ABG
Asbury Automotive Group, Inc.
ABG has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN has a slight edge over ABG overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
ABG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure |
ABG's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ABG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 5.2x | $132 | -34% |
| Forward | 7.5x | $200 | — |
| Current | 8x | $200 | — |
| Fair | 8.1x | $204 | +2.3% |
| Expensive | 12x | $300 | +50% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ABG's PE is in its fair range at 8.0x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.5x next year's earnings.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ABG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect ABG's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
RIVN has the edge over ABG on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.
ABG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $26.59 | +5.9% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.10 | -12% |
| Q2 2026 | $26.78 | -2.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $28.29 | +35% |
| Q4 2025 | $25.13 | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.52 | +60% |
| Q2 2025 | $27.37 | +39% |
| Q1 2025 | $21.00 | -24% |
| Q4 2024 | $21.50 | -25% |
ABG has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
ABG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B | -8.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.4B | +0.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.1B | -0.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.7B | +3.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.8B | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.4B | +3% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.1B | -1.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.5B | +18% |
ABG's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $4.4B last quarter, down 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.7% | -0.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 5% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.7% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.7% | -2.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5% | -0.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.9% | +3.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.7% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 5.3% | +2.1 points |
ABG has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN has the edge over ABG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
ABG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $265.1M | -14% |
| Q2 2026 | $129.4M | +42% |
| Q1 2026 | $223.2M | -0.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $151.9M | -38% |
| Q3 2025 | $306.9M | -24% |
| Q2 2025 | $91.4M | +$245.8M |
| Q1 2025 | $225M | +27% |
| Q3 2024 | $404.3M | +2134% |
ABG has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
ABG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.6% | -300K shares |
| 1 year | -8.2% | -1.6M shares |
| 3 years | -13% | -2.7M shares |
| 5 years | -7.7% | -1.5M shares |
| Available history | -6.7% | -1.3M shares |
ABG has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $130.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $147M |
| Q4 2025 | $37.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $37.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $200,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $12.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $100,000 |
ABG spent $315M buying back its own shares over the past year, about six times what it spent the year before.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
ABG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.4x | Elevated |
ABG's net debt is about 3.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.4 years a year ago.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
ABG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 50.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 52.0 | Neutral |
ABG's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
ABG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | ABG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8x | 18x | 56% below |
| PE % | 46 | 47 | 1 pt below |
ABG is trading at 8.0x earnings, a 56% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ABG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $184.0 | 8.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $201.3 | 0.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $208.8 | 4.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $225.2 | 11% below |
| 200 week MA | $224.5 | 11% below |
ABG has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
ABG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $113.6 | $139.8 | +23% |
| 2021 | $139.8 | $164.4 | +18% |
| 2022 | $164.4 | $169.0 | +2.8% |
| 2023 | $169.0 | $225.0 | +33% |
| 2024 | $225.0 | $244.5 | +8.7% |
| 2025 | $244.5 | $241.5 | -1.3% |
| 2026 YTD | $241.5 | $199.6 | -17% |
ABG has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.