AAPL

Apple Inc.

59
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AAPL has the edge over SSTI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

SSTI

SoundThinking, Inc.

50
Fundamentals32/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

SSTI offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AAPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

SSTI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Under pressure
Strong

SSTI's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

AAPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$230-35%
Fair31x$279-21%
Expensive37x$328-7.5%
Forward38x$355—
Current40x$355—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.

SSTI PE Valuation

SSTI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.

SSTI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

SSTI has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

AAPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$416.94
Downside-15%$301.30

Calculated from the latest close: $354.88 on Nov 12.

AAPL trails SSTI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SSTI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+53%$12.66
Downside-35%$5.39

Calculated from the latest close: $8.25 on Nov 12.

SSTI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAPL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.28+3.3%
Q3 2026$8.98+20%
Q2 2026$8.71+32%
Q1 2026$8.26+29%
Q4 2025$7.90+25%
Q3 2025$7.46+23%
Q2 2025$6.59+0.2%
Q1 2025$6.42-0.3%
Q4 2024$6.30-2%

AAPL has the edge over SSTI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SSTI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.22Q1 2024: $-0.30Q2 2024: $-0.14Q3 2024: $-0.10Q4 2024: $-0.72Q1 2025: $-0.61Q2 2025: $-0.79Q3 2025: $-0.84Q4 2025: $-0.74Q1 2026: $-1.16Q2 2026: $-1.29Q3 2026: $-1.77
Q4 2023: $-0.22Q1 2024: $-0.30Q2 2024: $-0.14Q3 2024: $-0.10Q4 2024: $-0.72Q1 2025: $-0.61Q2 2025: $-0.79Q3 2025: $-0.84Q4 2025: $-0.74Q1 2026: $-1.16Q2 2026: $-1.29Q3 2026: $-1.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.77-$0.93
Q2 2026-$1.29-$0.50
Q1 2026-$1.16-$0.55
Q4 2025-$0.74-$0.02
Q3 2025-$0.84-$0.74
Q2 2025-$0.79-$0.65
Q1 2025-$0.61-$0.31
Q4 2024-$0.72-$0.50

SSTI lost $1.77 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last three quarters.

AAPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$114.5B+12%
Q2 2026$109.4B+16%
Q1 2026$111.2B+17%
Q4 2025$143.8B+16%
Q3 2025$102.5B+7.9%
Q2 2025$94B+9.6%
Q1 2025$95.4B+5.1%
Q4 2024$124.3B+4%

AAPL has the edge over SSTI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SSTI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $26MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: $23MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $24MQ3 2026: $25M
Q4 2023: $26MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: $23MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $24MQ3 2026: $25M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$25M-0.4%
Q2 2026$23.9M-7.7%
Q1 2026$24.2M-15%
Q4 2025$24.8M+5.9%
Q3 2025$25.1M-4.4%
Q2 2025$25.9M-4%
Q1 2025$28.3M+12%
Q4 2024$23.4M-10%

SSTI's revenue is shrinking: $25M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

AAPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.9B-2.4%
Q2 2026$31.9B+31%
Q1 2026$26.7B+28%
Q4 2025$51.6B+91%
Q3 2025$26.5B+11%
Q2 2025$24.4B-8.6%
Q1 2025$20.9B+0.9%
Q4 2024$27B-28%

AAPL has the edge over SSTI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SSTI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$387,000Q1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: −$8MQ3 2026: $3M
Q4 2023: −$387,000Q1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: −$8MQ3 2026: $3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1M-35%
Q2 2026-$8.1M-$5.5M
Q1 2026-$1.5M-$474K
Q4 2025$3.7M+$5.9M
Q3 2025$4.9M-61%
Q2 2025-$2.7M-194%
Q1 2025-$1M-137%
Q4 2024-$2.2M-$1.8M

SSTI's free cash flow was −$3M over the past year, against −$1M the year before.

AAPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5.6M shares
1 year-1.9%-284M shares
3 years-6.9%-1.1B shares
5 years-13%-2.1B shares
Available history-17%-3.1B shares

AAPL has the edge over SSTI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SSTI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
Q4 2023: 12MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+80.9K shares
1 year+3.3%+427K shares
3 years+5.7%+707K shares
5 years+13%+1.5M shares
Available history+11%+1.3M shares

SSTI has 13M diluted shares, up 3.3% from a year ago.

AAPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

SSTI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -1.0xQ4 2024: -3.5xQ1 2025: -1.9xQ2 2025: -4.9xQ4 2025: -10.3x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -1.0xQ4 2024: -3.5xQ1 2025: -1.9xQ2 2025: -4.9xQ4 2025: -10.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2025-10.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.5xNet Cash
Q3 2024-1.0xNet Cash
Q2 2024-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 20230.1xVery low

SSTI has more cash than debt.

AAPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic85.0Overbought

AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

SSTI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.2Neutral
Stochastic85.8Overbought

SSTI's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).

AAPL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAAPLSector medianRelative
PE40x28x42% above
PE %963561 pts above

AAPL is trading at 40x earnings, a 42% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

SSTI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSSTISector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

SSTI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$343.13.4% above
20 week MA$329.07.9% above
50 week MA$295.620% above
100 week MA$262.435% above
200 week MA$226.357% above

AAPL has the edge over SSTI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SSTI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$7.983.4% above
20 week MA$7.5010% above
50 week MA$7.3712% above
100 week MA$10.320% below
200 week MA$15.246% below

SSTI has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 46% below its 200-week average.

AAPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.5$132.0+82%
2021$132.0$176.3+34%
2022$176.3$131.9-25%
2023$131.9$192.5+46%
2024$192.5$255.6+33%
2025$255.6$273.4+7%
2026 YTD$273.4$354.9+30%

AAPL has the edge over SSTI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SSTI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$25.3$38.5+52%
2021$38.5$30.6-20%
2022$30.6$33.3+8.6%
2023$33.3$25.5-23%
2024$25.5$12.8-50%
2025$12.8$8.05-37%
2026 YTD$8.05$8.25+2.5%

SSTI has finished three years in a row lower, and it's up 2.5% so far in 2026.

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