ABG
Asbury Automotive Group, Inc.
ABG has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has a slight edge over ABG overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
ABG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure |
ABG's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
ABG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 5.2x | $132 | -34% |
| Forward | 7.5x | $200 | — |
| Current | 8x | $200 | — |
| Fair | 8.1x | $204 | +2.3% |
| Expensive | 12x | $300 | +50% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ABG has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
ABG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect ABG's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over ABG on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.
ABG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $26.59 | +5.9% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.10 | -12% |
| Q2 2026 | $26.78 | -2.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $28.29 | +35% |
| Q4 2025 | $25.13 | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.52 | +60% |
| Q2 2025 | $27.37 | +39% |
| Q1 2025 | $21.00 | -24% |
| Q4 2024 | $21.50 | -25% |
ABG has the edge over BABA on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
ABG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B | -8.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.4B | +0.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.1B | -0.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.7B | +3.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.8B | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.4B | +3% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.1B | -1.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.5B | +18% |
ABG's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $4.4B last quarter, down 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.7% | -0.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 5% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.7% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.7% | -2.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5% | -0.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.9% | +3.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.7% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 5.3% | +2.1 points |
ABG's operating margin was 4.7% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over ABG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over ABG on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ABG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $265.1M | -14% |
| Q2 2026 | $129.4M | +42% |
| Q1 2026 | $223.2M | -0.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $151.9M | -38% |
| Q3 2025 | $306.9M | -24% |
| Q2 2025 | $91.4M | +$245.8M |
| Q1 2025 | $225M | +27% |
| Q3 2024 | $404.3M | +2134% |
ABG has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
ABG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.6% | -300K shares |
| 1 year | -8.2% | -1.6M shares |
| 3 years | -13% | -2.7M shares |
| 5 years | -7.7% | -1.5M shares |
| Available history | -6.7% | -1.3M shares |
ABG has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $130.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $147M |
| Q4 2025 | $37.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $37.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $200,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $12.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $100,000 |
ABG spent $315M buying back its own shares over the past year, about six times what it spent the year before.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
ABG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.4x | Elevated |
ABG's net debt is about 3.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.4 years a year ago.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over ABG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ABG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 50.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 52.0 | Neutral |
ABG's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
ABG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | ABG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8x | 18x | 56% below |
| PE % | 46 | 47 | 1 pt below |
ABG has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
ABG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $184.0 | 8.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $201.3 | 0.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $208.8 | 4.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $225.2 | 11% below |
| 200 week MA | $224.5 | 11% below |
ABG has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
ABG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $113.6 | $139.8 | +23% |
| 2021 | $139.8 | $164.4 | +18% |
| 2022 | $164.4 | $169.0 | +2.8% |
| 2023 | $169.0 | $225.0 | +33% |
| 2024 | $225.0 | $244.5 | +8.7% |
| 2025 | $244.5 | $241.5 | -1.3% |
| 2026 YTD | $241.5 | $199.6 | -17% |
ABG has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.