ABCB

Ameris Bancorp

47
Fundamentals45/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

ABCB's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has the edge over ABCB overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

ABCB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

ABCB's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ABCB.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

ABCB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.2x8.4x13x17x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.2x8.4x13x17x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.8x$50.20-39%
Fair11x$65.46-21%
Forward12x$82.50—
Expensive14x$79.44-3.7%
Current14x$82.50—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ABCB has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

ABCB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect ABCB's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

MS has the edge over ABCB on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

ABCB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$97.84
Downside-15%$70.28

Calculated from the latest close: $82.50 on Nov 12.

ABCB trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ABCB, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ABCB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.89Q1 2024: $4.10Q2 2024: $4.51Q3 2024: $4.79Q4 2024: $5.19Q1 2025: $5.38Q2 2025: $5.66Q3 2025: $5.76Q4 2025: $6.00Q1 2026: $6.36Q2 2026: $5.53Q3 2026: $5.72Forward: $6.84
Q4 2023: $3.89Q1 2024: $4.10Q2 2024: $4.51Q3 2024: $4.79Q4 2024: $5.19Q1 2025: $5.38Q2 2025: $5.66Q3 2025: $5.76Q4 2025: $6.00Q1 2026: $6.36Q2 2026: $5.53Q3 2026: $5.72Forward: $6.84
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.84+20%
Q3 2026$5.72-0.7%
Q2 2026$5.53-2.3%
Q1 2026$6.36+18%
Q4 2025$6.00+16%
Q3 2025$5.76+20%
Q2 2025$5.66+25%
Q1 2025$5.38+31%
Q4 2024$5.19+33%

ABCB earned $5.72 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over ABCB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ABCB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $262MQ1 2024: $267MQ2 2024: $301MQ3 2024: $284MQ4 2024: $291MQ1 2025: $286MQ2 2025: $301MQ3 2025: $314MQ4 2025: $307MQ1 2026: $314MQ2 2026: $326MQ3 2026: $322M
Q4 2023: $262MQ1 2024: $267MQ2 2024: $301MQ3 2024: $284MQ4 2024: $291MQ1 2025: $286MQ2 2025: $301MQ3 2025: $314MQ4 2025: $307MQ1 2026: $314MQ2 2026: $326MQ3 2026: $322M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$321.8M+2.4%
Q2 2026$326M+8.4%
Q1 2026$314.4M+10%
Q4 2025$307.1M+5.6%
Q3 2025$314.2M+11%
Q2 2025$300.7M0%
Q1 2025$285.9M+7%
Q4 2024$290.8M+11%

ABCB's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $322M last quarter, up 2.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over ABCB on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ABCB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $207MQ1 2024: $15MQ2 2024: −$100MQ3 2024: $100MQ4 2024: $126MQ1 2025: $114MQ2 2025: $54MQ3 2025: $101MQ4 2025: $101MQ1 2026: $249MQ2 2026: $71MQ3 2026: $214M
Q4 2023: $207MQ1 2024: $15MQ2 2024: −$100MQ3 2024: $100MQ4 2024: $126MQ1 2025: $114MQ2 2025: $54MQ3 2025: $101MQ4 2025: $101MQ1 2026: $249MQ2 2026: $71MQ3 2026: $214M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$213.8M+113%
Q2 2026$70.8M+32%
Q1 2026$249.4M+118%
Q4 2025$101.2M-20%
Q3 2025$100.5M+0.8%
Q2 2025$53.7M+$154.1M
Q1 2025$114.2M+654%
Q4 2024$126.1M-39%

ABCB has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

ABCB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 69MQ1 2024: 69MQ2 2024: 69MQ3 2024: 69MQ4 2024: 69MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 69MQ3 2025: 69MQ4 2025: 69MQ1 2026: 68MQ2 2026: 67MQ3 2026: 67M
Q4 2023: 69MQ1 2024: 69MQ2 2024: 69MQ3 2024: 69MQ4 2024: 69MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 69MQ3 2025: 69MQ4 2025: 69MQ1 2026: 68MQ2 2026: 67MQ3 2026: 67M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-75.3K shares
1 year-2.4%-1.6M shares
3 years-2.9%-2M shares
5 years-3.9%-2.7M shares
Available history+14%+8.4M shares

ABCB has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.

ABCB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 1.6x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.6xHealthy
Q2 20262.3xModerate
Q1 20261.3xHealthy
Q4 20250.8xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

ABCB has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

ABCB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.4Neutral
Stochastic39.0Neutral

ABCB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 39 (neutral).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

ABCB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricABCBSector medianRelative
PE14x13x11% above
PE %906327 pts above

ABCB has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

ABCB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$81.51.3% above
20 week MA$85.23.1% below
50 week MA$82.90.5% below
100 week MA$74.211% above
200 week MA$60.935% above

ABCB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 35% above its 200-week average.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

ABCB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$42.7$37.5-12%
2021$37.5$49.2+31%
2022$49.2$47.9-2.7%
2023$47.9$53.1+11%
2024$53.1$63.1+19%
2025$63.1$76.0+21%
2026 YTD$76.0$82.5+8.6%

ABCB has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

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