AAPL
Apple Inc.
AAPL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
LSPD
Lightspeed Commerce Inc.
LSPD has the edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
AAPL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
LSPD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
LSPD's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its profitability is under pressure.
AAPL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 26x | $230 | -35% |
| Fair | 31x | $279 | -21% |
| Expensive | 37x | $328 | -7.5% |
| Forward | 38x | $355 | — |
| Current | 40x | $355 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.
LSPD PE Valuation
LSPD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAPL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.
LSPD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
LSPD has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
AAPL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.28 | +3.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.98 | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.71 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.26 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.90 | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.46 | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.59 | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.42 | -0.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.30 | -2% |
AAPL has the edge over LSPD on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
LSPD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.80 | — |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.70 | +$3.78 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.03 | +$3.33 |
| Q4 2025 | -$4.60 | -$3.80 |
| Q3 2025 | -$4.53 | -$3.64 |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.48 | -$3.50 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.36 | -$3.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.80 | +$0.55 |
| Q3 2024 | -$0.89 | +$5.59 |
LSPD is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.70 per share over the past year, against $7.37 at its worst in late 2022.
AAPL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $114.5B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $109.4B | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $111.2B | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $143.8B | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $102.5B | +7.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $94B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $95.4B | +5.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $124.3B | +4% |
AAPL's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $114B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 31% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 33% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 35% | +0.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 30% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 34% | +0.7 points |
AAPL has the edge over LSPD on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LSPD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $322.7M | +5.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $290.8M | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $312.3M | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $319M | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $304.9M | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $253.4M | +10% |
| Q4 2024 | $280.1M | +17% |
| Q3 2024 | $277.2M | +20% |
LSPD has the edge over AAPL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -1.1% | +13 points |
| Q1 2026 | -12% | +217 points |
| Q4 2025 | -11% | +0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | -11% | +2.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | -14% | +2.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | -229% | -211 points |
| Q4 2024 | -12% | +9.3 points |
| Q3 2024 | -14% | +8.9 points |
LSPD's operating margin was −1.1% last quarter, up 13 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
AAPL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25.9B | -2.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.9B | +31% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.7B | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | $51.6B | +91% |
| Q3 2025 | $26.5B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $24.4B | -8.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.9B | +0.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $27B | -28% |
AAPL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $136B over the past year, up 38% from the year before.
LSPD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$1.6M | -2169% |
| Q1 2026 | -$8M | +$8.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $23.9M | +$27.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $23.8M | +$41M |
| Q2 2025 | $77K | +$18.4M |
| Q1 2025 | -$16.9M | +$17.9M |
| Q4 2024 | -$3.4M | +$19.7M |
| Q3 2024 | -$17.2M | +$11.3M |
LSPD has the edge over AAPL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAPL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +5.6M shares |
| 1 year | -1.9% | -284M shares |
| 3 years | -6.9% | -1.1B shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -2.1B shares |
| Available history | -17% | -3.1B shares |
AAPL has 14.7B diluted shares, down 1.9% from a year ago, with $86.4B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.3B |
| Q2 2026 | $25.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $12.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $24.7B |
| Q3 2025 | $20.1B |
| Q2 2025 | $21.1B |
| Q1 2025 | $25.9B |
| Q4 2024 | $23.6B |
AAPL spent $86.4B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 4.8% from the year before.
LSPD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.9% | -1.3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.9% | -2.6M shares |
| 3 years | -9.4% | -14.3M shares |
| 5 years | +5.6% | +7.3M shares |
| Available history | +63% | +53.3M shares |
LSPD has 138M diluted shares, down 1.9% from a year ago, with $66M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $65.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $279,531 |
| Q4 2025 | $429,657 |
| Q3 2025 | $20,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $116.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $92.4M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | $63,893 |
LSPD spent $66M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 68% from the year before.
AAPL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.5x | Very low |
AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
LSPD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -23.9x | Net Cash |
LSPD has the edge over AAPL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
AAPL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 85.0 | Overbought |
AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).
LSPD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 49.7 | Neutral |
LSPD's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).
AAPL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | AAPL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40x | 28x | 42% above |
| PE % | 96 | 35 | 61 pts above |
AAPL is trading at 40x earnings, a 42% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
LSPD PE vs Technology Sector
LSPD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAPL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $343.1 | 3.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $329.0 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $295.6 | 20% above |
| 100 week MA | $262.4 | 35% above |
| 200 week MA | $226.3 | 57% above |
AAPL has the edge over LSPD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
LSPD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $10.4 | 3.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.4 | 2.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.1 | 0.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.0 | 8.6% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.1 | 23% below |
LSPD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 23% below its 200-week average.
AAPL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $72.5 | $132.0 | +82% |
| 2021 | $132.0 | $176.3 | +34% |
| 2022 | $176.3 | $131.9 | -25% |
| 2023 | $131.9 | $192.5 | +46% |
| 2024 | $192.5 | $255.6 | +33% |
| 2025 | $255.6 | $273.4 | +7% |
| 2026 YTD | $273.4 | $354.9 | +30% |
AAPL has the edge over LSPD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
LSPD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.0 | $68.5 | +145% |
| 2021 | $68.5 | $40.8 | -40% |
| 2022 | $40.8 | $13.5 | -67% |
| 2023 | $13.5 | $21.0 | +56% |
| 2024 | $21.0 | $15.6 | -26% |
| 2025 | $15.6 | $12.4 | -21% |
| 2026 YTD | $12.4 | $10.1 | -18% |
LSPD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +145% in 2020 to −67% in 2022. It's down 18% so far in 2026.