AAPL

Apple Inc.

59
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AAPL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

PAY

Paymentus Holdings, Inc.

77
Fundamentals80/ 100
Valuation75/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

PAY has the edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

AAPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

PAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

PAY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AAPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$230-35%
Fair31x$279-21%
Expensive37x$328-7.5%
Forward38x$355—
Current40x$355—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.

PAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE231x463x694x926x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE231x463x694x926x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward33x$33.75—
Current46x$33.75—
Cheap60x$44.04+30%
Fair103x$75.05+122%
Expensive409x$299+785%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PAY has the edge over AAPL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AAPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.

PAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Low

PAY has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.

AAPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$416.94
Downside-15%$301.30

Calculated from the latest close: $354.88 on Nov 12.

AAPL trails PAY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+70%$57.31
Downside-22%$26.37

Calculated from the latest close: $33.75 on Nov 12.

PAY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAPL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.28+3.3%
Q3 2026$8.98+20%
Q2 2026$8.71+32%
Q1 2026$8.26+29%
Q4 2025$7.90+25%
Q3 2025$7.46+23%
Q2 2025$6.59+0.2%
Q1 2025$6.42-0.3%
Q4 2024$6.30-2%

AAPL earned $8.98 per share over the past year, up 20% from the year before.

PAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.18Q1 2024: $0.23Q2 2024: $0.25Q3 2024: $0.31Q4 2024: $0.35Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $0.44Q3 2025: $0.47Q4 2025: $0.52Q1 2026: $0.57Q2 2026: $0.66Q3 2026: $0.73Forward: $1.04
Q4 2023: $0.18Q1 2024: $0.23Q2 2024: $0.25Q3 2024: $0.31Q4 2024: $0.35Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $0.44Q3 2025: $0.47Q4 2025: $0.52Q1 2026: $0.57Q2 2026: $0.66Q3 2026: $0.73Forward: $1.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.04+42%
Q3 2026$0.73+55%
Q2 2026$0.66+50%
Q1 2026$0.57+42%
Q4 2025$0.52+49%
Q3 2025$0.47+52%
Q2 2025$0.44+76%
Q1 2025$0.40+74%
Q4 2024$0.35+94%

PAY has the edge over AAPL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$114.5B+12%
Q2 2026$109.4B+16%
Q1 2026$111.2B+17%
Q4 2025$143.8B+16%
Q3 2025$102.5B+7.9%
Q2 2025$94B+9.6%
Q1 2025$95.4B+5.1%
Q4 2024$124.3B+4%

AAPL's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $114B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

PAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $165MQ1 2024: $185MQ2 2024: $197MQ3 2024: $232MQ4 2024: $258MQ1 2025: $275MQ2 2025: $280MQ3 2025: $311MQ4 2025: $330MQ1 2026: $358MQ2 2026: $361MQ3 2026: $372M
Q4 2023: $165MQ1 2024: $185MQ2 2024: $197MQ3 2024: $232MQ4 2024: $258MQ1 2025: $275MQ2 2025: $280MQ3 2025: $311MQ4 2025: $330MQ1 2026: $358MQ2 2026: $361MQ3 2026: $372M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$372.2M+20%
Q2 2026$360.7M+29%
Q1 2026$358.4M+30%
Q4 2025$330.5M+28%
Q3 2025$310.7M+34%
Q2 2025$280.1M+42%
Q1 2025$275.2M+49%
Q4 2024$257.9M+56%

PAY has the edge over AAPL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AAPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.9B-2.4%
Q2 2026$31.9B+31%
Q1 2026$26.7B+28%
Q4 2025$51.6B+91%
Q3 2025$26.5B+11%
Q2 2025$24.4B-8.6%
Q1 2025$20.9B+0.9%
Q4 2024$27B-28%

AAPL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $136B over the past year, up 38% from the year before.

PAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: $50MQ2 2025: $31MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: $45MQ1 2026: $30MQ2 2026: $49MQ3 2026: $43M
Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: $50MQ2 2025: $31MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: $45MQ1 2026: $30MQ2 2026: $49MQ3 2026: $43M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$43.4M+24%
Q2 2026$48.7M+55%
Q1 2026$30.4M-40%
Q4 2025$45M+62%
Q3 2025$35M+425%
Q2 2025$31.4M+76%
Q1 2025$50.4M+365%
Q4 2024$27.8M+14%

PAY has the edge over AAPL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5.6M shares
1 year-1.9%-284M shares
3 years-6.9%-1.1B shares
5 years-13%-2.1B shares
Available history-17%-3.1B shares

AAPL has the edge over PAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 125MQ1 2024: 127MQ2 2024: 127MQ3 2024: 128MQ4 2024: 128MQ1 2025: 129MQ2 2025: 129MQ3 2025: 129MQ4 2025: 129MQ1 2026: 129MQ2 2026: 129MQ3 2026: 130M
Q4 2023: 125MQ1 2024: 127MQ2 2024: 127MQ3 2024: 128MQ4 2024: 128MQ1 2025: 129MQ2 2025: 129MQ3 2025: 129MQ4 2025: 129MQ1 2026: 129MQ2 2026: 129MQ3 2026: 130M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1%+1.3M shares
1 year+0.8%+1.1M shares
3 years+3.7%+4.7M shares
5 years+4.7%+5.9M shares
Available history+18%+19.8M shares

PAY has 130M diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

AAPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

PAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -5.3xQ1 2024: -4.0xQ2 2024: -3.8xQ3 2024: -3.3xQ4 2024: -3.3xQ1 2025: -3.4xQ2 2025: -3.4xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -3.3xQ1 2026: -3.2xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -3.0x
Q4 2023: -5.3xQ1 2024: -4.0xQ2 2024: -3.8xQ3 2024: -3.3xQ4 2024: -3.3xQ1 2025: -3.4xQ2 2025: -3.4xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -3.3xQ1 2026: -3.2xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.0xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.3xNet Cash

PAY has the edge over AAPL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AAPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic85.0Overbought

AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

PAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.0Neutral
Stochastic27.5Neutral

PAY's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

AAPL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAAPLSector medianRelative
PE40x28x42% above
PE %963561 pts above

AAPL has the edge over PAY on valuation relative to its sector.

PAY PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPAYSector medianRelative
PE46x28x66% above
PE %44339 pts below

PAY is trading at 46x earnings, a 66% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$343.13.4% above
20 week MA$329.07.9% above
50 week MA$295.620% above
100 week MA$262.435% above
200 week MA$226.357% above

AAPL is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 57% above its 200-week average.

PAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$32.24.7% above
20 week MA$33.50.8% above
50 week MA$29.216% above
100 week MA$30.710% above
200 week MA$23.842% above

PAY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 42% above its 200-week average.

AAPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.5$132.0+82%
2021$132.0$176.3+34%
2022$176.3$131.9-25%
2023$131.9$192.5+46%
2024$192.5$255.6+33%
2025$255.6$273.4+7%
2026 YTD$273.4$354.9+30%

AAPL has the edge over PAY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$30.5$31.6+3.4%
2022$31.6$7.16-77%
2023$7.16$17.9+150%
2024$17.9$33.0+85%
2025$33.0$31.5-4.6%
2026 YTD$31.5$33.8+7.2%

PAY's yearly returns have swung widely, from +150% in 2023 to −77% in 2022. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

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