AAPL

Apple Inc.

59
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AAPL has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

NXPI

NXP Semiconductors N.V.

77
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NXPI has the edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

AAPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NXPI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

NXPI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AAPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$230-35%
Fair31x$279-21%
Expensive37x$328-7.5%
Forward38x$355—
Current40x$355—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.

NXPI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE337x674x1011x1348x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE337x674x1011x1348x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$267—
Cheap19x$237-11%
Current21x$267—
Fair24x$302+13%
Expensive59x$745+179%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NXPI has the edge over AAPL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AAPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.

NXPI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
High

NXPI has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.

AAPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$416.94
Downside-15%$301.30

Calculated from the latest close: $354.88 on Nov 12.

AAPL trails NXPI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NXPI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+40%$373.34
Downside-18%$219.26

Calculated from the latest close: $267.29 on Nov 12.

NXPI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAPL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.28+3.3%
Q3 2026$8.98+20%
Q2 2026$8.71+32%
Q1 2026$8.26+29%
Q4 2025$7.90+25%
Q3 2025$7.46+23%
Q2 2025$6.59+0.2%
Q1 2025$6.42-0.3%
Q4 2024$6.30-2%

AAPL has the edge over NXPI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NXPI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $10.70Q1 2024: $10.82Q2 2024: $10.69Q3 2024: $10.47Q4 2024: $9.73Q1 2025: $9.18Q2 2025: $8.39Q3 2025: $8.08Q4 2025: $7.95Q1 2026: $10.46Q2 2026: $11.73Q3 2026: $12.73Forward: $17.59
Q4 2023: $10.70Q1 2024: $10.82Q2 2024: $10.69Q3 2024: $10.47Q4 2024: $9.73Q1 2025: $9.18Q2 2025: $8.39Q3 2025: $8.08Q4 2025: $7.95Q1 2026: $10.46Q2 2026: $11.73Q3 2026: $12.73Forward: $17.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$17.59+38%
Q3 2026$12.73+58%
Q2 2026$11.73+40%
Q1 2026$10.46+14%
Q4 2025$7.95-18%
Q3 2025$8.08-23%
Q2 2025$8.39-22%
Q1 2025$9.18-15%
Q4 2024$9.73-9.1%

NXPI earned $12.73 per share over the past year, up 58% from the year before.

AAPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$114.5B+12%
Q2 2026$109.4B+16%
Q1 2026$111.2B+17%
Q4 2025$143.8B+16%
Q3 2025$102.5B+7.9%
Q2 2025$94B+9.6%
Q1 2025$95.4B+5.1%
Q4 2024$124.3B+4%

AAPL has the edge over NXPI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NXPI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.4BQ1 2024: $3.1BQ2 2024: $3.1BQ3 2024: $3.3BQ4 2024: $3.1BQ1 2025: $2.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $3.3BQ1 2026: $3.2BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $3.8B
Q4 2023: $3.4BQ1 2024: $3.1BQ2 2024: $3.1BQ3 2024: $3.3BQ4 2024: $3.1BQ1 2025: $2.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $3.3BQ1 2026: $3.2BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $3.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.8B+19%
Q2 2026$3.5B+19%
Q1 2026$3.2B+12%
Q4 2025$3.3B+7.2%
Q3 2025$3.2B-2.4%
Q2 2025$2.9B-6.4%
Q1 2025$2.8B-9.3%
Q4 2024$3.1B-9.1%

NXPI's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $3.8B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.9B-2.4%
Q2 2026$31.9B+31%
Q1 2026$26.7B+28%
Q4 2025$51.6B+91%
Q3 2025$26.5B+11%
Q2 2025$24.4B-8.6%
Q1 2025$20.9B+0.9%
Q4 2024$27B-28%

AAPL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $136B over the past year, up 38% from the year before.

NXPI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $962MQ1 2024: $625MQ2 2024: $576MQ3 2024: $593MQ4 2024: $261MQ1 2025: $426MQ2 2025: $696MQ3 2025: $508MQ4 2025: $793MQ1 2026: $714MQ2 2026: $791MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $962MQ1 2024: $625MQ2 2024: $576MQ3 2024: $593MQ4 2024: $261MQ1 2025: $426MQ2 2025: $696MQ3 2025: $508MQ4 2025: $793MQ1 2026: $714MQ2 2026: $791MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+137%
Q2 2026$791M+14%
Q1 2026$714M+68%
Q4 2025$793M+204%
Q3 2025$508M-14%
Q2 2025$696M+21%
Q1 2025$426M-32%
Q4 2024$261M-73%

NXPI has the edge over AAPL on cash flow, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AAPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5.6M shares
1 year-1.9%-284M shares
3 years-6.9%-1.1B shares
5 years-13%-2.1B shares
Available history-17%-3.1B shares

AAPL has the edge over NXPI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NXPI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 261MQ1 2024: 259MQ2 2024: 259MQ3 2024: 258MQ4 2024: 258MQ1 2025: 255MQ2 2025: 254MQ3 2025: 254MQ4 2025: 254MQ1 2026: 254MQ2 2026: 254MQ3 2026: 254M
Q4 2023: 261MQ1 2024: 259MQ2 2024: 259MQ3 2024: 258MQ4 2024: 258MQ1 2025: 255MQ2 2025: 254MQ3 2025: 254MQ4 2025: 254MQ1 2026: 254MQ2 2026: 254MQ3 2026: 254M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-190K shares
1 year-0.2%-479K shares
3 years-2.8%-7.3M shares
5 years-6.5%-17.5M shares
Available history-11%-32.1M shares

NXPI has 254M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

AAPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

AAPL has the edge over NXPI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NXPI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.6xHealthy
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20252.3xModerate
Q2 20252.1xModerate
Q1 20251.9xHealthy
Q4 20241.7xHealthy

NXPI's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.3 years a year ago.

AAPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic85.0Overbought

AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

NXPI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.5Neutral
Stochastic72.1Neutral

NXPI's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).

AAPL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAAPLSector medianRelative
PE40x28x42% above
PE %963561 pts above

AAPL is trading at 40x earnings, a 42% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NXPI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNXPISector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %36351 pt above

NXPI has the edge over AAPL on valuation relative to its sector.

AAPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$343.13.4% above
20 week MA$329.07.9% above
50 week MA$295.620% above
100 week MA$262.435% above
200 week MA$226.357% above

AAPL is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 57% above its 200-week average.

NXPI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$243.69.7% above
20 week MA$244.89.2% above
50 week MA$244.69.3% above
100 week MA$227.218% above
200 week MA$222.420% above

NXPI is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 20% above its 200-week average.

AAPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.5$132.0+82%
2021$132.0$176.3+34%
2022$176.3$131.9-25%
2023$131.9$192.5+46%
2024$192.5$255.6+33%
2025$255.6$273.4+7%
2026 YTD$273.4$354.9+30%

AAPL has the edge over NXPI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NXPI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$128.2$157.3+23%
2021$157.3$227.4+45%
2022$227.4$157.7-31%
2023$157.7$229.7+46%
2024$229.7$213.8-6.9%
2025$213.8$222.9+4.3%
2026 YTD$222.9$267.3+20%

NXPI has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 20% so far in 2026.

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