AAPL

Apple Inc.

59
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AAPL has a slight edge over IBTA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

IBTA

Ibotta, Inc.

57
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

IBTA offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AAPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

IBTA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong
Strong

IBTA's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

AAPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$230-35%
Fair31x$279-21%
Expensive37x$328-7.5%
Forward38x$355—
Current40x$355—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.

IBTA PE Valuation

IBTA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.

IBTA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

IBTA has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

AAPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$416.94
Downside-15%$301.30

Calculated from the latest close: $354.88 on Nov 12.

AAPL trails IBTA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

IBTA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+64%$95.21
Downside-39%$35.70

Calculated from the latest close: $58.12 on Nov 12.

IBTA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAPL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.28+3.3%
Q3 2026$8.98+20%
Q2 2026$8.71+32%
Q1 2026$8.26+29%
Q4 2025$7.90+25%
Q3 2025$7.46+23%
Q2 2025$6.59+0.2%
Q1 2025$6.42-0.3%
Q4 2024$6.30-2%

AAPL has the edge over IBTA on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

IBTA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.27Q1 2024: $1.74Q2 2024: $-0.09Q3 2024: $0.14Q4 2024: $2.56Q1 2025: $2.25Q2 2025: $3.65Q3 2025: $3.19Q4 2025: $0.12Q1 2026: $-0.33Q2 2026: $-0.46Q3 2026: $-0.66
Q4 2023: $1.27Q1 2024: $1.74Q2 2024: $-0.09Q3 2024: $0.14Q4 2024: $2.56Q1 2025: $2.25Q2 2025: $3.65Q3 2025: $3.19Q4 2025: $0.12Q1 2026: $-0.33Q2 2026: $-0.46Q3 2026: $-0.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.66-121%
Q2 2026-$0.46-113%
Q1 2026-$0.33-115%
Q4 2025$0.12-95%
Q3 2025$3.19+2179%
Q2 2025$3.65+$3.74
Q1 2025$2.25+29%
Q4 2024$2.56+102%

IBTA has swung to a loss: it lost $0.66 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

AAPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$114.5B+12%
Q2 2026$109.4B+16%
Q1 2026$111.2B+17%
Q4 2025$143.8B+16%
Q3 2025$102.5B+7.9%
Q2 2025$94B+9.6%
Q1 2025$95.4B+5.1%
Q4 2024$124.3B+4%

AAPL has the edge over IBTA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IBTA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $100MQ1 2024: $82MQ2 2024: $88MQ3 2024: $99MQ4 2024: $98MQ1 2025: $85MQ2 2025: $86MQ3 2025: $83MQ4 2025: $89MQ1 2026: $82MQ2 2026: $89MQ3 2026: $98M
Q4 2023: $100MQ1 2024: $82MQ2 2024: $88MQ3 2024: $99MQ4 2024: $98MQ1 2025: $85MQ2 2025: $86MQ3 2025: $83MQ4 2025: $89MQ1 2026: $82MQ2 2026: $89MQ3 2026: $98M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$97.8M+17%
Q2 2026$88.9M+3.3%
Q1 2026$82.5M-2.5%
Q4 2025$88.5M-10%
Q3 2025$83.3M-16%
Q2 2025$86M-2.2%
Q1 2025$84.6M+2.7%
Q4 2024$98.4M-1.3%

IBTA's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $98M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.9B-2.4%
Q2 2026$31.9B+31%
Q1 2026$26.7B+28%
Q4 2025$51.6B+91%
Q3 2025$26.5B+11%
Q2 2025$24.4B-8.6%
Q1 2025$20.9B+0.9%
Q4 2024$27B-28%

AAPL has the edge over IBTA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IBTA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $35MQ3 2024: $39MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: $22MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $12MQ3 2026: $22M
Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $35MQ3 2024: $39MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: $22MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $12MQ3 2026: $22M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.5M+48%
Q2 2026$12.4M-44%
Q1 2026$27.3M+52%
Q4 2025$20.3M-6.8%
Q3 2025$14.5M-63%
Q2 2025$22.2M-36%
Q1 2025$18M-6.5%
Q4 2024$21.8M+0.4%

IBTA generated $81M in free cash flow over the past year, up 6.5% from the year before.

AAPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5.6M shares
1 year-1.9%-284M shares
3 years-6.9%-1.1B shares
5 years-13%-2.1B shares
Available history-17%-3.1B shares

AAPL has 14.7B diluted shares, down 1.9% from a year ago, with $86.4B in buybacks over the past year.

IBTA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 26MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
Q4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 26MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+68.4K shares
1 year-21%-6M shares
3 years-23%-6.9M shares

IBTA has the edge over AAPL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

IBTA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.0xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -9.0xQ3 2024: -7.3xQ4 2024: -9.7xQ1 2025: -16.9xQ2 2025: -6.1xQ3 2025: -10.4xQ4 2025: -25.0xQ1 2026: -1,055.1xQ3 2026: -53.4x
Q4 2023: 0.0xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -9.0xQ3 2024: -7.3xQ4 2024: -9.7xQ1 2025: -16.9xQ2 2025: -6.1xQ3 2025: -10.4xQ4 2025: -25.0xQ1 2026: -1,055.1xQ3 2026: -53.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-53.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1,055.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-25.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-10.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-16.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-9.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-7.3xNet Cash

IBTA has the edge over AAPL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AAPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic85.0Overbought

AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

IBTA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI78.6Overbought
Stochastic82.4Overbought

IBTA's weekly RSI is 79 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 82 (overbought).

AAPL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAAPLSector medianRelative
PE40x28x42% above
PE %963561 pts above

AAPL is trading at 40x earnings, a 42% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

IBTA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricIBTASector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

IBTA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$343.13.4% above
20 week MA$329.07.9% above
50 week MA$295.620% above
100 week MA$262.435% above
200 week MA$226.357% above

IBTA has stronger trend alignment. AAPL is above 5 of 5 weekly averages versus IBTA above 4 of 4.

IBTA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$48.420% above
20 week MA$40.444% above
50 week MA$32.778% above
100 week MA$37.953% above

IBTA is in an uptrend: it's above all four of its weekly moving averages, and 53% above its 100-week average.

AAPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.5$132.0+82%
2021$132.0$176.3+34%
2022$176.3$131.9-25%
2023$131.9$192.5+46%
2024$192.5$255.6+33%
2025$255.6$273.4+7%
2026 YTD$273.4$354.9+30%

AAPL has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 30% so far in 2026.

IBTA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$98.0$65.8-33%
2025$65.8$22.2-66%
2026 YTD$22.2$58.1+162%

IBTA has the edge over AAPL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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