AAPL

Apple Inc.

59
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AAPL has the edge over MKTW overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

MKTW

MarketWise, Inc.

43
Fundamentals33/ 100
Valuation18/ 100
Upside potential35/ 100
Risk potential45/ 100

MKTW's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.

AAPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MKTW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Strong
Strong

MKTW's cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

AAPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$230-35%
Fair31x$279-21%
Expensive37x$328-7.5%
Forward38x$355—
Current40x$355—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AAPL has the edge over MKTW in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MKTW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE62x124x186x248x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE62x124x186x248x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.2x$3.56-84%
Fair6.6x$5.62-75%
Forward8.7x$22.30—
Current26x$22.30—
Expensive28x$23.38+4.9%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MKTW's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.7x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

AAPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.

MKTW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

MKTW has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.

AAPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$416.94
Downside-15%$301.30

Calculated from the latest close: $354.88 on Nov 12.

AAPL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MKTW, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MKTW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$27.68
Downside-45%$12.33

Calculated from the latest close: $22.30 on Nov 12.

MKTW trails AAPL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.28+3.3%
Q3 2026$8.98+20%
Q2 2026$8.71+32%
Q1 2026$8.26+29%
Q4 2025$7.90+25%
Q3 2025$7.46+23%
Q2 2025$6.59+0.2%
Q1 2025$6.42-0.3%
Q4 2024$6.30-2%

AAPL has the edge over MKTW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MKTW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.00Q1 2024: $0.80Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $2.40Q4 2024: $3.60Q1 2025: $3.21Q2 2025: $2.94Q3 2025: $2.72Q4 2025: $2.31Q1 2026: $1.67Q2 2026: $0.90Q3 2026: $0.85Forward: $2.56
Q4 2023: $1.00Q1 2024: $0.80Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $2.40Q4 2024: $3.60Q1 2025: $3.21Q2 2025: $2.94Q3 2025: $2.72Q4 2025: $2.31Q1 2026: $1.67Q2 2026: $0.90Q3 2026: $0.85Forward: $2.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.56+201%
Q3 2026$0.85-69%
Q2 2026$0.90-69%
Q1 2026$1.67-48%
Q4 2025$2.31-36%
Q3 2025$2.72+13%
Q2 2025$2.94+84%
Q1 2025$3.21+301%
Q4 2024$3.60+260%

MKTW's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.85 over the past year, against $16.54 in late 2022.

AAPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$114.5B+12%
Q2 2026$109.4B+16%
Q1 2026$111.2B+17%
Q4 2025$143.8B+16%
Q3 2025$102.5B+7.9%
Q2 2025$94B+9.6%
Q1 2025$95.4B+5.1%
Q4 2024$124.3B+4%

AAPL has the edge over MKTW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MKTW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $112MQ1 2024: $109MQ2 2024: $105MQ3 2024: $97MQ4 2024: $97MQ1 2025: $84MQ2 2025: $80MQ3 2025: $81MQ4 2025: $83MQ1 2026: $77MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: $80M
Q4 2023: $112MQ1 2024: $109MQ2 2024: $105MQ3 2024: $97MQ4 2024: $97MQ1 2025: $84MQ2 2025: $80MQ3 2025: $81MQ4 2025: $83MQ1 2026: $77MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: $80M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$80.1M-1.5%
Q2 2026$75.8M-5.2%
Q1 2026$77M-7.8%
Q4 2025$83.4M-14%
Q3 2025$81.3M-16%
Q2 2025$80M-24%
Q1 2025$83.5M-23%
Q4 2024$97.5M-13%

MKTW's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $80M last quarter, down 1.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.9B-2.4%
Q2 2026$31.9B+31%
Q1 2026$26.7B+28%
Q4 2025$51.6B+91%
Q3 2025$26.5B+11%
Q2 2025$24.4B-8.6%
Q1 2025$20.9B+0.9%
Q4 2024$27B-28%

AAPL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $136B over the past year, up 38% from the year before.

MKTW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $18MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: −$4MQ3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: $8M
Q4 2023: $18MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: −$4MQ3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: $8M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.4M+289%
Q2 2026$22.3M+26%
Q1 2026-$2.5M-251%
Q4 2025$24M+307%
Q3 2025$2.2M+$8M
Q2 2025$17.7M+$21.5M
Q1 2025$1.7M+$20.2M
Q4 2024$5.9M-66%

MKTW has the edge over AAPL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5.6M shares
1 year-1.9%-284M shares
3 years-6.9%-1.1B shares
5 years-13%-2.1B shares
Available history-17%-3.1B shares

AAPL has the edge over MKTW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MKTW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 2MQ3 2024: 2MQ4 2024: 2MQ1 2025: 2MQ2 2025: 2MQ3 2025: 3MQ4 2025: 2MQ1 2026: 2MQ2 2026: 3MQ3 2026: 3M
Q4 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 2MQ3 2024: 2MQ4 2024: 2MQ1 2025: 2MQ2 2025: 2MQ3 2025: 3MQ4 2025: 2MQ1 2026: 2MQ2 2026: 3MQ3 2026: 3M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+11%+292K shares
1 year+13%+337K shares
3 years+75%+1.3M shares
5 years+55%+1M shares

MKTW has 3M diluted shares, up 13% from a year ago, despite $2M in buybacks over the past year.

AAPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

MKTW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.8xQ2 2024: -1.9xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: -1.1xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -0.9xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -1.2xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.8xQ2 2024: -1.9xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: -1.1xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -0.9xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -1.2xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.1xNet Cash

MKTW has the edge over AAPL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AAPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic85.0Overbought

AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

MKTW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.2Neutral
Stochastic68.7Neutral

MKTW's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).

AAPL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAAPLSector medianRelative
PE40x28x42% above
PE %963561 pts above

AAPL is trading at 40x earnings, a 42% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MKTW PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMKTWSector medianRelative
PE26x28x5.8% below
PE %823844 pts above

MKTW has the edge over AAPL on valuation relative to its sector.

AAPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$343.13.4% above
20 week MA$329.07.9% above
50 week MA$295.620% above
100 week MA$262.435% above
200 week MA$226.357% above

AAPL has the edge over MKTW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MKTW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.011% above
20 week MA$19.514% above
50 week MA$17.627% above
100 week MA$16.337% above
200 week MA$24.810% below

MKTW has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 10% below its 200-week average.

AAPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.5$132.0+82%
2021$132.0$176.3+34%
2022$176.3$131.9-25%
2023$131.9$192.5+46%
2024$192.5$255.6+33%
2025$255.6$273.4+7%
2026 YTD$273.4$354.9+30%

AAPL has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 30% so far in 2026.

MKTW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$201.0$210.0+4.5%
2021$210.0$146.0-30%
2022$146.0$32.4-78%
2023$32.4$54.6+69%
2024$54.6$9.82-82%
2025$9.82$14.2+45%
2026 YTD$14.2$22.3+57%

MKTW has the edge over AAPL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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