AAPL

Apple Inc.

59
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AAPL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

VERX

Vertex, Inc.

65
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

VERX has the edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

AAPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

VERX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Stable

VERX's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable, but its profitability is under pressure.

AAPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$230-35%
Fair31x$279-21%
Expensive37x$328-7.5%
Forward38x$355—
Current40x$355—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.

VERX PE Valuation

VERX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.

VERX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

VERX has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

AAPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$416.94
Downside-15%$301.30

Calculated from the latest close: $354.88 on Nov 12.

AAPL trails VERX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VERX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$26.68
Downside-32%$12.03

Calculated from the latest close: $17.75 on Nov 12.

VERX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAPL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.28+3.3%
Q3 2026$8.98+20%
Q2 2026$8.71+32%
Q1 2026$8.26+29%
Q4 2025$7.90+25%
Q3 2025$7.46+23%
Q2 2025$6.59+0.2%
Q1 2025$6.42-0.3%
Q4 2024$6.30-2%

AAPL has the edge over VERX on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

VERX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.09Q1 2024: $0.05Q2 2024: $0.13Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $-0.33Q1 2025: $-0.28Q2 2025: $-0.32Q3 2025: $-0.34Q4 2025: $0.05Q1 2026: $-0.04Q2 2026: $0.03Q3 2026: $-0.28Forward: $0.99
Q4 2023: $-0.09Q1 2024: $0.05Q2 2024: $0.13Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $-0.33Q1 2025: $-0.28Q2 2025: $-0.32Q3 2025: $-0.34Q4 2025: $0.05Q1 2026: $-0.04Q2 2026: $0.03Q3 2026: $-0.28Forward: $0.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.99—
Q3 2026-$0.28+$0.06
Q2 2026$0.03+$0.35
Q1 2026-$0.04+$0.24
Q4 2025$0.05+$0.38
Q3 2025-$0.34-270%
Q2 2025-$0.32-346%
Q1 2025-$0.28-660%
Q4 2024-$0.33-$0.24

VERX is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.28 per share over the past year, against $0.57 at its worst in late 2020.

AAPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$114.5B+12%
Q2 2026$109.4B+16%
Q1 2026$111.2B+17%
Q4 2025$143.8B+16%
Q3 2025$102.5B+7.9%
Q2 2025$94B+9.6%
Q1 2025$95.4B+5.1%
Q4 2024$124.3B+4%

AAPL's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $114B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

VERX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $155MQ1 2024: $157MQ2 2024: $161MQ3 2024: $170MQ4 2024: $178MQ1 2025: $177MQ2 2025: $185MQ3 2025: $192MQ4 2025: $195MQ1 2026: $197MQ2 2026: $204MQ3 2026: $213M
Q4 2023: $155MQ1 2024: $157MQ2 2024: $161MQ3 2024: $170MQ4 2024: $178MQ1 2025: $177MQ2 2025: $185MQ3 2025: $192MQ4 2025: $195MQ1 2026: $197MQ2 2026: $204MQ3 2026: $213M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$213.3M+11%
Q2 2026$204M+11%
Q1 2026$196.6M+11%
Q4 2025$194.7M+9.1%
Q3 2025$192.1M+13%
Q2 2025$184.6M+15%
Q1 2025$177.1M+13%
Q4 2024$178.5M+15%

VERX has the edge over AAPL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AAPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.9B-2.4%
Q2 2026$31.9B+31%
Q1 2026$26.7B+28%
Q4 2025$51.6B+91%
Q3 2025$26.5B+11%
Q2 2025$24.4B-8.6%
Q1 2025$20.9B+0.9%
Q4 2024$27B-28%

AAPL has the edge over VERX on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VERX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $18MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: −$12MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $11MQ3 2026: $53M
Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $18MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: −$12MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $11MQ3 2026: $53M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$53.2M+76%
Q2 2026$10.6M-46%
Q1 2026$7.7M+$19.9M
Q4 2025$10.1M-44%
Q3 2025$30.2M+64%
Q2 2025$19.6M-47%
Q1 2025-$12.3M-372%
Q4 2024$17.9M-38%

VERX generated $82M in free cash flow over the past year, up 47% from the year before.

AAPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5.6M shares
1 year-1.9%-284M shares
3 years-6.9%-1.1B shares
5 years-13%-2.1B shares
Available history-17%-3.1B shares

AAPL has the edge over VERX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VERX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 156MQ1 2024: 161MQ2 2024: 172MQ3 2024: 144MQ4 2024: 158MQ1 2025: 159MQ2 2025: 159MQ3 2025: 162MQ4 2025: 175MQ1 2026: 175MQ2 2026: 161MQ3 2026: 162M
Q4 2023: 156MQ1 2024: 161MQ2 2024: 172MQ3 2024: 144MQ4 2024: 158MQ1 2025: 159MQ2 2025: 159MQ3 2025: 162MQ4 2025: 175MQ1 2026: 175MQ2 2026: 161MQ3 2026: 162M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+876K shares
1 year+0.1%+96.8K shares
3 years+6.7%+10.2M shares
5 years+9.5%+14.1M shares
Available history+25%+32.6M shares

VERX has 162M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

AAPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

AAPL has the edge over VERX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

VERX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 2.3x
Q4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.3xModerate
Q2 20262.3xModerate
Q1 20261.0xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.8xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

VERX's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

AAPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic85.0Overbought

AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

VERX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.5Neutral
Stochastic89.0Overbought

VERX's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 89 (overbought).

AAPL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAAPLSector medianRelative
PE40x28x42% above
PE %963561 pts above

AAPL has the edge over VERX on valuation relative to its sector.

VERX PE vs Technology Sector

MetricVERXSector medianRelative
PE501x28x1,697% above
PE %743737 pts above

VERX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$343.13.4% above
20 week MA$329.07.9% above
50 week MA$295.620% above
100 week MA$262.435% above
200 week MA$226.357% above

AAPL has the edge over VERX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

VERX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$14.423% above
20 week MA$13.432% above
50 week MA$14.324% above
100 week MA$24.828% below
200 week MA$26.633% below

VERX has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 33% below its 200-week average.

AAPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.5$132.0+82%
2021$132.0$176.3+34%
2022$176.3$131.9-25%
2023$131.9$192.5+46%
2024$192.5$255.6+33%
2025$255.6$273.4+7%
2026 YTD$273.4$354.9+30%

AAPL has the edge over VERX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

VERX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$23.6$34.1+45%
2021$34.1$17.1-50%
2022$17.1$14.8-13%
2023$14.8$26.9+82%
2024$26.9$52.7+96%
2025$52.7$20.3-61%
2026 YTD$20.3$17.8-13%

VERX has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

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