AAPL
Apple Inc.
AAPL has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
OTEX
Open Text Corporation
OTEX has the edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
AAPL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
OTEX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure |
OTEX's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
AAPL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 26x | $230 | -35% |
| Fair | 31x | $279 | -21% |
| Expensive | 37x | $328 | -7.5% |
| Forward | 38x | $355 | — |
| Current | 40x | $355 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.
OTEX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 6.4x | $24.81 | — |
| Current | 9.4x | $24.81 | — |
| Cheap | 14x | $35.71 | +44% |
| Fair | 31x | $83.11 | +235% |
| Expensive | 53x | $139 | +462% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
OTEX has the edge over AAPL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
AAPL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.
OTEX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect OTEX's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.
AAPL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.28 | +3.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.98 | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.71 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.26 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.90 | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.46 | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.59 | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.42 | -0.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.30 | -2% |
AAPL earned $8.98 per share over the past year, up 20% from the year before.
OTEX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.86 | +46% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.64 | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.58 | +56% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.05 | -16% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -31% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.91 | +10% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.65 | -3.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.45 | +295% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.46 | +423% |
OTEX earned $2.64 per share over the past year, up 38% from the year before.
AAPL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $114.5B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $109.4B | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $111.2B | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $143.8B | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $102.5B | +7.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $94B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $95.4B | +5.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $124.3B | +4% |
AAPL has the edge over OTEX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 31% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 33% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 35% | +0.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 30% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 34% | +0.7 points |
AAPL has the edge over OTEX on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
OTEX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | -4% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +2.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3B | +2.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.3B | -13% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.3B | -13% |
OTEX's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $1.2B last quarter, down 4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | -0.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 24% | +9.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 16% | -1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 22% | -0.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 21% | +4.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 17% | +1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 22% | +5.6 points |
OTEX's operating margin was 20% last quarter, down 0.7 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AAPL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25.9B | -2.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.9B | +31% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.7B | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | $51.6B | +91% |
| Q3 2025 | $26.5B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $24.4B | -8.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.9B | +0.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $27B | -28% |
AAPL has the edge over OTEX on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
OTEX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $138.5M | +37% |
| Q2 2026 | $122M | -1.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $304.9M | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $279.4M | -8.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $101.2M | +$218.4M |
| Q2 2025 | $124M | -15% |
| Q1 2025 | $373.8M | +7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $306.7M | +0.4% |
OTEX generated $845M in free cash flow over the past year, down 6.7% from the year before.
AAPL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +5.6M shares |
| 1 year | -1.9% | -284M shares |
| 3 years | -6.9% | -1.1B shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -2.1B shares |
| Available history | -17% | -3.1B shares |
AAPL has 14.7B diluted shares, down 1.9% from a year ago, with $86.4B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.3B |
| Q2 2026 | $25.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $12.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $24.7B |
| Q3 2025 | $20.1B |
| Q2 2025 | $21.1B |
| Q1 2025 | $25.9B |
| Q4 2024 | $23.6B |
AAPL spent $86.4B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 4.8% from the year before.
OTEX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.9% | -7.3M shares |
| 1 year | -4.6% | -11.7M shares |
| 3 years | -11% | -29.8M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -31.1M shares |
| Available history | -11% | -29.5M shares |
OTEX has the edge over AAPL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $30M |
| Q2 2026 | $11.8M |
| Q1 2026 | $247M |
| Q4 2025 | $50M |
| Q3 2025 | $107.6M |
| Q2 2025 | $145.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $114.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $66M |
OTEX spent $339M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 22% from the year before.
AAPL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.5x | Very low |
AAPL has the edge over OTEX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
OTEX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.7x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.7x | Elevated |
OTEX's net debt is about 3.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.8 years a year ago.
AAPL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 85.0 | Overbought |
AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).
OTEX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 50.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.4 | Neutral |
OTEX's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).
AAPL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | AAPL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40x | 28x | 42% above |
| PE % | 96 | 35 | 61 pts above |
AAPL is trading at 40x earnings, a 42% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
OTEX PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | OTEX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.4x | 28x | 66% below |
| PE % | 2 | 35 | 33 pts below |
OTEX has the edge over AAPL on valuation relative to its sector.
AAPL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $343.1 | 3.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $329.0 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $295.6 | 20% above |
| 100 week MA | $262.4 | 35% above |
| 200 week MA | $226.3 | 57% above |
AAPL has the edge over OTEX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
OTEX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $24.8 | 0.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $24.2 | 2.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $25.1 | 1.1% below |
| 100 week MA | $27.6 | 10% below |
| 200 week MA | $31.8 | 22% below |
OTEX has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 22% below its 200-week average.
AAPL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $72.5 | $132.0 | +82% |
| 2021 | $132.0 | $176.3 | +34% |
| 2022 | $176.3 | $131.9 | -25% |
| 2023 | $131.9 | $192.5 | +46% |
| 2024 | $192.5 | $255.6 | +33% |
| 2025 | $255.6 | $273.4 | +7% |
| 2026 YTD | $273.4 | $354.9 | +30% |
AAPL has the edge over OTEX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
OTEX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $44.1 | $45.7 | +3.8% |
| 2021 | $45.7 | $47.4 | +3.6% |
| 2022 | $47.4 | $29.0 | -39% |
| 2023 | $29.0 | $42.0 | +45% |
| 2024 | $42.0 | $28.3 | -33% |
| 2025 | $28.3 | $33.5 | +18% |
| 2026 YTD | $33.5 | $24.8 | -26% |
OTEX has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 26% so far in 2026.