ABG
Asbury Automotive Group, Inc.
ABG has a slight edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
F
Ford Motor Company
F offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
ABG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure |
ABG's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
ABG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 5.2x | $132 | -34% |
| Forward | 7.5x | $200 | — |
| Current | 8x | $200 | — |
| Fair | 8.1x | $204 | +2.3% |
| Expensive | 12x | $300 | +50% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ABG's PE is in its fair range at 8.0x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.5x next year's earnings.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ABG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect ABG's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
F has the edge over ABG on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
ABG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $26.59 | +5.9% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.10 | -12% |
| Q2 2026 | $26.78 | -2.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $28.29 | +35% |
| Q4 2025 | $25.13 | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.52 | +60% |
| Q2 2025 | $27.37 | +39% |
| Q1 2025 | $21.00 | -24% |
| Q4 2024 | $21.50 | -25% |
ABG has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
ABG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B | -8.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.4B | +0.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.1B | -0.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.7B | +3.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.8B | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.4B | +3% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.1B | -1.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.5B | +18% |
ABG has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.7% | -0.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 5% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.7% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.7% | -2.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5% | -0.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.9% | +3.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.7% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 5.3% | +2.1 points |
ABG has the edge over F on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F's operating margin was 2.9% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
ABG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $265.1M | -14% |
| Q2 2026 | $129.4M | +42% |
| Q1 2026 | $223.2M | -0.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $151.9M | -38% |
| Q3 2025 | $306.9M | -24% |
| Q2 2025 | $91.4M | +$245.8M |
| Q1 2025 | $225M | +27% |
| Q3 2024 | $404.3M | +2134% |
ABG still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $770M over the past year.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F has the edge over ABG on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ABG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.6% | -300K shares |
| 1 year | -8.2% | -1.6M shares |
| 3 years | -13% | -2.7M shares |
| 5 years | -7.7% | -1.5M shares |
| Available history | -6.7% | -1.3M shares |
ABG has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $130.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $147M |
| Q4 2025 | $37.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $37.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $200,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $12.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $100,000 |
ABG spent $315M buying back its own shares over the past year, about six times what it spent the year before.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
ABG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.4x | Elevated |
ABG's net debt is about 3.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.4 years a year ago.
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has the edge over ABG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ABG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 50.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 52.0 | Neutral |
ABG's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
ABG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | ABG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8x | 18x | 56% below |
| PE % | 46 | 47 | 1 pt below |
ABG is trading at 8.0x earnings, a 56% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ABG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $184.0 | 8.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $201.3 | 0.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $208.8 | 4.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $225.2 | 11% below |
| 200 week MA | $224.5 | 11% below |
ABG has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
ABG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $113.6 | $139.8 | +23% |
| 2021 | $139.8 | $164.4 | +18% |
| 2022 | $164.4 | $169.0 | +2.8% |
| 2023 | $169.0 | $225.0 | +33% |
| 2024 | $225.0 | $244.5 | +8.7% |
| 2025 | $244.5 | $241.5 | -1.3% |
| 2026 YTD | $241.5 | $199.6 | -17% |
ABG has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 17% so far in 2026.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F has the edge over ABG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.