AAPL
Apple Inc.
AAPL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
XYZ
Block, Inc.
XYZ has the edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
AAPL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
XYZ Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
XYZ's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.
AAPL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 26x | $230 | -35% |
| Fair | 31x | $279 | -21% |
| Expensive | 37x | $328 | -7.5% |
| Forward | 38x | $355 | — |
| Current | 40x | $355 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AAPL has the edge over XYZ in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
XYZ PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $12.08 | -85% |
| Forward | 16x | $82.26 | — |
| Fair | 93x | $69.03 | -16% |
| Current | 111x | $82.26 | — |
| Expensive | 316x | $233 | +184% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
XYZ's PE is in its fair range at 111x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
AAPL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.
XYZ Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
XYZ has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.
AAPL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.28 | +3.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.98 | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.71 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.26 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.90 | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.46 | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.59 | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.42 | -0.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.30 | -2% |
AAPL earned $8.98 per share over the past year, up 20% from the year before.
XYZ Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.04 | +581% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.74 | -85% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.56 | -88% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.28 | -69% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.10 | -54% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.97 | +176% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.68 | +260% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.12 | +422% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.56 | +22700% |
XYZ's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.74 over the past year, against $4.97 in late 2025.
AAPL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $114.5B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $109.4B | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $111.2B | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $143.8B | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $102.5B | +7.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $94B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $95.4B | +5.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $124.3B | +4% |
AAPL has the edge over XYZ on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 31% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 33% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 35% | +0.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 30% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 34% | +0.7 points |
AAPL has the edge over XYZ on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
XYZ Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6.7B | +9.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.6B | +9.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.1B | +4.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.3B | +3.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.1B | +2.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.1B | -1.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.8B | -3.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $6B | +4.5% |
XYZ's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $6.7B last quarter, up 9.9% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.4% | -0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 6.8% | -1.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | -2.8% | -8.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.8% | +7.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.7% | +1.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8% | +3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.7% | +1.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2% | +2.5 points |
XYZ's operating margin was 6.4% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
AAPL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25.9B | -2.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.9B | +31% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.7B | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | $51.6B | +91% |
| Q3 2025 | $26.5B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $24.4B | -8.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.9B | +0.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $27B | -28% |
AAPL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $136B over the past year, up 38% from the year before.
XYZ Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $972M | -31% |
| Q2 2026 | $966.6M | +182% |
| Q1 2026 | $935M | +822% |
| Q4 2025 | $579.8M | +$593M |
| Q3 2025 | $1.4B | +123% |
| Q2 2025 | $343M | -29% |
| Q1 2025 | $101.5M | -78% |
| Q4 2024 | -$13.2M | +$836.4M |
XYZ generated $3.5B in free cash flow over the past year, up 89% from the year before.
AAPL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +5.6M shares |
| 1 year | -1.9% | -284M shares |
| 3 years | -6.9% | -1.1B shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -2.1B shares |
| Available history | -17% | -3.1B shares |
AAPL has the edge over XYZ on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.3B |
| Q2 2026 | $25.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $12.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $24.7B |
| Q3 2025 | $20.1B |
| Q2 2025 | $21.1B |
| Q1 2025 | $25.9B |
| Q4 2024 | $23.6B |
AAPL spent $86.4B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 4.8% from the year before.
XYZ Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1% | +5.9M shares |
| 1 year | -1.1% | -6.9M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +3.5M shares |
| 5 years | +22% | +111M shares |
| Available history | +32% | +149M shares |
XYZ has 615M diluted shares, down 1.1% from a year ago, with $1.5B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $64.9M |
| Q1 2026 | $636M |
| Q4 2025 | $790.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $403M |
| Q2 2025 | $692.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $445.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $183.2M |
XYZ spent $1.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 13% from the year before.
AAPL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.5x | Very low |
AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
XYZ Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | -2.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.3x | Net Cash |
XYZ has the edge over AAPL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
AAPL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 85.0 | Overbought |
AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).
XYZ Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 57.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 55.5 | Neutral |
XYZ's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).
AAPL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | AAPL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40x | 28x | 42% above |
| PE % | 96 | 35 | 61 pts above |
AAPL has the edge over XYZ on valuation relative to its sector.
XYZ PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | XYZ | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 111x | 28x | 299% above |
| PE % | 52 | 35 | 17 pts above |
XYZ is trading at 111x earnings, a 299% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
AAPL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $343.1 | 3.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $329.0 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $295.6 | 20% above |
| 100 week MA | $262.4 | 35% above |
| 200 week MA | $226.3 | 57% above |
AAPL is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 57% above its 200-week average.
XYZ Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $78.3 | 5.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $79.3 | 3.7% above |
| 50 week MA | $71.0 | 16% above |
| 100 week MA | $70.6 | 16% above |
| 200 week MA | $69.1 | 19% above |
XYZ is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 19% above its 200-week average.
AAPL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $72.5 | $132.0 | +82% |
| 2021 | $132.0 | $176.3 | +34% |
| 2022 | $176.3 | $131.9 | -25% |
| 2023 | $131.9 | $192.5 | +46% |
| 2024 | $192.5 | $255.6 | +33% |
| 2025 | $255.6 | $273.4 | +7% |
| 2026 YTD | $273.4 | $354.9 | +30% |
AAPL has the edge over XYZ on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
XYZ Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $63.8 | $228.3 | +258% |
| 2021 | $228.3 | $167.7 | -27% |
| 2022 | $167.7 | $60.9 | -64% |
| 2023 | $60.9 | $77.4 | +27% |
| 2024 | $77.4 | $89.0 | +15% |
| 2025 | $89.0 | $66.3 | -26% |
| 2026 YTD | $66.3 | $82.3 | +24% |
XYZ's yearly returns have swung widely, from +258% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's up 24% so far in 2026.