AAPL

Apple Inc.

59
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AAPL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SAP

SAP SE

66
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

SAP has the edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

AAPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

SAP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Strong

SAP's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.

AAPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$230-35%
Fair31x$279-21%
Expensive37x$328-7.5%
Forward38x$355—
Current40x$355—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.

SAP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x63x95x126x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x63x95x126x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap24x$185-21%
Current31x$234—
Fair35x$262+12%
Expensive65x$489+109%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SAP has the edge over AAPL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AAPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.

SAP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

SAP has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

AAPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$416.94
Downside-15%$301.30

Calculated from the latest close: $354.88 on Nov 12.

AAPL trails SAP on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SAP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$301.47
Downside-22%$183.69

Calculated from the latest close: $234.06 on Nov 12.

SAP has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAPL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.28+3.3%
Q3 2026$8.98+20%
Q2 2026$8.71+32%
Q1 2026$8.26+29%
Q4 2025$7.90+25%
Q3 2025$7.46+23%
Q2 2025$6.59+0.2%
Q1 2025$6.42-0.3%
Q4 2024$6.30-2%

AAPL earned $8.98 per share over the past year, up 20% from the year before.

SAP Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $5.15Q4 2023: $5.75Q1 2024: $4.51Q2 2024: $2.37Q3 2024: $2.54Q4 2024: $2.93Q1 2025: $5.40Q2 2025: $6.18Q3 2025: $6.69Q4 2025: $6.92Q1 2026: $7.08Q2 2026: $7.55
Q3 2023: $5.15Q4 2023: $5.75Q1 2024: $4.51Q2 2024: $2.37Q3 2024: $2.54Q4 2024: $2.93Q1 2025: $5.40Q2 2025: $6.18Q3 2025: $6.69Q4 2025: $6.92Q1 2026: $7.08Q2 2026: $7.55
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$7.55+22%
Q1 2026$7.08+31%
Q4 2025$6.92+136%
Q3 2025$6.69+163%
Q2 2025$6.18+161%
Q1 2025$5.40+20%
Q4 2024$2.93-49%
Q3 2024$2.54-51%

SAP has the edge over AAPL on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AAPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$114.5B+12%
Q2 2026$109.4B+16%
Q1 2026$111.2B+17%
Q4 2025$143.8B+16%
Q3 2025$102.5B+7.9%
Q2 2025$94B+9.6%
Q1 2025$95.4B+5.1%
Q4 2024$124.3B+4%

AAPL has the edge over SAP on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SAP Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.6BQ4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.9BQ2 2024: $9.2BQ3 2024: $9.4BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: $10BQ2 2025: $10BQ3 2025: $10.1BQ4 2025: $10.8BQ1 2026: $10.6BQ2 2026: $11B
Q3 2023: $8.6BQ4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.9BQ2 2024: $9.2BQ3 2024: $9.4BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: $10BQ2 2025: $10BQ3 2025: $10.1BQ4 2025: $10.8BQ1 2026: $10.6BQ2 2026: $11B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11B+9.4%
Q1 2026$10.6B+6%
Q4 2025$10.8B+3.3%
Q3 2025$10.1B+7.2%
Q2 2025$10B+8.9%
Q1 2025$10B+12%
Q4 2024$10.4B+11%
Q3 2024$9.4B+9.4%

SAP's revenue has grown year over year for 20 quarters in a row: $11B last quarter, up 9.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.9B-2.4%
Q2 2026$31.9B+31%
Q1 2026$26.7B+28%
Q4 2025$51.6B+91%
Q3 2025$26.5B+11%
Q2 2025$24.4B-8.6%
Q1 2025$20.9B+0.9%
Q4 2024$27B-28%

AAPL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $136B over the past year, up 38% from the year before.

SAP Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $1BQ4 2023: $2BQ1 2024: $3BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: −$910MQ1 2025: $4BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $3.6BQ2 2026: $3.4B
Q3 2023: $1BQ4 2023: $2BQ1 2024: $3BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: −$910MQ1 2025: $4BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $3.6BQ2 2026: $3.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$3.4B+27%
Q1 2026$3.6B-9.4%
Q4 2025$1.2B+$2.2B
Q3 2025$1.4B+4.9%
Q2 2025$2.7B+75%
Q1 2025$4B+34%
Q4 2024-$909.8M-146%
Q3 2024$1.4B+32%

SAP has the edge over AAPL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5.6M shares
1 year-1.9%-284M shares
3 years-6.9%-1.1B shares
5 years-13%-2.1B shares
Available history-17%-3.1B shares

AAPL has the edge over SAP on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SAP Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.2BQ4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.2B
Q3 2023: 1.2BQ4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-10M shares
1 year-1.3%-14.9M shares
3 years-1.9%-22M shares
5 years-1.9%-22M shares
Available history-3%-36M shares

SAP has 1.2B diluted shares, down 1.3% from a year ago, with $3.2B in buybacks over the past year.

AAPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

SAP Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.2xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.8xQ2 2026: -0.8x
Q3 2023: 0.2xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.8xQ2 2026: -0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 2024-1.5xNet Cash

SAP has the edge over AAPL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AAPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic85.0Overbought

AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

SAP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.4Neutral
Stochastic81.0Overbought

SAP's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 81 (overbought).

AAPL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAAPLSector medianRelative
PE40x28x42% above
PE %963561 pts above

AAPL is trading at 40x earnings, a 42% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

SAP PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSAPSector medianRelative
PE31x28x11% above
PE %43358 pts above

SAP has the edge over AAPL on valuation relative to its sector.

AAPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$343.13.4% above
20 week MA$329.07.9% above
50 week MA$295.620% above
100 week MA$262.435% above
200 week MA$226.357% above

AAPL has the edge over SAP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SAP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$224.94.1% above
20 week MA$205.414% above
50 week MA$200.117% above
100 week MA$237.11.3% below
200 week MA$202.815% above

SAP's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 15% above its 200-week average.

AAPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.5$132.0+82%
2021$132.0$176.3+34%
2022$176.3$131.9-25%
2023$131.9$192.5+46%
2024$192.5$255.6+33%
2025$255.6$273.4+7%
2026 YTD$273.4$354.9+30%

AAPL has the edge over SAP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SAP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$135.0$126.1-6.6%
2021$126.1$140.1+11%
2022$140.1$103.5-26%
2023$103.5$154.6+49%
2024$154.6$250.2+62%
2025$250.2$246.6-1.4%
2026 YTD$246.6$234.1-5.1%

SAP has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 5.1% so far in 2026.

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