AAPL

Apple Inc.

59
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AAPL trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

KEYS

Keysight Technologies, Inc.

71
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation39/ 100
Upside potential78/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

KEYS has the edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

AAPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

KEYS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

KEYS's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

AAPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$230-35%
Fair31x$279-21%
Expensive37x$328-7.5%
Forward38x$355—
Current40x$355—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AAPL has the edge over KEYS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

KEYS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x35x52x69x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x35x52x69x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward22x$304—
Cheap26x$192-37%
Fair32x$235-23%
Current42x$304—
Expensive46x$339+11%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

KEYS's PE is in its expensive range at 42x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 22x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

AAPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.

KEYS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

KEYS has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.

AAPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$416.94
Downside-15%$301.30

Calculated from the latest close: $354.88 on Nov 12.

AAPL trails KEYS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

KEYS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+48%$451.41
Downside-14%$261.85

Calculated from the latest close: $304.23 on Nov 12.

KEYS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAPL, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

AAPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.28+3.3%
Q3 2026$8.98+20%
Q2 2026$8.71+32%
Q1 2026$8.26+29%
Q4 2025$7.90+25%
Q3 2025$7.46+23%
Q2 2025$6.59+0.2%
Q1 2025$6.42-0.3%
Q4 2024$6.30-2%

AAPL has the edge over KEYS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

KEYS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.91Q1 2024: $5.44Q2 2024: $4.58Q3 2024: $5.19Q4 2024: $3.51Q1 2025: $3.50Q2 2025: $4.27Q3 2025: $3.15Q4 2025: $4.91Q1 2026: $5.57Q2 2026: $6.10Q3 2026: $7.30Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $5.91Q1 2024: $5.44Q2 2024: $4.58Q3 2024: $5.19Q4 2024: $3.51Q1 2025: $3.50Q2 2025: $4.27Q3 2025: $3.15Q4 2025: $4.91Q1 2026: $5.57Q2 2026: $6.10Q3 2026: $7.30Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+89%
Q3 2026$7.30+132%
Q2 2026$6.10+43%
Q1 2026$5.57+59%
Q4 2025$4.91+40%
Q3 2025$3.15-39%
Q2 2025$4.27-6.8%
Q1 2025$3.50-36%
Q4 2024$3.51-41%

KEYS earned $7.30 per share over the past year, up 132% from the year before.

AAPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$114.5B+12%
Q2 2026$109.4B+16%
Q1 2026$111.2B+17%
Q4 2025$143.8B+16%
Q3 2025$102.5B+7.9%
Q2 2025$94B+9.6%
Q1 2025$95.4B+5.1%
Q4 2024$124.3B+4%

AAPL has the edge over KEYS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

KEYS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $1.8B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $1.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.8B+37%
Q2 2026$1.7B+31%
Q1 2026$1.6B+23%
Q4 2025$1.4B+10%
Q3 2025$1.4B+11%
Q2 2025$1.3B+7.4%
Q1 2025$1.3B+3.1%
Q4 2024$1.3B-1.8%

KEYS's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $1.8B last quarter, up 37% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.9B-2.4%
Q2 2026$31.9B+31%
Q1 2026$26.7B+28%
Q4 2025$51.6B+91%
Q3 2025$26.5B+11%
Q2 2025$24.4B-8.6%
Q1 2025$20.9B+0.9%
Q4 2024$27B-28%

AAPL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $136B over the past year, up 38% from the year before.

KEYS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $340MQ1 2024: $281MQ2 2024: $74MQ3 2024: $222MQ4 2024: $321MQ1 2025: $346MQ2 2025: $457MQ3 2025: $291MQ4 2025: $187MQ1 2026: $407MQ2 2026: $472MQ3 2026: $403M
Q4 2023: $340MQ1 2024: $281MQ2 2024: $74MQ3 2024: $222MQ4 2024: $321MQ1 2025: $346MQ2 2025: $457MQ3 2025: $291MQ4 2025: $187MQ1 2026: $407MQ2 2026: $472MQ3 2026: $403M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$403M+38%
Q2 2026$472M+3.3%
Q1 2026$407M+18%
Q4 2025$187M-42%
Q3 2025$291M+31%
Q2 2025$457M+518%
Q1 2025$346M+23%
Q4 2024$321M-5.6%

KEYS has the edge over AAPL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5.6M shares
1 year-1.9%-284M shares
3 years-6.9%-1.1B shares
5 years-13%-2.1B shares
Available history-17%-3.1B shares

AAPL has the edge over KEYS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

KEYS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 179MQ1 2024: 176MQ2 2024: 175MQ3 2024: 175MQ4 2024: 175MQ1 2025: 174MQ2 2025: 173MQ3 2025: 173MQ4 2025: 173MQ1 2026: 173MQ2 2026: 173MQ3 2026: 173M
Q4 2023: 179MQ1 2024: 176MQ2 2024: 175MQ3 2024: 175MQ4 2024: 175MQ1 2025: 174MQ2 2025: 173MQ3 2025: 173MQ4 2025: 173MQ1 2026: 173MQ2 2026: 173MQ3 2026: 173M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%--
3 years-3.4%-6M shares
5 years-7%-13M shares
Available history-9.4%-18M shares

KEYS has 173M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

AAPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

KEYS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

KEYS has the edge over AAPL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AAPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic85.0Overbought

AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

KEYS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.5Neutral
Stochastic20.0Neutral

KEYS's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (neutral).

AAPL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAAPLSector medianRelative
PE40x28x42% above
PE %963561 pts above

AAPL has the edge over KEYS on valuation relative to its sector.

KEYS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricKEYSSector medianRelative
PE42x28x50% above
PE %713536 pts above

KEYS is trading at 42x earnings, a 50% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$343.13.4% above
20 week MA$329.07.9% above
50 week MA$295.620% above
100 week MA$262.435% above
200 week MA$226.357% above

AAPL has the edge over KEYS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

KEYS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$332.48.5% below
20 week MA$329.27.6% below
50 week MA$300.21.3% above
100 week MA$232.031% above
200 week MA$191.459% above

KEYS has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 59% above its 200-week average.

AAPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.5$132.0+82%
2021$132.0$176.3+34%
2022$176.3$131.9-25%
2023$131.9$192.5+46%
2024$192.5$255.6+33%
2025$255.6$273.4+7%
2026 YTD$273.4$354.9+30%

AAPL has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 30% so far in 2026.

KEYS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$103.2$131.0+27%
2021$131.0$201.4+54%
2022$201.4$169.8-16%
2023$169.8$159.1-6.3%
2024$159.1$162.9+2.4%
2025$162.9$206.0+26%
2026 YTD$206.0$304.2+48%

KEYS has the edge over AAPL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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