ABG

Asbury Automotive Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals46/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

ABG trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over ABG overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

ABG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Under pressure

ABG's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

ABG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.2x8.3x13x17x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.2x8.3x13x17x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.2x$132-34%
Forward7.5x$200—
Current8x$200—
Fair8.1x$204+2.3%
Expensive12x$300+50%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ABG's PE is in its fair range at 8.0x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.5x next year's earnings.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over ABG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ABG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect ABG's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ABG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$244.26
Downside-20%$159.14

Calculated from the latest close: $199.61 on Nov 12.

ABG trails NKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ABG, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ABG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $28.74Q1 2024: $27.58Q2 2024: $19.63Q3 2024: $17.81Q4 2024: $21.50Q1 2025: $21.00Q2 2025: $27.37Q3 2025: $28.52Q4 2025: $25.13Q1 2026: $28.29Q2 2026: $26.78Q3 2026: $25.10Forward: $26.59
Q4 2023: $28.74Q1 2024: $27.58Q2 2024: $19.63Q3 2024: $17.81Q4 2024: $21.50Q1 2025: $21.00Q2 2025: $27.37Q3 2025: $28.52Q4 2025: $25.13Q1 2026: $28.29Q2 2026: $26.78Q3 2026: $25.10Forward: $26.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$26.59+5.9%
Q3 2026$25.10-12%
Q2 2026$26.78-2.2%
Q1 2026$28.29+35%
Q4 2025$25.13+17%
Q3 2025$28.52+60%
Q2 2025$27.37+39%
Q1 2025$21.00-24%
Q4 2024$21.50-25%

ABG has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

ABG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.8BQ1 2024: $4.2BQ2 2024: $4.2BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $4.5BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $4.4BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.7BQ1 2026: $4.1BQ2 2026: $4.4BQ3 2026: $4.4B
Q4 2023: $3.8BQ1 2024: $4.2BQ2 2024: $4.2BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $4.5BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $4.4BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.7BQ1 2026: $4.1BQ2 2026: $4.4BQ3 2026: $4.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.4B-8.1%
Q2 2026$4.4B+0.3%
Q1 2026$4.1B-0.9%
Q4 2025$4.7B+3.8%
Q3 2025$4.8B+13%
Q2 2025$4.4B+3%
Q1 2025$4.1B-1.3%
Q4 2024$4.5B+18%

ABG has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

ABG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $177MQ2 2024: −$154MQ3 2024: $404MQ4 2024: $244MQ1 2025: $225MQ2 2025: $91MQ3 2025: $307MQ4 2025: $152MQ1 2026: $223MQ2 2026: $129MQ3 2026: $265M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $177MQ2 2024: −$154MQ3 2024: $404MQ4 2024: $244MQ1 2025: $225MQ2 2025: $91MQ3 2025: $307MQ4 2025: $152MQ1 2026: $223MQ2 2026: $129MQ3 2026: $265M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$265.1M-14%
Q2 2026$129.4M+42%
Q1 2026$223.2M-0.8%
Q4 2025$151.9M-38%
Q3 2025$306.9M-24%
Q2 2025$91.4M+$245.8M
Q1 2025$225M+27%
Q3 2024$404.3M+2134%

ABG has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

ABG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 20MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 20MQ4 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 18MQ3 2026: 18M
Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 20MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 20MQ4 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 18MQ3 2026: 18M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-300K shares
1 year-8.2%-1.6M shares
3 years-13%-2.7M shares
5 years-7.7%-1.5M shares
Available history-6.7%-1.3M shares

ABG has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

ABG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.1xQ1 2024: 3.1xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 4.2xQ4 2024: 3.4xQ1 2025: 3.4xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 3.8xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 3.9x
Q4 2023: 3.1xQ1 2024: 3.1xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 4.2xQ4 2024: 3.4xQ1 2025: 3.4xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 3.8xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 3.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.9xElevated
Q2 20263.9xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.8xElevated
Q3 20253.4xElevated
Q2 20252.9xModerate
Q1 20253.4xElevated
Q4 20243.4xElevated

ABG's net debt is about 3.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.4 years a year ago.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over ABG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ABG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.3Neutral
Stochastic52.0Neutral

ABG's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

ABG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricABGSector medianRelative
PE8x18x56% below
PE %46471 pt below

ABG has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

ABG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$184.08.5% above
20 week MA$201.30.9% below
50 week MA$208.84.4% below
100 week MA$225.211% below
200 week MA$224.511% below

ABG has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 11% below its 200-week average.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

ABG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$113.6$139.8+23%
2021$139.8$164.4+18%
2022$164.4$169.0+2.8%
2023$169.0$225.0+33%
2024$225.0$244.5+8.7%
2025$244.5$241.5-1.3%
2026 YTD$241.5$199.6-17%

ABG has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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