AAPL
Apple Inc.
AAPL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
TUYA
Tuya Inc.
TUYA has a slight edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
AAPL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
TUYA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
TUYA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
AAPL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 26x | $230 | -35% |
| Fair | 31x | $279 | -21% |
| Expensive | 37x | $328 | -7.5% |
| Forward | 38x | $355 | — |
| Current | 40x | $355 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.
TUYA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 12x | $1.61 | — |
| Cheap | 18x | $2.46 | +53% |
| Fair | 28x | $3.86 | +140% |
| Expensive | 74x | $10.36 | +543% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TUYA has the edge over AAPL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
AAPL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.
TUYA Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for TUYA to show an outlook.
AAPL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.28 | +3.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.98 | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.71 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.26 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.90 | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.46 | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.59 | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.42 | -0.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.30 | -2% |
AAPL earned $8.98 per share over the past year, up 20% from the year before.
TUYA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0.14 | +180% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.10 | +233% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.09 | +800% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.08 | +$0.11 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.05 | +$0.08 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.03 | +$0.11 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.01 | +$0.12 |
| Q3 2024 | -$0.03 | +$0.10 |
TUYA has the edge over AAPL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAPL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $114.5B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $109.4B | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $111.2B | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $143.8B | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $102.5B | +7.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $94B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $95.4B | +5.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $124.3B | +4% |
AAPL's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $114B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 31% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 33% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 35% | +0.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 30% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 34% | +0.7 points |
AAPL has the edge over TUYA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TUYA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $173.8M | +117% |
| Q1 2026 | $81.1M | +8.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $84.9M | +3.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $82.6M | +1.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $80.1M | +9.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $74.7M | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $82.1M | +27% |
| Q3 2024 | $81.6M | +34% |
TUYA has the edge over AAPL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 9.7% | +8.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.2% | +7.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.4% | +11 points |
| Q3 2025 | 0.7% | +22 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1.4% | +16 points |
| Q1 2025 | -1.9% | +25 points |
| Q4 2024 | -4.6% | +32 points |
| Q3 2024 | -21% | +9.3 points |
TUYA's operating margin was 9.7% last quarter, up 8.3 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
AAPL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25.9B | -2.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.9B | +31% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.7B | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | $51.6B | +91% |
| Q3 2025 | $26.5B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $24.4B | -8.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.9B | +0.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $27B | -28% |
AAPL has the edge over TUYA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TUYA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $6.2M | +$6.2M |
| Q1 2026 | $6.4M | +$6.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $16.4M | +$16.4M |
| Q3 2025 | $30M | +$30M |
| Q2 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | $0 | -100% |
| Q3 2024 | $0 | -100% |
TUYA generated $59M in free cash flow over the past year, against $0 the year before.
AAPL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +5.6M shares |
| 1 year | -1.9% | -284M shares |
| 3 years | -6.9% | -1.1B shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -2.1B shares |
| Available history | -17% | -3.1B shares |
AAPL has the edge over TUYA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.3B |
| Q2 2026 | $25.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $12.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $24.7B |
| Q3 2025 | $20.1B |
| Q2 2025 | $21.1B |
| Q1 2025 | $25.9B |
| Q4 2024 | $23.6B |
AAPL spent $86.4B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 4.8% from the year before.
TUYA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | +1% | +5.8M shares |
| 3 years | +11% | +61.4M shares |
| 5 years | +9.9% | +55.4M shares |
| Available history | +11% | +60.6M shares |
TUYA has 616M diluted shares, up 1% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $24,000 |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
TUYA has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
AAPL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.5x | Very low |
AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
TUYA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -9.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -13.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -13.6x | Net Cash |
TUYA has the edge over AAPL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
AAPL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 85.0 | Overbought |
AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).
TUYA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 36.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.0 | Oversold |
TUYA's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
AAPL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | AAPL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40x | 28x | 42% above |
| PE % | 96 | 35 | 61 pts above |
AAPL is trading at 40x earnings, a 42% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
TUYA PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | TUYA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 28x | 58% below |
| PE % | 1 | 41 | 40 pts below |
TUYA has the edge over AAPL on valuation relative to its sector.
AAPL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $343.1 | 3.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $329.0 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $295.6 | 20% above |
| 100 week MA | $262.4 | 35% above |
| 200 week MA | $226.3 | 57% above |
AAPL has the edge over TUYA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
TUYA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1.65 | 2.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $1.73 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $2.03 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $2.27 | 29% below |
| 200 week MA | $2.04 | 21% below |
TUYA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 21% below its 200-week average.
AAPL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $72.5 | $132.0 | +82% |
| 2021 | $132.0 | $176.3 | +34% |
| 2022 | $176.3 | $131.9 | -25% |
| 2023 | $131.9 | $192.5 | +46% |
| 2024 | $192.5 | $255.6 | +33% |
| 2025 | $255.6 | $273.4 | +7% |
| 2026 YTD | $273.4 | $354.9 | +30% |
AAPL has the edge over TUYA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TUYA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $25.1 | $6.40 | -75% |
| 2022 | $6.40 | $1.79 | -72% |
| 2023 | $1.79 | $2.30 | +28% |
| 2024 | $2.30 | $1.78 | -23% |
| 2025 | $1.78 | $2.21 | +24% |
| 2026 YTD | $2.21 | $1.61 | -27% |
TUYA has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 27% so far in 2026.