AB

AllianceBernstein Holding L.P.

57
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation58/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

AB offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has the edge over AB overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

AB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Strong
N/A
N/A

AB's profitability is currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AB.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

AB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.2x8.4x13x17x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.2x8.4x13x17x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.5x$33.60—
Cheap10x$35.15+4.6%
Current10x$33.60—
Fair12x$40.78+21%
Expensive14x$47.54+41%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AB has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

AB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Stable
Strong growth
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect AB's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

MS has the edge over AB on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

AB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$39.15
Downside-12%$29.58

Calculated from the latest close: $33.60 on Nov 12.

AB trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AB, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

AB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.34Q1 2024: $2.42Q2 2024: $2.88Q3 2024: $3.50Q4 2024: $3.71Q1 2025: $3.71Q2 2025: $3.36Q3 2025: $3.03Q4 2025: $2.97Q1 2026: $3.22Q2 2026: $3.35Q3 2026: $3.35Forward: $3.55
Q4 2023: $2.34Q1 2024: $2.42Q2 2024: $2.88Q3 2024: $3.50Q4 2024: $3.71Q1 2025: $3.71Q2 2025: $3.36Q3 2025: $3.03Q4 2025: $2.97Q1 2026: $3.22Q2 2026: $3.35Q3 2026: $3.35Forward: $3.55
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.55+6.1%
Q3 2026$3.35+11%
Q2 2026$3.35-0.3%
Q1 2026$3.22-13%
Q4 2025$2.97-20%
Q3 2025$3.03-13%
Q2 2025$3.36+17%
Q1 2025$3.71+53%
Q4 2024$3.71+59%

AB earned $3.35 per share over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over AB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --

AB and MS do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

AB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $73MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $84MQ3 2024: $81MQ4 2024: $87MQ1 2025: $115MQ2 2025: $89MQ3 2025: $71MQ4 2025: $77MQ1 2026: $89MQ2 2026: $77MQ3 2026: $76M
Q4 2023: $73MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $84MQ3 2024: $81MQ4 2024: $87MQ1 2025: $115MQ2 2025: $89MQ3 2025: $71MQ4 2025: $77MQ1 2026: $89MQ2 2026: $77MQ3 2026: $76M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$76.4M+7.2%
Q2 2026$76.9M-13%
Q1 2026$88.5M-23%
Q4 2025$77.2M-12%
Q3 2025$71.2M-12%
Q2 2025$88.7M+5.2%
Q1 2025$115.3M+31%
Q4 2024$87.5M+20%

AB has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

AB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 114MQ1 2024: 115MQ2 2024: 115MQ3 2024: 113MQ4 2024: 111MQ1 2025: 111MQ2 2025: 111MQ3 2025: 91MQ4 2025: 92MQ1 2026: 93MQ2 2026: 93MQ3 2026: 92M
Q4 2023: 114MQ1 2024: 115MQ2 2024: 115MQ3 2024: 113MQ4 2024: 111MQ1 2025: 111MQ2 2025: 111MQ3 2025: 91MQ4 2025: 92MQ1 2026: 93MQ2 2026: 93MQ3 2026: 92M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-1.1M shares
1 year+1%+938K shares
3 years-18%-19.9M shares
5 years-6.9%-6.8M shares
Available history-6.4%-6.3M shares

AB has 92M diluted shares, up 1% from a year ago, despite $90M in buybacks over the past year.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over AB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AB Net Leverage

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

AB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.3Neutral
Stochastic13.3Oversold

AB's weekly RSI is 32 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

AB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricABSector medianRelative
PE10x13x23% below
PE %76356 pts below

AB has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

AB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$34.83.4% below
20 week MA$36.06.7% below
50 week MA$37.611% below
100 week MA$38.312% below
200 week MA$36.06.7% below

AB is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 6.7% below its 200-week average.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over AB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$30.0$33.4+11%
2021$33.4$49.0+47%
2022$49.0$34.3-30%
2023$34.3$31.0-9.5%
2024$31.0$37.2+20%
2025$37.2$39.2+5.2%
2026 YTD$39.2$33.6-14%

AB has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 14% so far in 2026.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over AB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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