AAPL
Apple Inc.
AAPL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
TLS
Telos Corporation
TLS has the edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
AAPL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
TLS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
TLS's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.
AAPL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 26x | $230 | -35% |
| Fair | 31x | $279 | -21% |
| Expensive | 37x | $328 | -7.5% |
| Forward | 38x | $355 | — |
| Current | 40x | $355 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.
TLS PE Valuation
TLS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAPL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.
TLS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
TLS has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
AAPL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.28 | +3.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.98 | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.71 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.26 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.90 | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.46 | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.59 | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.42 | -0.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.30 | -2% |
AAPL has the edge over TLS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
TLS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.28 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.12 | +$0.29 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.21 | +$0.56 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.35 | +$0.40 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.50 | +$0.23 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.41 | +$0.29 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.77 | -$0.34 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.75 | -$0.31 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.73 | -$0.23 |
TLS is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.12 per share over the past year, against $0.77 at its worst in mid-2025.
AAPL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $114.5B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $109.4B | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $111.2B | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $143.8B | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $102.5B | +7.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $94B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $95.4B | +5.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $124.3B | +4% |
AAPL's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $114B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 31% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 33% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 35% | +0.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 30% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 34% | +0.7 points |
AAPL has the edge over TLS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TLS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $55.2M | +7.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $47.7M | +33% |
| Q1 2026 | $47.7M | +56% |
| Q4 2025 | $46.8M | +77% |
| Q3 2025 | $51.4M | +116% |
| Q2 2025 | $36M | +26% |
| Q1 2025 | $30.6M | +3.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $26.4M | -36% |
TLS's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $55M last quarter, up 7.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.4% | +12 points |
| Q2 2026 | 0.7% | +28 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3% | +33 points |
| Q4 2025 | -40% | -1.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | -4.8% | +117 points |
| Q2 2025 | -27% | +2.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | -29% | -1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | -18 points |
TLS's operating margin was 7.4% last quarter, up 12 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AAPL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25.9B | -2.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.9B | +31% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.7B | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | $51.6B | +91% |
| Q3 2025 | $26.5B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $24.4B | -8.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.9B | +0.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $27B | -28% |
AAPL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $136B over the past year, up 38% from the year before.
TLS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9.4M | +7.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.6M | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.5M | +42% |
| Q4 2025 | $8M | +$20.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $8.7M | +$15.8M |
| Q2 2025 | $6.8M | +$15M |
| Q1 2025 | $6M | +$6.4M |
| Q4 2024 | -$12.4M | -383% |
TLS has the edge over AAPL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAPL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +5.6M shares |
| 1 year | -1.9% | -284M shares |
| 3 years | -6.9% | -1.1B shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -2.1B shares |
| Available history | -17% | -3.1B shares |
AAPL has the edge over TLS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.3B |
| Q2 2026 | $25.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $12.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $24.7B |
| Q3 2025 | $20.1B |
| Q2 2025 | $21.1B |
| Q1 2025 | $25.9B |
| Q4 2024 | $23.6B |
AAPL spent $86.4B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 4.8% from the year before.
TLS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.4% | -1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +5.4% | +3.9M shares |
| 3 years | +10% | +6.9M shares |
| 5 years | +15% | +9.7M shares |
| Available history | +56% | +27.4M shares |
TLS has 76M diluted shares, up 5.4% from a year ago, despite $19M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5.7M |
| Q2 2026 | $4.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $2.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $6M |
| Q3 2025 | $3.6M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
TLS spent $19M buying back its own shares over the past year.
AAPL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.5x | Very low |
AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
TLS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -50.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2020 | -18.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2020 | 10.3x | High |
| Q2 2020 | 10.0x | High |
| Q1 2020 | 13.8x | High |
| Q4 2019 | 16.8x | High |
TLS has the edge over AAPL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
AAPL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 85.0 | Overbought |
AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).
TLS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 71.2 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 72.5 | Neutral |
TLS's weekly RSI is 71 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
AAPL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | AAPL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40x | 28x | 42% above |
| PE % | 96 | 35 | 61 pts above |
AAPL is trading at 40x earnings, a 42% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
TLS PE vs Technology Sector
TLS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAPL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $343.1 | 3.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $329.0 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $295.6 | 20% above |
| 100 week MA | $262.4 | 35% above |
| 200 week MA | $226.3 | 57% above |
AAPL is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 57% above its 200-week average.
TLS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $4.96 | 56% above |
| 20 week MA | $4.73 | 63% above |
| 50 week MA | $4.70 | 64% above |
| 100 week MA | $4.35 | 77% above |
| 200 week MA | $3.85 | 101% above |
TLS is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 101% above its 200-week average.
AAPL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $72.5 | $132.0 | +82% |
| 2021 | $132.0 | $176.3 | +34% |
| 2022 | $176.3 | $131.9 | -25% |
| 2023 | $131.9 | $192.5 | +46% |
| 2024 | $192.5 | $255.6 | +33% |
| 2025 | $255.6 | $273.4 | +7% |
| 2026 YTD | $273.4 | $354.9 | +30% |
AAPL has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 30% so far in 2026.
TLS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $19.1 | $30.2 | +58% |
| 2021 | $30.2 | $16.2 | -46% |
| 2022 | $16.2 | $4.87 | -70% |
| 2023 | $4.87 | $3.65 | -25% |
| 2024 | $3.65 | $3.40 | -6.8% |
| 2025 | $3.40 | $5.18 | +52% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.18 | $7.72 | +49% |
TLS has the edge over AAPL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.