AAPL
Apple Inc.
AAPL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RSKD
Riskified Ltd.
RSKD has the edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
AAPL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
RSKD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
RSKD's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.
AAPL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 26x | $230 | -35% |
| Fair | 31x | $279 | -21% |
| Expensive | 37x | $328 | -7.5% |
| Forward | 38x | $355 | — |
| Current | 40x | $355 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.
RSKD PE Valuation
RSKD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAPL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.
RSKD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
RSKD has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
AAPL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.28 | +3.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.98 | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.71 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.26 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.90 | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.46 | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.59 | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.42 | -0.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.30 | -2% |
AAPL has the edge over RSKD on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RSKD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.38 | — |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.11 | +$0.13 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.12 | +$0.10 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.17 | +$0.03 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.23 | -$0.03 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.24 | +$0.02 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.22 | +$0.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.20 | +$0.13 |
| Q3 2024 | -$0.20 | +$0.19 |
RSKD is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.11 per share over the past year, against $1.33 at its worst in late 2021.
AAPL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $114.5B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $109.4B | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $111.2B | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $143.8B | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $102.5B | +7.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $94B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $95.4B | +5.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $124.3B | +4% |
AAPL has the edge over RSKD on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 31% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 33% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 35% | +0.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 30% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 34% | +0.7 points |
AAPL has the edge over RSKD on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RSKD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $98.7M | +22% |
| Q1 2026 | $88.3M | +7.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $99.3M | +6.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $81.9M | +3.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $81.1M | +3% |
| Q1 2025 | $82.4M | +7.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $93.5M | +11% |
| Q3 2024 | $78.8M | +9.7% |
RSKD's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $99M last quarter, up 22% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -7.5% | +8.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | -6.7% | +14 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.3% | +8.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | -11% | +7.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +2 points |
| Q1 2025 | -21% | +0.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -3.6% | +4.2 points |
| Q3 2024 | -18% | +17 points |
RSKD's operating margin was −7.5% last quarter, up 8.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AAPL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25.9B | -2.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.9B | +31% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.7B | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | $51.6B | +91% |
| Q3 2025 | $26.5B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $24.4B | -8.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.9B | +0.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $27B | -28% |
AAPL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $136B over the past year, up 38% from the year before.
RSKD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $13.1M | +146% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.4M | +158% |
| Q4 2025 | $11.7M | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.4M | -3.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.3M | +30% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.6M | -65% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.6M | +48% |
| Q3 2024 | $13.9M | +279% |
RSKD has the edge over AAPL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAPL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +5.6M shares |
| 1 year | -1.9% | -284M shares |
| 3 years | -6.9% | -1.1B shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -2.1B shares |
| Available history | -17% | -3.1B shares |
AAPL has 14.7B diluted shares, down 1.9% from a year ago, with $86.4B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.3B |
| Q2 2026 | $25.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $12.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $24.7B |
| Q3 2025 | $20.1B |
| Q2 2025 | $21.1B |
| Q1 2025 | $25.9B |
| Q4 2024 | $23.6B |
AAPL spent $86.4B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 4.8% from the year before.
RSKD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -5.5% | -8.1M shares |
| 1 year | -12% | -19.8M shares |
| 3 years | -21% | -36.3M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -18.2M shares |
| Available history | -12% | -18.3M shares |
RSKD has the edge over AAPL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $66M |
| Q1 2026 | $27.6M |
| Q4 2025 | $40.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $25.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $23.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $20.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $24.6M |
| Q3 2024 | $47M |
RSKD spent $159M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 38% from the year before.
AAPL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.5x | Very low |
AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
RSKD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -38.4x | Net Cash |
RSKD has the edge over AAPL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
AAPL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 85.0 | Overbought |
AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).
RSKD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 74.4 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 79.4 | Neutral |
RSKD's weekly RSI is 74 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).
AAPL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | AAPL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40x | 28x | 42% above |
| PE % | 96 | 35 | 61 pts above |
AAPL is trading at 40x earnings, a 42% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
RSKD PE vs Technology Sector
RSKD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAPL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $343.1 | 3.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $329.0 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $295.6 | 20% above |
| 100 week MA | $262.4 | 35% above |
| 200 week MA | $226.3 | 57% above |
AAPL is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 57% above its 200-week average.
RSKD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $8.51 | 11% above |
| 20 week MA | $6.83 | 38% above |
| 50 week MA | $5.48 | 72% above |
| 100 week MA | $5.17 | 82% above |
| 200 week MA | $5.08 | 85% above |
RSKD is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 85% above its 200-week average.
AAPL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $72.5 | $132.0 | +82% |
| 2021 | $132.0 | $176.3 | +34% |
| 2022 | $176.3 | $131.9 | -25% |
| 2023 | $131.9 | $192.5 | +46% |
| 2024 | $192.5 | $255.6 | +33% |
| 2025 | $255.6 | $273.4 | +7% |
| 2026 YTD | $273.4 | $354.9 | +30% |
AAPL has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 30% so far in 2026.
RSKD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $27.4 | $8.00 | -71% |
| 2022 | $8.00 | $4.72 | -41% |
| 2023 | $4.72 | $4.68 | -0.8% |
| 2024 | $4.68 | $4.75 | +1.5% |
| 2025 | $4.75 | $5.01 | +5.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.01 | $9.42 | +88% |
RSKD has the edge over AAPL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.