ABG
Asbury Automotive Group, Inc.
ABG has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has the edge over ABG overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
ABG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure |
ABG's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ABG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 5.2x | $132 | -34% |
| Forward | 7.5x | $200 | — |
| Current | 8x | $200 | — |
| Fair | 8.1x | $204 | +2.3% |
| Expensive | 12x | $300 | +50% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ABG's PE is in its fair range at 8.0x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.5x next year's earnings.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ABG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect ABG's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over ABG on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.
ABG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $26.59 | +5.9% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.10 | -12% |
| Q2 2026 | $26.78 | -2.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $28.29 | +35% |
| Q4 2025 | $25.13 | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.52 | +60% |
| Q2 2025 | $27.37 | +39% |
| Q1 2025 | $21.00 | -24% |
| Q4 2024 | $21.50 | -25% |
ABG has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
ABG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B | -8.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.4B | +0.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.1B | -0.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.7B | +3.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.8B | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.4B | +3% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.1B | -1.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.5B | +18% |
ABG's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $4.4B last quarter, down 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.7% | -0.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 5% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.7% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.7% | -2.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5% | -0.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.9% | +3.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.7% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 5.3% | +2.1 points |
ABG has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over ABG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
ABG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $265.1M | -14% |
| Q2 2026 | $129.4M | +42% |
| Q1 2026 | $223.2M | -0.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $151.9M | -38% |
| Q3 2025 | $306.9M | -24% |
| Q2 2025 | $91.4M | +$245.8M |
| Q1 2025 | $225M | +27% |
| Q3 2024 | $404.3M | +2134% |
ABG still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $770M over the past year.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
ABG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.6% | -300K shares |
| 1 year | -8.2% | -1.6M shares |
| 3 years | -13% | -2.7M shares |
| 5 years | -7.7% | -1.5M shares |
| Available history | -6.7% | -1.3M shares |
ABG has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $130.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $147M |
| Q4 2025 | $37.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $37.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $200,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $12.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $100,000 |
ABG spent $315M buying back its own shares over the past year, about six times what it spent the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
ABG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.4x | Elevated |
ABG's net debt is about 3.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.4 years a year ago.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
ABG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 50.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 52.0 | Neutral |
ABG's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
ABG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | ABG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8x | 18x | 56% below |
| PE % | 46 | 47 | 1 pt below |
ABG is trading at 8.0x earnings, a 56% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ABG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $184.0 | 8.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $201.3 | 0.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $208.8 | 4.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $225.2 | 11% below |
| 200 week MA | $224.5 | 11% below |
ABG has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
ABG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $113.6 | $139.8 | +23% |
| 2021 | $139.8 | $164.4 | +18% |
| 2022 | $164.4 | $169.0 | +2.8% |
| 2023 | $169.0 | $225.0 | +33% |
| 2024 | $225.0 | $244.5 | +8.7% |
| 2025 | $244.5 | $241.5 | -1.3% |
| 2026 YTD | $241.5 | $199.6 | -17% |
ABG has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.