AAPL
Apple Inc.
AAPL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
PICS
PicS N.V.
PICS has the edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
AAPL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
PICS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Weak |
PICS's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.
AAPL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 26x | $230 | -35% |
| Fair | 31x | $279 | -21% |
| Expensive | 37x | $328 | -7.5% |
| Forward | 38x | $355 | — |
| Current | 40x | $355 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.
PICS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 3.8x | $6.96 | — |
| Cheap | 5.2x | $9.53 | +37% |
| Fair | 6.1x | $11.33 | +63% |
| Expensive | 6.7x | $12.44 | +79% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PICS has the edge over AAPL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
AAPL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.
PICS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for PICS, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AAPL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.28 | +3.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.98 | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.71 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.26 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.90 | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.46 | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.59 | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.42 | -0.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.30 | -2% |
AAPL earned $8.98 per share over the past year, up 20% from the year before.
PICS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $1.85 | +278% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.62 | +286% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.53 | +378% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.49 | +40% |
PICS has the edge over AAPL on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
AAPL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $114.5B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $109.4B | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $111.2B | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $143.8B | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $102.5B | +7.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $94B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $95.4B | +5.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $124.3B | +4% |
AAPL's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $114B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 31% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 33% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 35% | +0.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 30% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 34% | +0.7 points |
AAPL has the edge over PICS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PICS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $737.9M | +78% |
| Q1 2026 | $628.9M | +70% |
| Q4 2025 | $539.6M | +80% |
| Q3 2025 | $469.8M | +101% |
| Q2 2025 | $415.6M | +99% |
| Q1 2025 | $369.5M | +82% |
| Q4 2024 | $299.8M | +76% |
| Q3 2024 | $234.1M | +39% |
PICS has the edge over AAPL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.1% | +2.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 43% | +6.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 34% | +31 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.4% | -3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.6% | -4.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 37% | +11 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.8% | +6.9 points |
| Q3 2024 | 9.4% | -33 points |
PICS's operating margin was 7.1% last quarter, up 2.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AAPL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25.9B | -2.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.9B | +31% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.7B | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | $51.6B | +91% |
| Q3 2025 | $26.5B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $24.4B | -8.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.9B | +0.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $27B | -28% |
AAPL has the edge over PICS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
PICS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $826.8M | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | -$75.9M | +$432.1M |
| Q4 2025 | -$474.3M | -$310.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $202.7M | +$218.4M |
| Q2 2025 | $625.2M | +$638.8M |
| Q1 2025 | -$507.9M | -$449M |
| Q4 2024 | -$163.8M | -267% |
| Q3 2024 | -$15.8M | -107% |
PICS's free cash flow has turned positive after two years mostly in the red: $479M over the past year.
AAPL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +5.6M shares |
| 1 year | -1.9% | -284M shares |
| 3 years | -6.9% | -1.1B shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -2.1B shares |
| Available history | -17% | -3.1B shares |
AAPL has the edge over PICS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.3B |
| Q2 2026 | $25.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $12.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $24.7B |
| Q3 2025 | $20.1B |
| Q2 2025 | $21.1B |
| Q1 2025 | $25.9B |
| Q4 2024 | $23.6B |
AAPL spent $86.4B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 4.8% from the year before.
PICS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | 0% | -- |
PICS has 130M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
PICS hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
AAPL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.5x | Very low |
AAPL has the edge over PICS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
PICS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 14.4x | High |
| Q1 2026 | -2.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -5.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -3.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | 26.9x | High |
| Q4 2024 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
PICS's net debt is about 14 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
AAPL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 85.0 | Overbought |
AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).
PICS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.3 | Oversold |
PICS's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 4 (oversold).
AAPL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | AAPL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40x | 28x | 42% above |
| PE % | 96 | 35 | 61 pts above |
AAPL is trading at 40x earnings, a 42% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
PICS PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | PICS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 3.8x | 28x | 86% below |
| PE % | 9 | 17 | 8 pts below |
PICS has the edge over AAPL on valuation relative to its sector.
AAPL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $343.1 | 3.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $329.0 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $295.6 | 20% above |
| 100 week MA | $262.4 | 35% above |
| 200 week MA | $226.3 | 57% above |
AAPL has stronger trend alignment. AAPL is above 5 of 5 weekly averages versus PICS above 0 of 2.
PICS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.91 | 30% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.7 | 35% below |
PICS is in a downtrend: it's below all two of its weekly moving averages, and 35% below its 20-week average.
AAPL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $72.5 | $132.0 | +82% |
| 2021 | $132.0 | $176.3 | +34% |
| 2022 | $176.3 | $131.9 | -25% |
| 2023 | $131.9 | $192.5 | +46% |
| 2024 | $192.5 | $255.6 | +33% |
| 2025 | $255.6 | $273.4 | +7% |
| 2026 YTD | $273.4 | $354.9 | +30% |
AAPL has the edge over PICS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
PICS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 YTD | $18.0 | $6.96 | -61% |
It's down 61% so far in 2026.