AAPL
Apple Inc.
AAPL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
IOT
Samsara Inc.
IOT has the edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
AAPL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
IOT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
IOT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
AAPL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 26x | $230 | -35% |
| Fair | 31x | $279 | -21% |
| Expensive | 37x | $328 | -7.5% |
| Forward | 38x | $355 | — |
| Current | 40x | $355 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.
IOT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 46x | $41.32 | — |
| Cheap | 250x | $40.07 | -3% |
| Current | 258x | $41.32 | — |
| Fair | 314x | $50.16 | +21% |
| Expensive | 385x | $61.52 | +49% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
IOT has the edge over AAPL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
AAPL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.
IOT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
IOT has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.
AAPL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.28 | +3.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.98 | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.71 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.26 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.90 | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.46 | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.59 | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.42 | -0.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.30 | -2% |
AAPL earned $8.98 per share over the past year, up 20% from the year before.
IOT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.90 | +460% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.16 | +$0.32 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.10 | +$0.32 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.02 | +$0.26 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.08 | +$0.40 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.16 | +$0.33 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.22 | +$0.29 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.28 | +$0.26 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.48 | -$0.06 |
IOT has the edge over AAPL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAPL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $114.5B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $109.4B | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $111.2B | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $143.8B | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $102.5B | +7.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $94B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $95.4B | +5.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $124.3B | +4% |
AAPL's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $114B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 31% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 33% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 35% | +0.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 30% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 34% | +0.7 points |
AAPL has the edge over IOT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
IOT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $508.4M | +30% |
| Q2 2026 | $478.8M | +31% |
| Q1 2026 | $444.3M | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | $416M | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $391.5M | +30% |
| Q2 2025 | $366.9M | +31% |
| Q1 2025 | $346.3M | +25% |
| Q4 2024 | $322M | +36% |
IOT has the edge over AAPL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1% | +7.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5% | +11 points |
| Q1 2026 | 2% | +7.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -0.4% | +14 points |
| Q3 2025 | -6.8% | +13 points |
| Q2 2025 | -9.1% | +15 points |
| Q1 2025 | -5.3% | +39 points |
| Q4 2024 | -15% | +8.3 points |
IOT's operating margin was 1% last quarter, up 7.8 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AAPL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25.9B | -2.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.9B | +31% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.7B | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | $51.6B | +91% |
| Q3 2025 | $26.5B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $24.4B | -8.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.9B | +0.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $27B | -28% |
AAPL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $136B over the past year, up 38% from the year before.
IOT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $64.7M | +46% |
| Q2 2026 | $73.2M | +60% |
| Q1 2026 | $61.7M | +27% |
| Q4 2025 | $55.8M | +79% |
| Q3 2025 | $44.2M | +237% |
| Q2 2025 | $45.7M | +146% |
| Q1 2025 | $48.5M | +$92.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $31.2M | +266% |
IOT has the edge over AAPL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAPL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +5.6M shares |
| 1 year | -1.9% | -284M shares |
| 3 years | -6.9% | -1.1B shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -2.1B shares |
| Available history | -17% | -3.1B shares |
AAPL has the edge over IOT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.3B |
| Q2 2026 | $25.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $12.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $24.7B |
| Q3 2025 | $20.1B |
| Q2 2025 | $21.1B |
| Q1 2025 | $25.9B |
| Q4 2024 | $23.6B |
AAPL spent $86.4B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 4.8% from the year before.
IOT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +2.8M shares |
| 1 year | +3.3% | +18.7M shares |
| 3 years | +11% | +58.7M shares |
| 5 years | +17% | +87.5M shares |
IOT has 590M diluted shares, up 3.3% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | $4,000 |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | $1,000 |
AAPL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.5x | Very low |
AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
IOT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -5.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -14.9x | Net Cash |
IOT has the edge over AAPL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
AAPL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 85.0 | Overbought |
AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).
IOT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 55.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 59.4 | Neutral |
IOT's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).
AAPL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | AAPL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40x | 28x | 42% above |
| PE % | 96 | 35 | 61 pts above |
AAPL has the edge over IOT on valuation relative to its sector.
IOT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | IOT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 258x | 28x | 827% above |
| PE % | 30 | 47 | 17 pts below |
IOT is trading at 258x earnings, a 827% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.
AAPL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $343.1 | 3.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $329.0 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $295.6 | 20% above |
| 100 week MA | $262.4 | 35% above |
| 200 week MA | $226.3 | 57% above |
AAPL is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 57% above its 200-week average.
IOT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $41.2 | 0.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.5 | 4.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $35.2 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $38.2 | 8.3% above |
| 200 week MA | $34.9 | 18% above |
IOT is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 18% above its 200-week average.
AAPL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $72.5 | $132.0 | +82% |
| 2021 | $132.0 | $176.3 | +34% |
| 2022 | $176.3 | $131.9 | -25% |
| 2023 | $131.9 | $192.5 | +46% |
| 2024 | $192.5 | $255.6 | +33% |
| 2025 | $255.6 | $273.4 | +7% |
| 2026 YTD | $273.4 | $354.9 | +30% |
AAPL has the edge over IOT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
IOT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $22.3 | $27.6 | +24% |
| 2022 | $27.6 | $12.3 | -56% |
| 2023 | $12.3 | $33.4 | +172% |
| 2024 | $33.4 | $44.4 | +33% |
| 2025 | $44.4 | $36.5 | -18% |
| 2026 YTD | $36.5 | $41.3 | +13% |
IOT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +172% in 2023 to −56% in 2022. It's up 13% so far in 2026.