AAPL
Apple Inc.
AAPL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
PD
PagerDuty, Inc.
PD has the edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
AAPL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
PD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
PD's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
AAPL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 26x | $230 | -35% |
| Fair | 31x | $279 | -21% |
| Expensive | 37x | $328 | -7.5% |
| Forward | 38x | $355 | — |
| Current | 40x | $355 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AAPL has the edge over PD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
PD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 3.9x | $7.84 | -50% |
| Fair | 5.1x | $10.33 | -34% |
| Expensive | 7.7x | $15.69 | -0.2% |
| Current | 7.7x | $15.72 | — |
| Forward | 11x | $15.72 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PD's PE is 7.7x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
AAPL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.
PD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect PD's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
AAPL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.28 | +3.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.98 | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.71 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.26 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.90 | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.46 | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.59 | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.42 | -0.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.30 | -2% |
AAPL earned $8.98 per share over the past year, up 20% from the year before.
PD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.43 | -29% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.03 | +$2.19 |
| Q2 2026 | $2.07 | +$2.47 |
| Q1 2026 | $1.87 | +$2.46 |
| Q4 2025 | $1.60 | +$2.41 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.16 | +$0.74 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.40 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.59 | +$0.30 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.81 | +$0.01 |
PD has the edge over AAPL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAPL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $114.5B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $109.4B | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $111.2B | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $143.8B | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $102.5B | +7.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $94B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $95.4B | +5.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $124.3B | +4% |
AAPL has the edge over PD on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 31% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 33% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 35% | +0.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 30% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 34% | +0.7 points |
AAPL has the edge over PD on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $124.4M | +0.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $121M | +1% |
| Q1 2026 | $124.8M | +2.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $124.5M | +4.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $123.4M | +6.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $119.8M | +7.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $121.4M | +9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $118.9M | +9.4% |
PD's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $124M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +5.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 7.6% | +16 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3.6% | +13 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.5% | +15 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.9% | +17 points |
| Q2 2025 | -8.6% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | -9.7% | +20 points |
| Q4 2024 | -8.7% | +11 points |
PD's operating margin was 8.2% last quarter, up 5.3 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
AAPL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25.9B | -2.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.9B | +31% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.7B | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | $51.6B | +91% |
| Q3 2025 | $26.5B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $24.4B | -8.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.9B | +0.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $27B | -28% |
AAPL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $136B over the past year, up 38% from the year before.
PD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $34.7M | +4.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $43.3M | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $24.5M | -19% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.1M | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $33.1M | -5.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $30.2M | +7.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $30.3M | +43% |
| Q4 2024 | $21.5M | +29% |
PD has the edge over AAPL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAPL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +5.6M shares |
| 1 year | -1.9% | -284M shares |
| 3 years | -6.9% | -1.1B shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -2.1B shares |
| Available history | -17% | -3.1B shares |
AAPL has 14.7B diluted shares, down 1.9% from a year ago, with $86.4B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.3B |
| Q2 2026 | $25.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $12.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $24.7B |
| Q3 2025 | $20.1B |
| Q2 2025 | $21.1B |
| Q1 2025 | $25.9B |
| Q4 2024 | $23.6B |
AAPL spent $86.4B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 4.8% from the year before.
PD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -323K shares |
| 1 year | -16% | -15.1M shares |
| 3 years | -14% | -13.4M shares |
| 5 years | -5.7% | -4.8M shares |
| Available history | +4.1% | +3.1M shares |
PD has the edge over AAPL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $7.5M |
| Q2 2026 | $65.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $98.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $36.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $70.3M |
| Q1 2024 | — |
PD spent $208M buying back its own shares over the past year.
AAPL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.5x | Very low |
AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
PD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -5.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -5.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | 9.7x | High |
| Q4 2025 | -68.2x | Net Cash |
PD has the edge over AAPL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
AAPL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 85.0 | Overbought |
AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).
PD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 64.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 73.7 | Neutral |
PD's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).
AAPL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | AAPL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40x | 28x | 42% above |
| PE % | 96 | 35 | 61 pts above |
AAPL is trading at 40x earnings, a 42% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
PD PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | PD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.7x | 28x | 72% below |
| PE % | 84 | 35 | 49 pts above |
PD has the edge over AAPL on valuation relative to its sector.
AAPL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $343.1 | 3.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $329.0 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $295.6 | 20% above |
| 100 week MA | $262.4 | 35% above |
| 200 week MA | $226.3 | 57% above |
AAPL has the edge over PD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
PD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $16.0 | 1.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.5 | 17% above |
| 50 week MA | $10.7 | 47% above |
| 100 week MA | $13.6 | 16% above |
| 200 week MA | $18.4 | 15% below |
PD's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
AAPL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $72.5 | $132.0 | +82% |
| 2021 | $132.0 | $176.3 | +34% |
| 2022 | $176.3 | $131.9 | -25% |
| 2023 | $131.9 | $192.5 | +46% |
| 2024 | $192.5 | $255.6 | +33% |
| 2025 | $255.6 | $273.4 | +7% |
| 2026 YTD | $273.4 | $354.9 | +30% |
AAPL has the edge over PD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
PD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $23.3 | $46.1 | +98% |
| 2021 | $46.1 | $36.2 | -22% |
| 2022 | $36.2 | $26.6 | -27% |
| 2023 | $26.6 | $23.2 | -13% |
| 2024 | $23.2 | $17.8 | -23% |
| 2025 | $17.8 | $13.2 | -26% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.2 | $15.7 | +19% |
PD has finished five years in a row lower, and it's up 19% so far in 2026.