AAPL
Apple Inc.
AAPL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SVCO
Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock
SVCO has a slight edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
AAPL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
SVCO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
SVCO's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
AAPL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 26x | $230 | -35% |
| Fair | 31x | $279 | -21% |
| Expensive | 37x | $328 | -7.5% |
| Forward | 38x | $355 | — |
| Current | 40x | $355 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.
SVCO PE Valuation
SVCO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 32x next year's earnings.
AAPL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.
SVCO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
SVCO has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
AAPL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.28 | +3.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.98 | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.71 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.26 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.90 | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.46 | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.59 | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.42 | -0.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.30 | -2% |
AAPL has the edge over SVCO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
SVCO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.23 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.66 | +$0.33 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.70 | +$0.34 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.91 | +$1.36 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.39 | +$0.14 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.99 | +$0.75 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.04 | +$0.50 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$2.26 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.53 | -$1.48 |
SVCO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.66 per share over the past year, against $2.27 at its worst in early 2025.
AAPL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $114.5B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $109.4B | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $111.2B | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $143.8B | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $102.5B | +7.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $94B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $95.4B | +5.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $124.3B | +4% |
AAPL's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $114B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 31% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 33% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 35% | +0.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 30% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 34% | +0.7 points |
AAPL has the edge over SVCO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SVCO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $16.3M | -13% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.8M | +48% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.8M | +26% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.3M | +2.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.7M | +70% |
| Q2 2025 | $12M | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.1M | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $17.9M | +30% |
SVCO's revenue is growing: $16M last quarter, down 13% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -26% | +24 points |
| Q2 2026 | -22% | +62 points |
| Q1 2026 | -32% | +108 points |
| Q4 2025 | -37% | -51 points |
| Q3 2025 | -50% | +17 points |
| Q2 2025 | -84% | +168 points |
| Q1 2025 | -139% | -154 points |
| Q4 2024 | 14% | +16 points |
SVCO's operating margin was −26% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AAPL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25.9B | -2.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.9B | +31% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.7B | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | $51.6B | +91% |
| Q3 2025 | $26.5B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $24.4B | -8.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.9B | +0.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $27B | -28% |
AAPL has the edge over SVCO on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SVCO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$781K | +$7.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$5.5M | +$10.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11M | -$9.8M |
| Q4 2025 | -$9.5M | -$246K |
| Q3 2025 | -$8.2M | -$6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$15.6M | -$9.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.2M | +$1.4M |
| Q4 2024 | -$9.3M | -1378% |
SVCO has burned cash in most quarters: −$27M over the past year, against −$34M the year before.
AAPL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +5.6M shares |
| 1 year | -1.9% | -284M shares |
| 3 years | -6.9% | -1.1B shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -2.1B shares |
| Available history | -17% | -3.1B shares |
AAPL has the edge over SVCO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.3B |
| Q2 2026 | $25.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $12.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $24.7B |
| Q3 2025 | $20.1B |
| Q2 2025 | $21.1B |
| Q1 2025 | $25.9B |
| Q4 2024 | $23.6B |
AAPL spent $86.4B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 4.8% from the year before.
SVCO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.9% | +946K shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +3.7M shares |
| 3 years | +70% | +14M shares |
SVCO has 34M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
AAPL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.5x | Very low |
AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
SVCO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2024 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2023 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
SVCO has more cash than debt.
AAPL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 85.0 | Overbought |
AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).
SVCO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 49.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 28.5 | Neutral |
SVCO's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).
AAPL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | AAPL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40x | 28x | 42% above |
| PE % | 96 | 35 | 61 pts above |
AAPL is trading at 40x earnings, a 42% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
SVCO PE vs Technology Sector
SVCO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAPL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $343.1 | 3.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $329.0 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $295.6 | 20% above |
| 100 week MA | $262.4 | 35% above |
| 200 week MA | $226.3 | 57% above |
AAPL has stronger trend alignment. AAPL is above 5 of 5 weekly averages versus SVCO above 3 of 4.
SVCO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $7.31 | 1.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $7.62 | 2.2% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.23 | 3% above |
| 100 week MA | $6.39 | 17% above |
SVCO's trend is mixed: it's above three of its four weekly moving averages, and 17% above its 100-week average.
AAPL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $72.5 | $132.0 | +82% |
| 2021 | $132.0 | $176.3 | +34% |
| 2022 | $176.3 | $131.9 | -25% |
| 2023 | $131.9 | $192.5 | +46% |
| 2024 | $192.5 | $255.6 | +33% |
| 2025 | $255.6 | $273.4 | +7% |
| 2026 YTD | $273.4 | $354.9 | +30% |
AAPL has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 30% so far in 2026.
SVCO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $18.9 | $8.11 | -57% |
| 2025 | $8.11 | $4.25 | -48% |
| 2026 YTD | $4.25 | $7.45 | +75% |
SVCO has the edge over AAPL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.