — |
| Expensive | 415x | $378 | -4.9% |
| Current | 437x | $397 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
ABG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect ABG's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
TSLA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
TSLA has the edge over ABG on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
ABG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $26.59 | +5.9% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.10 | -12% |
| Q2 2026 | $26.78 | -2.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $28.29 | +35% |
| Q4 2025 | $25.13 | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.52 | +60% |
| Q2 2025 | $27.37 | +39% |
| Q1 2025 | $21.00 | -24% |
| Q4 2024 | $21.50 | -25% |
ABG has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +123% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.50 | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.73 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | -53% |
TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.
ABG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B | -8.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.4B | +0.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.1B | -0.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.7B | +3.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.8B | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.4B | +3% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.1B | -1.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.5B | +18% |
ABG has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.7% | -0.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 5% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.7% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.7% | -2.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5% | -0.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.9% | +3.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.7% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 5.3% | +2.1 points |
ABG has the edge over TSLA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TSLA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.2B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.9B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.3B | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +2.1% |
TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | -2 points |
TSLA's operating margin was 2.6% last quarter, down 3.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
ABG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $265.1M | -14% |
| Q2 2026 | $129.4M | +42% |
| Q1 2026 | $223.2M | -0.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $151.9M | -38% |
| Q3 2025 | $306.9M | -24% |
| Q2 2025 | $91.4M | +$245.8M |
| Q1 2025 | $225M | +27% |
| Q3 2024 | $404.3M | +2134% |
ABG has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -62% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.1B | -848% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +117% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $146M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $664M | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -1.6% |
TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.
ABG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.6% | -300K shares |
| 1 year | -8.2% | -1.6M shares |
| 3 years | -13% | -2.7M shares |
| 5 years | -7.7% | -1.5M shares |
| Available history | -6.7% | -1.3M shares |
ABG has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $130.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $147M |
| Q4 2025 | $37.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $37.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $200,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $12.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $100,000 |
ABG spent $315M buying back its own shares over the past year, about six times what it spent the year before.
TSLA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +48M shares |
| 5 years | +5.1% | +172M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +886M shares |
TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
ABG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.4x | Elevated |
ABG's net debt is about 3.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.4 years a year ago.
TSLA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
TSLA has the edge over ABG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ABG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 50.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 52.0 | Neutral |
ABG's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).
TSLA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
ABG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | ABG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8x | 18x | 56% below |
| PE % | 46 | 47 | 1 pt below |
ABG has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.
TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSLA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 437x | 18x | 2,324% above |
| PE % | 84 | 47 | 37 pts above |
TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
ABG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $184.0 | 8.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $201.3 | 0.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $208.8 | 4.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $225.2 | 11% below |
| 200 week MA | $224.5 | 11% below |
ABG has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 11% below its 200-week average.
TSLA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $376.0 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $364.0 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $393.6 | 1% above |
| 100 week MA | $372.1 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $296.9 | 34% above |
TSLA has the edge over ABG on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ABG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $113.6 | $139.8 | +23% |
| 2021 | $139.8 | $164.4 | +18% |
| 2022 | $164.4 | $169.0 | +2.8% |
| 2023 | $169.0 | $225.0 | +33% |
| 2024 | $225.0 | $244.5 | +8.7% |
| 2025 | $244.5 | $241.5 | -1.3% |
| 2026 YTD | $241.5 | $199.6 | -17% |
ABG has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 17% so far in 2026.
TSLA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.7 | $220.6 | +669% |
| 2021 | $220.6 | $355.7 | +61% |
| 2022 | $355.7 | $123.2 | -65% |
| 2023 | $123.2 | $248.5 | +102% |
| 2024 | $248.5 | $431.7 | +74% |
| 2025 | $431.7 | $475.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $475.2 | $397.5 | -16% |
TSLA has the edge over ABG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.