AAPL
Apple Inc.
AAPL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SMTC
Semtech Corporation
SMTC has the edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
AAPL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
SMTC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
SMTC's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
AAPL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 26x | $230 | -35% |
| Fair | 31x | $279 | -21% |
| Expensive | 37x | $328 | -7.5% |
| Forward | 38x | $355 | — |
| Current | 40x | $355 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AAPL has the edge over SMTC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
SMTC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 20x | $119 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $34.23 | -71% |
| Fair | 65x | $96.99 | -19% |
| Current | 80x | $119 | — |
| Expensive | 104x | $155 | +30% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SMTC's PE is in its fair range at 80x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
AAPL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.
SMTC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
SMTC has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.
AAPL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.28 | +3.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.98 | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.71 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.26 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.90 | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.46 | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.59 | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.42 | -0.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.30 | -2% |
AAPL earned $8.98 per share over the past year, up 20% from the year before.
SMTC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.04 | +306% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.49 | +140% |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.41 | +$1.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.46 | +$1.80 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.69 | +$13.76 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.62 | +$14.19 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.68 | +$15.25 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.26 | +$14.77 |
| Q4 2024 | -$13.07 | -$5.24 |
SMTC has the edge over AAPL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAPL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $114.5B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $109.4B | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $111.2B | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $143.8B | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $102.5B | +7.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $94B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $95.4B | +5.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $124.3B | +4% |
AAPL's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $114B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 31% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 33% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 35% | +0.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 30% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 34% | +0.7 points |
AAPL has the edge over SMTC on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SMTC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $341.9M | +33% |
| Q2 2026 | $291M | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $274.4M | +9.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $267M | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $257.6M | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $251.1M | +22% |
| Q1 2025 | $251M | +30% |
| Q4 2024 | $236.8M | +18% |
SMTC has the edge over AAPL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 16% | +23 points |
| Q2 2026 | 8.9% | -5.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | -6.7% | -15 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | +4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -6.3% | -9.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | +13 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8.5% | +330 points |
| Q4 2024 | 7.5% | +14 points |
SMTC's operating margin was 16% last quarter, up 23 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AAPL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25.9B | -2.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.9B | +31% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.7B | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | $51.6B | +91% |
| Q3 2025 | $26.5B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $24.4B | -8.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.9B | +0.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $27B | -28% |
AAPL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $136B over the past year, up 38% from the year before.
SMTC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $61.4M | +48% |
| Q2 2026 | $28M | +7% |
| Q1 2026 | $59.1M | +91% |
| Q4 2025 | $44.6M | +53% |
| Q3 2025 | $41.5M | +$49.9M |
| Q2 2025 | $26.2M | +$27.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $30.9M | +153% |
| Q4 2024 | $29.1M | +$41.5M |
SMTC has the edge over AAPL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAPL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +5.6M shares |
| 1 year | -1.9% | -284M shares |
| 3 years | -6.9% | -1.1B shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -2.1B shares |
| Available history | -17% | -3.1B shares |
AAPL has the edge over SMTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.3B |
| Q2 2026 | $25.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $12.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $24.7B |
| Q3 2025 | $20.1B |
| Q2 2025 | $21.1B |
| Q1 2025 | $25.9B |
| Q4 2024 | $23.6B |
AAPL spent $86.4B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 4.8% from the year before.
SMTC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.9% | +2.8M shares |
| 1 year | +16% | +14.1M shares |
| 3 years | +58% | +36.8M shares |
| 5 years | +54% | +35.3M shares |
| Available history | +50% | +33.5M shares |
SMTC has 101M diluted shares, up 16% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | $50M |
AAPL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.5x | Very low |
AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
SMTC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2020 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2020 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2020 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2019 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
SMTC has more cash than debt.
AAPL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 85.0 | Overbought |
AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).
SMTC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 20.9 | Neutral |
SMTC's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).
AAPL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | AAPL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40x | 28x | 42% above |
| PE % | 96 | 35 | 61 pts above |
AAPL has the edge over SMTC on valuation relative to its sector.
SMTC PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | SMTC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 80x | 28x | 188% above |
| PE % | 65 | 35 | 30 pts above |
SMTC is trading at 80x earnings, a 188% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
AAPL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $343.1 | 3.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $329.0 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $295.6 | 20% above |
| 100 week MA | $262.4 | 35% above |
| 200 week MA | $226.3 | 57% above |
AAPL has the edge over SMTC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SMTC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $147.9 | 19% below |
| 20 week MA | $142.9 | 16% below |
| 50 week MA | $118.0 | 1.2% above |
| 100 week MA | $84.7 | 41% above |
| 200 week MA | $57.2 | 109% above |
SMTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 109% above its 200-week average.
AAPL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $72.5 | $132.0 | +82% |
| 2021 | $132.0 | $176.3 | +34% |
| 2022 | $176.3 | $131.9 | -25% |
| 2023 | $131.9 | $192.5 | +46% |
| 2024 | $192.5 | $255.6 | +33% |
| 2025 | $255.6 | $273.4 | +7% |
| 2026 YTD | $273.4 | $354.9 | +30% |
AAPL has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 30% so far in 2026.
SMTC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $52.1 | $71.7 | +38% |
| 2021 | $71.7 | $86.9 | +21% |
| 2022 | $86.9 | $27.5 | -68% |
| 2023 | $27.5 | $21.9 | -20% |
| 2024 | $21.9 | $63.3 | +189% |
| 2025 | $63.3 | $76.1 | +20% |
| 2026 YTD | $76.1 | $119.4 | +57% |
SMTC has the edge over AAPL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.