AAPL

Apple Inc.

59
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AAPL has the edge over MDA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

MDA

MDA Space Ltd

50
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

MDA offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AAPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Weak
Strong

MDA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is weak.

AAPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$230-35%
Fair31x$279-21%
Expensive37x$328-7.5%
Forward38x$355—
Current40x$355—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.

MDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward28x$29.16—
Cheap49x$27.91-4.3%
Fair51x$28.95-0.7%
Current51x$29.16—
Expensive57x$32.29+11%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MDA has the edge over AAPL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AAPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.

MDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

MDA has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

AAPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$416.94
Downside-15%$301.30

Calculated from the latest close: $354.88 on Nov 12.

AAPL trails MDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$45.89
Downside-36%$18.75

Calculated from the latest close: $29.16 on Nov 12.

MDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAPL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.28+3.3%
Q3 2026$8.98+20%
Q2 2026$8.71+32%
Q1 2026$8.26+29%
Q4 2025$7.90+25%
Q3 2025$7.46+23%
Q2 2025$6.59+0.2%
Q1 2025$6.42-0.3%
Q4 2024$6.30-2%

AAPL earned $8.98 per share over the past year, up 20% from the year before.

MDA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.27Q4 2023: $0.30Q1 2024: $0.28Q2 2024: $0.29Q3 2024: $0.41Q4 2024: $0.47Q1 2025: $0.57Q2 2025: $0.66Q3 2025: $0.61Q4 2025: $0.61Q1 2026: $0.59Q2 2026: $0.57Forward: $1.06
Q3 2023: $0.27Q4 2023: $0.30Q1 2024: $0.28Q2 2024: $0.29Q3 2024: $0.41Q4 2024: $0.47Q1 2025: $0.57Q2 2025: $0.66Q3 2025: $0.61Q4 2025: $0.61Q1 2026: $0.59Q2 2026: $0.57Forward: $1.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.06+85%
Q2 2026$0.57-14%
Q1 2026$0.59+3.5%
Q4 2025$0.61+30%
Q3 2025$0.61+49%
Q2 2025$0.66+128%
Q1 2025$0.57+104%
Q4 2024$0.47+57%
Q3 2024$0.41+52%

MDA has the edge over AAPL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$114.5B+12%
Q2 2026$109.4B+16%
Q1 2026$111.2B+17%
Q4 2025$143.8B+16%
Q3 2025$102.5B+7.9%
Q2 2025$94B+9.6%
Q1 2025$95.4B+5.1%
Q4 2024$124.3B+4%

AAPL's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $114B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

MDA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $151MQ4 2023: $155MQ1 2024: $154MQ2 2024: $177MQ3 2024: $209MQ4 2024: $241MQ1 2025: $244MQ2 2025: $274MQ3 2025: $294MQ4 2025: $363MQ1 2026: $334MQ2 2026: $351M
Q3 2023: $151MQ4 2023: $155MQ1 2024: $154MQ2 2024: $177MQ3 2024: $209MQ4 2024: $241MQ1 2025: $244MQ2 2025: $274MQ3 2025: $294MQ4 2025: $363MQ1 2026: $334MQ2 2026: $351M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$351M+28%
Q1 2026$333.7M+37%
Q4 2025$363.4M+51%
Q3 2025$294.2M+41%
Q2 2025$274.2M+55%
Q1 2025$243.9M+58%
Q4 2024$240.9M+56%
Q3 2024$208.7M+39%

MDA has the edge over AAPL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AAPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.9B-2.4%
Q2 2026$31.9B+31%
Q1 2026$26.7B+28%
Q4 2025$51.6B+91%
Q3 2025$26.5B+11%
Q2 2025$24.4B-8.6%
Q1 2025$20.9B+0.9%
Q4 2024$27B-28%

AAPL has the edge over MDA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MDA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$49MQ4 2023: −$67MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: $87MQ3 2024: $164MQ4 2024: $230MQ1 2025: $205MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: −$12MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: −$5MQ2 2026: −$102M
Q3 2023: −$49MQ4 2023: −$67MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: $87MQ3 2024: $164MQ4 2024: $230MQ1 2025: $205MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: −$12MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: −$5MQ2 2026: −$102M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$102.4M-2464%
Q1 2026-$4.5M-102%
Q4 2025$11.7M-95%
Q3 2025-$12.2M-107%
Q2 2025$4.3M-95%
Q1 2025$205.3M+$207M
Q4 2024$230.2M+$297M
Q3 2024$164.1M+$213.5M

MDA's free cash flow was −$107M over the past year, against $604M the year before.

AAPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5.6M shares
1 year-1.9%-284M shares
3 years-6.9%-1.1B shares
5 years-13%-2.1B shares
Available history-17%-3.1B shares

AAPL has the edge over MDA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MDA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 122MQ4 2023: 123MQ1 2024: 123MQ2 2024: 124MQ3 2024: 124MQ4 2024: 127MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 128MQ3 2025: 130MQ4 2025: 126MQ1 2026: 133MQ2 2026: 143M
Q3 2023: 122MQ4 2023: 123MQ1 2024: 123MQ2 2024: 124MQ3 2024: 124MQ4 2024: 127MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 128MQ3 2025: 130MQ4 2025: 126MQ1 2026: 133MQ2 2026: 143M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+9.8M shares
1 year+11%+14.5M shares
3 years+19%+22.3M shares
5 years+20%+23.8M shares

MDA has 143M diluted shares, up 11% from a year ago.

AAPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

MDA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 2.4xQ4 2023: 4.3xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -1.0xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: 0.9xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.1x
Q3 2023: 2.4xQ4 2023: 4.3xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -1.0xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: 0.9xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 20251.0xVery low
Q3 20250.9xVery low
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 20241.7xHealthy

MDA has the edge over AAPL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AAPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic85.0Overbought

AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

MDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.1Neutral
Stochastic22.8Neutral

MDA's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

AAPL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAAPLSector medianRelative
PE40x28x42% above
PE %963561 pts above

AAPL has the edge over MDA on valuation relative to its sector.

MDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMDASector medianRelative
PE51x28x84% above
PE %581840 pts above

MDA is trading at 51x earnings, a 84% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

AAPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$343.13.4% above
20 week MA$329.07.9% above
50 week MA$295.620% above
100 week MA$262.435% above
200 week MA$226.357% above

AAPL has stronger trend alignment. AAPL is above 5 of 5 weekly averages versus MDA above 1 of 2.

MDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$28.81.4% above
20 week MA$30.74.9% below

MDA has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 4.9% below its 20-week average.

AAPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.5$132.0+82%
2021$132.0$176.3+34%
2022$176.3$131.9-25%
2023$131.9$192.5+46%
2024$192.5$255.6+33%
2025$255.6$273.4+7%
2026 YTD$273.4$354.9+30%

AAPL has the edge over MDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2026 YTD$29.1$29.2+0.1%

It's roughly flat so far in 2026.

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