AAPL

Apple Inc.

59
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AAPL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

IPM

Intelligent Protection Management Corp.

65
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

IPM has the edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

AAPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

IPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Healthy
Strong

IPM's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

AAPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$230-35%
Fair31x$279-21%
Expensive37x$328-7.5%
Forward38x$355—
Current40x$355—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.

IPM PE Valuation

IPM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.

IPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

IPM has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

AAPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$416.94
Downside-15%$301.30

Calculated from the latest close: $354.88 on Nov 12.

AAPL trails IPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

IPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$2.26
Downside-22%$1.37

Calculated from the latest close: $1.75 on Nov 12.

IPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAPL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.28+3.3%
Q3 2026$8.98+20%
Q2 2026$8.71+32%
Q1 2026$8.26+29%
Q4 2025$7.90+25%
Q3 2025$7.46+23%
Q2 2025$6.59+0.2%
Q1 2025$6.42-0.3%
Q4 2024$6.30-2%

AAPL has the edge over IPM on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

IPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.12Q1 2024: $-0.09Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.34Q4 2024: $-0.91Q1 2025: $-0.80Q2 2025: $-0.78Q3 2025: $-0.70Q4 2025: $-0.15Q1 2026: $-0.26Q2 2026: $-0.28Q3 2026: $-0.26Forward: $0.11
Q4 2023: $-0.12Q1 2024: $-0.09Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.34Q4 2024: $-0.91Q1 2025: $-0.80Q2 2025: $-0.78Q3 2025: $-0.70Q4 2025: $-0.15Q1 2026: $-0.26Q2 2026: $-0.28Q3 2026: $-0.26Forward: $0.11
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.11—
Q3 2026-$0.26+$0.44
Q2 2026-$0.28+$0.50
Q1 2026-$0.26+$0.54
Q4 2025-$0.15+$0.76
Q3 2025-$0.70-$0.36
Q2 2025-$0.78-$0.58
Q1 2025-$0.80-$0.71
Q4 2024-$0.91-$0.79

IPM is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.26 per share over the past year, against $1.37 at its worst in early 2020.

AAPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$114.5B+12%
Q2 2026$109.4B+16%
Q1 2026$111.2B+17%
Q4 2025$143.8B+16%
Q3 2025$102.5B+7.9%
Q2 2025$94B+9.6%
Q1 2025$95.4B+5.1%
Q4 2024$124.3B+4%

AAPL has the edge over IPM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: −$6MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $6MQ3 2026: $11M
Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: −$6MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $6MQ3 2026: $11M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11M+76%
Q2 2026$6.5M+13%
Q1 2026$6.4M+15%
Q3 2025$6.2M+194%
Q2 2025$5.7M+157%
Q1 2025$5.5M+112%
Q3 2024$2.1M-23%
Q2 2024$2.2M-25%

IPM's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $11M last quarter, up 76% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.9B-2.4%
Q2 2026$31.9B+31%
Q1 2026$26.7B+28%
Q4 2025$51.6B+91%
Q3 2025$26.5B+11%
Q2 2025$24.4B-8.6%
Q1 2025$20.9B+0.9%
Q4 2024$27B-28%

AAPL has the edge over IPM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: −$520,794Q2 2024: −$251,251Q3 2024: −$779,691Q4 2024: −$1MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $133,037Q4 2025: $87,582Q1 2026: −$265,920Q2 2026: −$599,499Q3 2026: $5M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: −$520,794Q2 2024: −$251,251Q3 2024: −$779,691Q4 2024: −$1MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $133,037Q4 2025: $87,582Q1 2026: −$265,920Q2 2026: −$599,499Q3 2026: $5M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.1M+3703%
Q1 2026-$265.9K-115%
Q4 2025$87.6K+$1.6M
Q3 2025$133K+$912.7K
Q1 2025$1.7M+$2.3M
Q2 2024-$251.3K-$57.5K
Q1 2024-$520.8K+$282.2K
Q2 2023-$193.8K+$217.2K

IPM's free cash flow has turned positive after three years mostly in the red: $4M over the past year.

AAPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5.6M shares
1 year-1.9%-284M shares
3 years-6.9%-1.1B shares
5 years-13%-2.1B shares
Available history-17%-3.1B shares

AAPL has the edge over IPM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 9MQ1 2024: 9MQ2 2024: 9MQ3 2024: 9MQ4 2024: 9MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
Q4 2023: 9MQ1 2024: 9MQ2 2024: 9MQ3 2024: 9MQ4 2024: 9MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year-1.3%-166K shares
3 years+41%+3.8M shares
5 years+89%+6.1M shares
Available history+90%+6.2M shares

IPM has 13M diluted shares, down 1.3% from a year ago.

AAPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

IPM Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2020-2.8xNet Cash

IPM has more cash than debt.

AAPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic85.0Overbought

AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

IPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.4Neutral
Stochastic42.7Neutral

IPM's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).

AAPL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAAPLSector medianRelative
PE40x28x42% above
PE %963561 pts above

AAPL is trading at 40x earnings, a 42% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

IPM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricIPMSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

IPM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$343.13.4% above
20 week MA$329.07.9% above
50 week MA$295.620% above
100 week MA$262.435% above
200 week MA$226.357% above

AAPL has the edge over IPM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

IPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.721.7% above
20 week MA$1.792.2% below
50 week MA$1.781.7% below
100 week MA$1.865.9% below
200 week MA$2.3325% below

IPM has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 25% below its 200-week average.

AAPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.5$132.0+82%
2021$132.0$176.3+34%
2022$176.3$131.9-25%
2023$131.9$192.5+46%
2024$192.5$255.6+33%
2025$255.6$273.4+7%
2026 YTD$273.4$354.9+30%

AAPL has the edge over IPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

IPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.07$1.50+40%
2021$1.50$3.15+110%
2022$3.15$1.48-53%
2023$1.48$2.34+58%
2024$2.34$2.15-8.1%
2025$2.15$1.76-18%
2026 YTD$1.76$1.75-0.6%

IPM's yearly returns have swung widely, from +110% in 2021 to −53% in 2022. It's down 0.6% so far in 2026.

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