AAPL
Apple Inc.
AAPL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
PTRN
Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock
PTRN has the edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
AAPL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
PTRN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
PTRN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
AAPL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 26x | $230 | -35% |
| Fair | 31x | $279 | -21% |
| Expensive | 37x | $328 | -7.5% |
| Forward | 38x | $355 | — |
| Current | 40x | $355 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.
PTRN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 24x | $18.66 | -11% |
| Fair | 25x | $19.54 | -6.7% |
| Expensive | 27x | $20.44 | -2.5% |
| Current | 27x | $20.95 | — |
| Forward | 28x | $20.95 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PTRN has the edge over AAPL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
AAPL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.
PTRN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
PTRN has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
AAPL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.28 | +3.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.98 | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.71 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.26 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.90 | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.46 | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.59 | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.42 | -0.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.30 | -2% |
AAPL has the edge over PTRN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
PTRN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.76 | -1.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.77 | +$2.68 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.60 | -544% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.66 | -603% |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.73 | -658% |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.91 | -782% |
PTRN has returned to profit: it earned $0.77 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
AAPL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $114.5B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $109.4B | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $111.2B | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $143.8B | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $102.5B | +7.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $94B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $95.4B | +5.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $124.3B | +4% |
AAPL's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $114B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 31% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 33% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 35% | +0.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 30% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 34% | +0.7 points |
AAPL has the edge over PTRN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PTRN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $885.8M | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $876.8M | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $773.7M | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $723.1M | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $639.7M | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $598.2M | +39% |
| Q1 2025 | $540.4M | +32% |
| Q4 2024 | $515.5M | +31% |
PTRN has the edge over AAPL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.2% | +14 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4% | -1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.1% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.6% | -0.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | -9.4% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5% | -0.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.4% | -0.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 4.5% | +0.5 points |
PTRN's operating margin was 4.2% last quarter, up 14 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AAPL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25.9B | -2.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.9B | +31% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.7B | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | $51.6B | +91% |
| Q3 2025 | $26.5B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $24.4B | -8.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.9B | +0.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $27B | -28% |
AAPL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $136B over the past year, up 38% from the year before.
PTRN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $3.8M | +$7.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $63.3M | +47% |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.3M | -1297% |
| Q1 2025 | $43.2M | +26% |
PTRN generated $106M in free cash flow over the past year, up 42% from the year before.
AAPL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +5.6M shares |
| 1 year | -1.9% | -284M shares |
| 3 years | -6.9% | -1.1B shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -2.1B shares |
| Available history | -17% | -3.1B shares |
AAPL has the edge over PTRN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.3B |
| Q2 2026 | $25.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $12.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $24.7B |
| Q3 2025 | $20.1B |
| Q2 2025 | $21.1B |
| Q1 2025 | $25.9B |
| Q4 2024 | $23.6B |
AAPL spent $86.4B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 4.8% from the year before.
PTRN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.7% | +1.2M shares |
| 1 year | +79% | +80.7M shares |
PTRN has 182M diluted shares, up 79% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.4M |
| Q2 2026 | $94,000 |
| Q1 2026 | $3.6M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
AAPL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.5x | Very low |
AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
PTRN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -5.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -6.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -7.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
PTRN has the edge over AAPL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
AAPL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 85.0 | Overbought |
AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).
PTRN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 55.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 36.8 | Neutral |
PTRN's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 37 (neutral).
AAPL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | AAPL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40x | 28x | 42% above |
| PE % | 96 | 35 | 61 pts above |
AAPL is trading at 40x earnings, a 42% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
PTRN PE vs Technology Sector
AAPL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $343.1 | 3.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $329.0 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $295.6 | 20% above |
| 100 week MA | $262.4 | 35% above |
| 200 week MA | $226.3 | 57% above |
PTRN has stronger trend alignment. AAPL is above 5 of 5 weekly averages versus PTRN above 3 of 3.
PTRN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $17.8 | 18% above |
| 20 week MA | $20.8 | 0.7% above |
| 50 week MA | $16.9 | 24% above |
PTRN is in an uptrend: it's above all three of its weekly moving averages, and 24% above its 50-week average.
AAPL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $72.5 | $132.0 | +82% |
| 2021 | $132.0 | $176.3 | +34% |
| 2022 | $176.3 | $131.9 | -25% |
| 2023 | $131.9 | $192.5 | +46% |
| 2024 | $192.5 | $255.6 | +33% |
| 2025 | $255.6 | $273.4 | +7% |
| 2026 YTD | $273.4 | $354.9 | +30% |
AAPL has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 30% so far in 2026.
PTRN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $15.6 | $11.8 | -24% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.8 | $21.0 | +77% |
PTRN has the edge over AAPL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.