AAPL

Apple Inc.

59
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AAPL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

UI

Ubiquiti Inc.

71
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation49/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

UI has the edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

AAPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

UI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

UI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

AAPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$230-35%
Fair31x$279-21%
Expensive37x$328-7.5%
Forward38x$355—
Current40x$355—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AAPL has the edge over UI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

UI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x38x58x77x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x38x58x77x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$475-31%
Forward34x$683—
Fair36x$634-7.2%
Current39x$683—
Expensive48x$858+26%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UI's PE is in its fair range at 39x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 34x next year's earnings.

AAPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.

UI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
High

UI has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.

AAPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$416.94
Downside-15%$301.30

Calculated from the latest close: $354.88 on Nov 12.

AAPL trails UI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$992.90
Downside-23%$524.86

Calculated from the latest close: $683.21 on Nov 12.

UI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAPL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.28+3.3%
Q3 2026$8.98+20%
Q2 2026$8.71+32%
Q1 2026$8.26+29%
Q4 2025$7.90+25%
Q3 2025$7.46+23%
Q2 2025$6.59+0.2%
Q1 2025$6.42-0.3%
Q4 2024$6.30-2%

AAPL earned $8.98 per share over the past year, up 20% from the year before.

UI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.15Q1 2024: $5.78Q2 2024: $5.79Q3 2024: $6.46Q4 2024: $7.36Q1 2025: $9.08Q2 2025: $11.76Q3 2025: $13.07Q4 2025: $14.67Q1 2026: $15.55Q2 2026: $15.85Q3 2026: $17.71Forward: $20.37
Q4 2023: $6.15Q1 2024: $5.78Q2 2024: $5.79Q3 2024: $6.46Q4 2024: $7.36Q1 2025: $9.08Q2 2025: $11.76Q3 2025: $13.07Q4 2025: $14.67Q1 2026: $15.55Q2 2026: $15.85Q3 2026: $17.71Forward: $20.37
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.37+15%
Q3 2026$17.71+36%
Q2 2026$15.85+35%
Q1 2026$15.55+71%
Q4 2025$14.67+99%
Q3 2025$13.07+102%
Q2 2025$11.76+103%
Q1 2025$9.08+57%
Q4 2024$7.36+20%

UI has the edge over AAPL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$114.5B+12%
Q2 2026$109.4B+16%
Q1 2026$111.2B+17%
Q4 2025$143.8B+16%
Q3 2025$102.5B+7.9%
Q2 2025$94B+9.6%
Q1 2025$95.4B+5.1%
Q4 2024$124.3B+4%

AAPL's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $114B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

UI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $465MQ1 2024: $493MQ2 2024: $507MQ3 2024: $550MQ4 2024: $600MQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $759MQ3 2025: $734MQ4 2025: $815MQ1 2026: $788MQ2 2026: $937MQ3 2026: $1B
Q4 2023: $465MQ1 2024: $493MQ2 2024: $507MQ3 2024: $550MQ4 2024: $600MQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $759MQ3 2025: $734MQ4 2025: $815MQ1 2026: $788MQ2 2026: $937MQ3 2026: $1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1B+40%
Q2 2026$937.3M+23%
Q1 2026$788.2M+19%
Q4 2025$814.9M+36%
Q3 2025$733.8M+33%
Q2 2025$759.2M+50%
Q1 2025$664.2M+35%
Q4 2024$599.9M+29%

UI has the edge over AAPL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AAPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.9B-2.4%
Q2 2026$31.9B+31%
Q1 2026$26.7B+28%
Q4 2025$51.6B+91%
Q3 2025$26.5B+11%
Q2 2025$24.4B-8.6%
Q1 2025$20.9B+0.9%
Q4 2024$27B-28%

AAPL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $136B over the past year, up 38% from the year before.

UI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $75MQ1 2024: $161MQ2 2024: $230MQ3 2024: $231MQ4 2024: $150MQ1 2025: $121MQ2 2025: $125MQ3 2025: $193MQ4 2025: $260MQ1 2026: $162MQ2 2026: $293MQ3 2026: $312M
Q4 2023: $75MQ1 2024: $161MQ2 2024: $230MQ3 2024: $231MQ4 2024: $150MQ1 2025: $121MQ2 2025: $125MQ3 2025: $193MQ4 2025: $260MQ1 2026: $162MQ2 2026: $293MQ3 2026: $312M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$312.4M+62%
Q2 2026$293.1M+134%
Q1 2026$162.2M+34%
Q4 2025$260.3M+73%
Q3 2025$193.3M-16%
Q2 2025$125.2M-45%
Q1 2025$120.7M-25%
Q4 2024$150.4M+101%

UI has the edge over AAPL on cash flow, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AAPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5.6M shares
1 year-1.9%-284M shares
3 years-6.9%-1.1B shares
5 years-13%-2.1B shares
Available history-17%-3.1B shares

AAPL has the edge over UI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

UI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 60MQ1 2024: 60MQ2 2024: 60MQ3 2024: 60MQ4 2024: 61MQ1 2025: 61MQ2 2025: 61MQ3 2025: 61MQ4 2025: 61MQ1 2026: 61MQ2 2026: 61MQ3 2026: 61M
Q4 2023: 60MQ1 2024: 60MQ2 2024: 60MQ3 2024: 60MQ4 2024: 61MQ1 2025: 61MQ2 2025: 61MQ3 2025: 61MQ4 2025: 61MQ1 2026: 61MQ2 2026: 61MQ3 2026: 61M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-6K shares
1 year0%+5K shares
3 years+0.2%+113K shares
5 years-3.2%-2M shares
Available history-6.9%-4.5M shares

UI has 61M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

AAPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

UI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.4x
Q4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

UI has the edge over AAPL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AAPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic85.0Overbought

AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

UI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.4Neutral
Stochastic62.6Neutral

UI's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 63 (neutral).

AAPL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAAPLSector medianRelative
PE40x28x42% above
PE %963561 pts above

AAPL is trading at 40x earnings, a 42% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

UI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricUISector medianRelative
PE39x28x38% above
PE %603525 pts above

UI has the edge over AAPL on valuation relative to its sector.

AAPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$343.13.4% above
20 week MA$329.07.9% above
50 week MA$295.620% above
100 week MA$262.435% above
200 week MA$226.357% above

AAPL is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 57% above its 200-week average.

UI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$608.312% above
20 week MA$580.118% above
50 week MA$648.15.4% above
100 week MA$548.425% above
200 week MA$365.887% above

UI is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 87% above its 200-week average.

AAPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.5$132.0+82%
2021$132.0$176.3+34%
2022$176.3$131.9-25%
2023$131.9$192.5+46%
2024$192.5$255.6+33%
2025$255.6$273.4+7%
2026 YTD$273.4$354.9+30%

AAPL has the edge over UI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$189.4$273.0+44%
2021$273.0$311.8+14%
2022$311.8$271.6-13%
2023$271.6$139.6-49%
2024$139.6$340.8+144%
2025$340.8$570.7+67%
2026 YTD$570.7$683.2+20%

UI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +144% in 2024 to −49% in 2023. It's up 20% so far in 2026.

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