AAPL

Apple Inc.

59
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AAPL trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MTSI

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.

80
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation64/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

MTSI has the edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

AAPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MTSI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

MTSI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

AAPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$230-35%
Fair31x$279-21%
Expensive37x$328-7.5%
Forward38x$355—
Current40x$355—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AAPL has the edge over MTSI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MTSI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x85x128x170x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x85x128x170x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$65.74-73%
Current57x$246—
Fair81x$349+42%
Expensive128x$552+125%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MTSI's PE is in its fair range at 57x.

AAPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.

MTSI Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for MTSI to show an outlook.

AAPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$416.94
Downside-15%$301.30

Calculated from the latest close: $354.88 on Nov 12.

AAPL trails MTSI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MTSI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+90%$467.48
Downside-15%$208.41

Calculated from the latest close: $245.76 on Nov 12.

MTSI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAPL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.28+3.3%
Q3 2026$8.98+20%
Q2 2026$8.71+32%
Q1 2026$8.26+29%
Q4 2025$7.90+25%
Q3 2025$7.46+23%
Q2 2025$6.59+0.2%
Q1 2025$6.42-0.3%
Q4 2024$6.30-2%

AAPL has the edge over MTSI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MTSI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.04Q1 2024: $0.88Q2 2024: $0.98Q3 2024: $1.04Q1 2025: $-1.43Q2 2025: $-1.21Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-0.73Q1 2026: $2.21Q2 2026: $2.39Q3 2026: $3.19Q4 2026: $4.31
Q4 2023: $1.04Q1 2024: $0.88Q2 2024: $0.98Q3 2024: $1.04Q1 2025: $-1.43Q2 2025: $-1.21Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-0.73Q1 2026: $2.21Q2 2026: $2.39Q3 2026: $3.19Q4 2026: $4.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$4.31+$5.04
Q2 2026$3.19+$4.19
Q1 2026$2.39+$3.60
Q4 2025$2.21+$3.64
Q3 2025-$0.73-170%
Q2 2025-$1.00-202%
Q1 2025-$1.21-238%
Q4 2024-$1.43-238%

MTSI has returned to profit: it earned $4.31 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

AAPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$114.5B+12%
Q2 2026$109.4B+16%
Q1 2026$111.2B+17%
Q4 2025$143.8B+16%
Q3 2025$102.5B+7.9%
Q2 2025$94B+9.6%
Q1 2025$95.4B+5.1%
Q4 2024$124.3B+4%

AAPL's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $114B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

MTSI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $181MQ2 2024: $190MQ3 2024: $201MQ1 2025: $218MQ2 2025: $236MQ3 2025: $252MQ4 2025: $261MQ1 2026: $272MQ2 2026: $289MQ3 2026: $342MQ4 2026: $425M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $181MQ2 2024: $190MQ3 2024: $201MQ1 2025: $218MQ2 2025: $236MQ3 2025: $252MQ4 2025: $261MQ1 2026: $272MQ2 2026: $289MQ3 2026: $342MQ4 2026: $425M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$424.8M+63%
Q2 2026$342.2M+36%
Q1 2026$289M+22%
Q4 2025$271.6M+25%
Q3 2025$261.2M+30%
Q2 2025$252.1M+32%
Q1 2025$235.9M+30%
Q4 2024$218.1M+39%

MTSI has the edge over AAPL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AAPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.9B-2.4%
Q2 2026$31.9B+31%
Q1 2026$26.7B+28%
Q4 2025$51.6B+91%
Q3 2025$26.5B+11%
Q2 2025$24.4B-8.6%
Q1 2025$20.9B+0.9%
Q4 2024$27B-28%

AAPL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $136B over the past year, up 38% from the year before.

MTSI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: $42MQ3 2024: $57MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $31MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $49MQ1 2026: $30MQ2 2026: $65MQ3 2026: $59MQ4 2026: $138M
Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: $42MQ3 2024: $57MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $31MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $49MQ1 2026: $30MQ2 2026: $65MQ3 2026: $59MQ4 2026: $138M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$138M+179%
Q2 2026$59.2M+15%
Q1 2026$65.5M+114%
Q4 2025$30M-51%
Q3 2025$49.4M-14%
Q2 2025$51.6M+24%
Q1 2025$30.5M+134%
Q4 2024$61.3M+116%

MTSI has the edge over AAPL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5.6M shares
1 year-1.9%-284M shares
3 years-6.9%-1.1B shares
5 years-13%-2.1B shares
Available history-17%-3.1B shares

AAPL has the edge over MTSI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MTSI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 72MQ1 2024: 73MQ2 2024: 74MQ3 2024: 74MQ1 2025: 73MQ2 2025: 76MQ3 2025: 76MQ4 2025: 74MQ1 2026: 77MQ2 2026: 78MQ3 2026: 78MQ4 2026: 78M
Q4 2023: 72MQ1 2024: 73MQ2 2024: 74MQ3 2024: 74MQ1 2025: 73MQ2 2025: 76MQ3 2025: 76MQ4 2025: 74MQ1 2026: 77MQ2 2026: 78MQ3 2026: 78MQ4 2026: 78M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-674K shares
1 year+5.1%+3.7M shares
3 years+8.7%+6.2M shares
5 years+10%+7.3M shares
Available history+17%+11.5M shares

MTSI has 78M diluted shares, up 5.1% from a year ago.

AAPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

AAPL has the edge over MTSI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MTSI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.4xQ1 2024: 3.3xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 2.1xQ2 2025: 2.6xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 2.2xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 1.0xQ4 2026: 0.6x
Q4 2023: 2.4xQ1 2024: 3.3xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 2.1xQ2 2025: 2.6xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 2.2xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 1.0xQ4 2026: 0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.6xVery low
Q2 20261.0xVery low
Q1 20261.1xHealthy
Q4 20251.9xHealthy
Q3 20252.2xModerate
Q2 20252.3xModerate
Q1 20252.6xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

MTSI's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.2 years a year ago.

AAPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic85.0Overbought

AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

MTSI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.1Neutral
Stochastic19.4Oversold

MTSI's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

AAPL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAAPLSector medianRelative
PE40x28x42% above
PE %963561 pts above

AAPL has the edge over MTSI on valuation relative to its sector.

MTSI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMTSISector medianRelative
PE57x28x105% above
PE %42357 pts above

MTSI is trading at 57x earnings, a 105% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$343.13.4% above
20 week MA$329.07.9% above
50 week MA$295.620% above
100 week MA$262.435% above
200 week MA$226.357% above

AAPL has the edge over MTSI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MTSI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$265.97.6% below
20 week MA$276.111% below
50 week MA$268.08.3% below
100 week MA$198.424% above
200 week MA$143.272% above

MTSI has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 72% above its 200-week average.

AAPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.5$132.0+82%
2021$132.0$176.3+34%
2022$176.3$131.9-25%
2023$131.9$192.5+46%
2024$192.5$255.6+33%
2025$255.6$273.4+7%
2026 YTD$273.4$354.9+30%

AAPL has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 30% so far in 2026.

MTSI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$27.4$54.6+99%
2021$54.6$77.5+42%
2022$77.5$63.3-18%
2023$63.3$93.0+47%
2024$93.0$133.5+44%
2025$133.5$175.0+31%
2026 YTD$175.0$245.8+40%

MTSI has the edge over AAPL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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