ABG

Asbury Automotive Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals46/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

ABG offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY has the edge over ABG overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

ABG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Under pressure

ABG's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

ABG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.2x8.3x13x17x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.2x8.3x13x17x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.2x$132-34%
Forward7.5x$200—
Current8x$200—
Fair8.1x$204+2.3%
Expensive12x$300+50%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ABG has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

ABG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect ABG's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

EBAY has the edge over ABG on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

ABG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$244.26
Downside-20%$159.14

Calculated from the latest close: $199.61 on Nov 12.

ABG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EBAY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY trails ABG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ABG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $28.74Q1 2024: $27.58Q2 2024: $19.63Q3 2024: $17.81Q4 2024: $21.50Q1 2025: $21.00Q2 2025: $27.37Q3 2025: $28.52Q4 2025: $25.13Q1 2026: $28.29Q2 2026: $26.78Q3 2026: $25.10Forward: $26.59
Q4 2023: $28.74Q1 2024: $27.58Q2 2024: $19.63Q3 2024: $17.81Q4 2024: $21.50Q1 2025: $21.00Q2 2025: $27.37Q3 2025: $28.52Q4 2025: $25.13Q1 2026: $28.29Q2 2026: $26.78Q3 2026: $25.10Forward: $26.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$26.59+5.9%
Q3 2026$25.10-12%
Q2 2026$26.78-2.2%
Q1 2026$28.29+35%
Q4 2025$25.13+17%
Q3 2025$28.52+60%
Q2 2025$27.37+39%
Q1 2025$21.00-24%
Q4 2024$21.50-25%

ABG's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $25.10 over the past year, against $44.61 in late 2022.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.57 over the past year, against $20.25 in late 2021.

ABG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.8BQ1 2024: $4.2BQ2 2024: $4.2BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $4.5BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $4.4BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.7BQ1 2026: $4.1BQ2 2026: $4.4BQ3 2026: $4.4B
Q4 2023: $3.8BQ1 2024: $4.2BQ2 2024: $4.2BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $4.5BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $4.4BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.7BQ1 2026: $4.1BQ2 2026: $4.4BQ3 2026: $4.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.4B-8.1%
Q2 2026$4.4B+0.3%
Q1 2026$4.1B-0.9%
Q4 2025$4.7B+3.8%
Q3 2025$4.8B+13%
Q2 2025$4.4B+3%
Q1 2025$4.1B-1.3%
Q4 2024$4.5B+18%

ABG's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $4.4B last quarter, down 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY has the edge over ABG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ABG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $177MQ2 2024: −$154MQ3 2024: $404MQ4 2024: $244MQ1 2025: $225MQ2 2025: $91MQ3 2025: $307MQ4 2025: $152MQ1 2026: $223MQ2 2026: $129MQ3 2026: $265M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $177MQ2 2024: −$154MQ3 2024: $404MQ4 2024: $244MQ1 2025: $225MQ2 2025: $91MQ3 2025: $307MQ4 2025: $152MQ1 2026: $223MQ2 2026: $129MQ3 2026: $265M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$265.1M-14%
Q2 2026$129.4M+42%
Q1 2026$223.2M-0.8%
Q4 2025$151.9M-38%
Q3 2025$306.9M-24%
Q2 2025$91.4M+$245.8M
Q1 2025$225M+27%
Q3 2024$404.3M+2134%

ABG still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $770M over the past year.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY has the edge over ABG on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ABG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 20MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 20MQ4 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 18MQ3 2026: 18M
Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 20MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 20MQ4 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 18MQ3 2026: 18M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-300K shares
1 year-8.2%-1.6M shares
3 years-13%-2.7M shares
5 years-7.7%-1.5M shares
Available history-6.7%-1.3M shares

ABG has the edge over EBAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has 453M diluted shares, down 3% from a year ago, with $2.1B in buybacks over the past year.

ABG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.1xQ1 2024: 3.1xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 4.2xQ4 2024: 3.4xQ1 2025: 3.4xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 3.8xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 3.9x
Q4 2023: 3.1xQ1 2024: 3.1xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 4.2xQ4 2024: 3.4xQ1 2025: 3.4xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 3.8xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 3.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.9xElevated
Q2 20263.9xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.8xElevated
Q3 20253.4xElevated
Q2 20252.9xModerate
Q1 20253.4xElevated
Q4 20243.4xElevated

ABG's net debt is about 3.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.4 years a year ago.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY has the edge over ABG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ABG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.3Neutral
Stochastic52.0Neutral

ABG's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

ABG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricABGSector medianRelative
PE8x18x56% below
PE %46471 pt below

ABG has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

ABG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$184.08.5% above
20 week MA$201.30.9% below
50 week MA$208.84.4% below
100 week MA$225.211% below
200 week MA$224.511% below

ABG has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 11% below its 200-week average.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY has the edge over ABG on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ABG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$113.6$139.8+23%
2021$139.8$164.4+18%
2022$164.4$169.0+2.8%
2023$169.0$225.0+33%
2024$225.0$244.5+8.7%
2025$244.5$241.5-1.3%
2026 YTD$241.5$199.6-17%

ABG has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 17% so far in 2026.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over ABG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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