AAPL
Apple Inc.
AAPL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
NCNO
nCino, Inc.
NCNO has the edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
AAPL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
NCNO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
NCNO's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
AAPL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 26x | $230 | -35% |
| Fair | 31x | $279 | -21% |
| Expensive | 37x | $328 | -7.5% |
| Forward | 38x | $355 | — |
| Current | 40x | $355 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.
NCNO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 15x | $22.36 | — |
| Cheap | 72x | $21.56 | -3.6% |
| Current | 75x | $22.36 | — |
| Fair | 133x | $40.02 | +79% |
| Expensive | 333x | $99.88 | +347% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NCNO has the edge over AAPL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
AAPL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.
NCNO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NCNO has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.
AAPL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.28 | +3.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.98 | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.71 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.26 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.90 | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.46 | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.59 | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.42 | -0.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.30 | -2% |
AAPL earned $8.98 per share over the past year, up 20% from the year before.
NCNO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.51 | +405% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.30 | +$0.58 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.12 | +$0.37 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.05 | +$0.38 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.17 | $0.00 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.28 | -$0.01 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.25 | +$0.06 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.33 | +$0.05 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.17 | +$0.41 |
NCNO has returned to profit: it earned $0.30 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
AAPL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $114.5B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $109.4B | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $111.2B | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $143.8B | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $102.5B | +7.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $94B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $95.4B | +5.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $124.3B | +4% |
AAPL's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $114B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 31% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 33% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 35% | +0.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 30% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 34% | +0.7 points |
AAPL has the edge over NCNO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NCNO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $161M | +8.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $159.4M | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $149.7M | +5.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $152.2M | +9.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $148.8M | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $144.1M | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $141.4M | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $138.8M | +14% |
NCNO has the edge over AAPL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | +14 points |
| Q1 2026 | 1.9% | +5.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.7% | +8.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | -6.3% | -0.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | -4.1% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | -0.6% | +10 points |
NCNO's operating margin was 8.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
AAPL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25.9B | -2.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.9B | +31% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.7B | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | $51.6B | +91% |
| Q3 2025 | $26.5B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $24.4B | -8.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.9B | +0.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $27B | -28% |
AAPL has the edge over NCNO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NCNO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $34M | +170% |
| Q2 2026 | $80.8M | +54% |
| Q1 2026 | $12.5M | +$22.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $4.9M | -3.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $12.6M | +176% |
| Q2 2025 | $52.6M | -2.8% |
| Q1 2025 | -$10.4M | -234% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.1M | -2.9% |
NCNO generated $132M in free cash flow over the past year, up 121% from the year before.
AAPL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +5.6M shares |
| 1 year | -1.9% | -284M shares |
| 3 years | -6.9% | -1.1B shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -2.1B shares |
| Available history | -17% | -3.1B shares |
AAPL has 14.7B diluted shares, down 1.9% from a year ago, with $86.4B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.3B |
| Q2 2026 | $25.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $12.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $24.7B |
| Q3 2025 | $20.1B |
| Q2 2025 | $21.1B |
| Q1 2025 | $25.9B |
| Q4 2024 | $23.6B |
AAPL spent $86.4B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 4.8% from the year before.
NCNO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -3.7% | -4.1M shares |
| 1 year | -8.6% | -9.9M shares |
| 3 years | -6.3% | -7M shares |
| 5 years | +10% | +9.7M shares |
| Available history | +18% | +15.7M shares |
NCNO has the edge over AAPL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $65.6M |
| Q2 2026 | $110.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $25M |
| Q4 2025 | $39.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $20M |
| Q2 2025 | $40.6M |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
NCNO spent $240M buying back its own shares over the past year.
AAPL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.5x | Very low |
AAPL has the edge over NCNO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
NCNO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | -5.0x | Net Cash |
NCNO's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.5 years a year ago.
AAPL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 85.0 | Overbought |
AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).
NCNO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 58.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 77.0 | Neutral |
NCNO's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 77 (neutral).
AAPL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | AAPL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40x | 28x | 42% above |
| PE % | 96 | 35 | 61 pts above |
AAPL has the edge over NCNO on valuation relative to its sector.
NCNO PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | NCNO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 75x | 28x | 168% above |
| PE % | 19 | 37 | 18 pts below |
NCNO is trading at 75x earnings, a 168% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.
AAPL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $343.1 | 3.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $329.0 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $295.6 | 20% above |
| 100 week MA | $262.4 | 35% above |
| 200 week MA | $226.3 | 57% above |
AAPL has the edge over NCNO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NCNO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $21.2 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $20.3 | 10% above |
| 50 week MA | $19.4 | 15% above |
| 100 week MA | $23.8 | 6.2% below |
| 200 week MA | $27.2 | 18% below |
NCNO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 18% below its 200-week average.
AAPL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $72.5 | $132.0 | +82% |
| 2021 | $132.0 | $176.3 | +34% |
| 2022 | $176.3 | $131.9 | -25% |
| 2023 | $131.9 | $192.5 | +46% |
| 2024 | $192.5 | $255.6 | +33% |
| 2025 | $255.6 | $273.4 | +7% |
| 2026 YTD | $273.4 | $354.9 | +30% |
AAPL has the edge over NCNO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NCNO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $74.0 | $78.7 | +6.3% |
| 2021 | $78.7 | $57.0 | -28% |
| 2022 | $57.0 | $25.9 | -55% |
| 2023 | $25.9 | $33.6 | +30% |
| 2024 | $33.6 | $34.4 | +2.4% |
| 2025 | $34.4 | $26.3 | -24% |
| 2026 YTD | $26.3 | $22.4 | -15% |
NCNO has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 15% so far in 2026.