AAPL

Apple Inc.

59
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AAPL has the edge over STUB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

STUB

StubHub Holdings, Inc.

55
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

STUB offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AAPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

STUB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

STUB's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

AAPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$230-35%
Fair31x$279-21%
Expensive37x$328-7.5%
Forward38x$355—
Current40x$355—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.

STUB PE Valuation

STUB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.

STUB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

STUB has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

AAPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$416.94
Downside-15%$301.30

Calculated from the latest close: $354.88 on Nov 12.

AAPL trails STUB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

STUB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+72%$8.71
Downside-42%$2.95

Calculated from the latest close: $5.05 on Nov 12.

STUB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAPL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.28+3.3%
Q3 2026$8.98+20%
Q2 2026$8.71+32%
Q1 2026$8.26+29%
Q4 2025$7.90+25%
Q3 2025$7.46+23%
Q2 2025$6.59+0.2%
Q1 2025$6.42-0.3%
Q4 2024$6.30-2%

AAPL has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 20% for AAPL versus STUB down 6,280%.

STUB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.03Q1 2024: $1.02Q2 2024: $0.92Q3 2024: $0.68Q4 2024: $-0.09Q1 2025: $-0.10Q2 2025: $-0.25Q3 2025: $-4.43Q4 2025: $-6.33Q1 2026: $-6.18Forward: $0.35
Q4 2023: $1.03Q1 2024: $1.02Q2 2024: $0.92Q3 2024: $0.68Q4 2024: $-0.09Q1 2025: $-0.10Q2 2025: $-0.25Q3 2025: $-4.43Q4 2025: $-6.33Q1 2026: $-6.18Forward: $0.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.35—
Q1 2026-$6.18-$6.08
Q4 2025-$6.33-$6.24
Q3 2025-$4.43-751%
Q2 2025-$0.25-127%
Q1 2025-$0.10-110%
Q4 2024-$0.09-109%
Q3 2024$0.68+$0.72
Q2 2024$0.92+$1.32

STUB lost $6.18 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

AAPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$114.5B+12%
Q2 2026$109.4B+16%
Q1 2026$111.2B+17%
Q4 2025$143.8B+16%
Q3 2025$102.5B+7.9%
Q2 2025$94B+9.6%
Q1 2025$95.4B+5.1%
Q4 2024$124.3B+4%

AAPL has the edge over STUB on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

STUB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $332MQ1 2024: $360MQ2 2024: $443MQ3 2024: $434MQ4 2024: $533MQ1 2025: $398MQ2 2025: $430MQ3 2025: $468MQ4 2025: $449MQ1 2026: $446MQ2 2026: $573MQ3 2026: $502M
Q4 2023: $332MQ1 2024: $360MQ2 2024: $443MQ3 2024: $434MQ4 2024: $533MQ1 2025: $398MQ2 2025: $430MQ3 2025: $468MQ4 2025: $449MQ1 2026: $446MQ2 2026: $573MQ3 2026: $502M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$502M+7.2%
Q2 2026$573.1M+33%
Q1 2026$446M+12%
Q4 2025$449.2M-16%
Q3 2025$468.1M+7.9%
Q2 2025$430.3M-2.9%
Q1 2025$397.6M+10%
Q4 2024$533.4M+60%

STUB's revenue is growing: $502M last quarter, up 7.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.9B-2.4%
Q2 2026$31.9B+31%
Q1 2026$26.7B+28%
Q4 2025$51.6B+91%
Q3 2025$26.5B+11%
Q2 2025$24.4B-8.6%
Q1 2025$20.9B+0.9%
Q4 2024$27B-28%

AAPL has the edge over STUB in the latest year-over-year cash flow comparison.

STUB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $259MQ2 2024: $136MQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $151MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: $298MQ2 2026: $321MQ3 2026: −$399M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $259MQ2 2024: $136MQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $151MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: $298MQ2 2026: $321MQ3 2026: −$399M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$321.4M+3208%
Q1 2026$298.2M+97%
Q4 2025$10.9M+$10.9M
Q2 2025$9.7M-93%
Q1 2025$151.1M-42%
Q4 2024$0$0
Q2 2024$136.4M+$168.6M
Q1 2024$258.7M+40%

STUB usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$399M, but it generated $232M over the past year.

AAPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5.6M shares
1 year-1.9%-284M shares
3 years-6.9%-1.1B shares
5 years-13%-2.1B shares
Available history-17%-3.1B shares

AAPL has the edge over STUB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

STUB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 368MQ1 2024: 329MQ2 2024: 329MQ3 2024: 368MQ4 2024: 368MQ1 2025: 368MQ2 2025: 368MQ3 2025: 313MQ4 2025: 319MQ1 2026: 378MQ3 2026: 388M
Q4 2023: 368MQ1 2024: 329MQ2 2024: 329MQ3 2024: 368MQ4 2024: 368MQ1 2025: 368MQ2 2025: 368MQ3 2025: 313MQ4 2025: 319MQ1 2026: 378MQ3 2026: 388M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.7%+10M shares
1 year+5.6%+20.5M shares
3 years+5.6%+20.5M shares

STUB has 388M diluted shares, up 5.6% from a year ago.

AAPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

AAPL has the edge over STUB on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

STUB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 6.2xQ1 2024: 5.3xQ2 2024: 4.7xQ3 2024: 9.3xQ4 2024: 5.8xQ1 2025: 5.0xQ2 2025: 8.3xQ3 2026: 1.4x
Q4 2023: 6.2xQ1 2024: 5.3xQ2 2024: 4.7xQ3 2024: 9.3xQ4 2024: 5.8xQ1 2025: 5.0xQ2 2025: 8.3xQ3 2026: 1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.4xHealthy
Q2 20258.3xHigh
Q1 20255.0xHigh
Q4 20245.8xHigh
Q3 20249.3xHigh
Q2 20244.7xHigh
Q1 20245.3xHigh
Q4 20236.2xHigh

STUB's net debt is about 1.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 9.3 years a year ago.

AAPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic85.0Overbought

AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

STUB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic11.8Oversold

STUB's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

AAPL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAAPLSector medianRelative
PE40x28x42% above
PE %963561 pts above

AAPL is trading at 40x earnings, a 42% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

STUB PE vs Technology Sector

STUB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$343.13.4% above
20 week MA$329.07.9% above
50 week MA$295.620% above
100 week MA$262.435% above
200 week MA$226.357% above

AAPL has stronger trend alignment. AAPL is above 5 of 5 weekly averages versus STUB above 0 of 3.

STUB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.7112% below
20 week MA$7.2230% below
50 week MA$9.0544% below

STUB is in a downtrend: it's below all three of its weekly moving averages, and 44% below its 50-week average.

AAPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.5$132.0+82%
2021$132.0$176.3+34%
2022$176.3$131.9-25%
2023$131.9$192.5+46%
2024$192.5$255.6+33%
2025$255.6$273.4+7%
2026 YTD$273.4$354.9+30%

AAPL has the edge over STUB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

STUB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$18.5$13.3-28%
2026 YTD$13.3$5.05-62%

STUB has finished every year since 2025 lower, and it's down 62% so far in 2026.

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