AAPL

Apple Inc.

59
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AAPL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

HUBS

HubSpot, Inc.

76
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

HUBS has the edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

AAPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

HUBS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

HUBS's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AAPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$230-35%
Fair31x$279-21%
Expensive37x$328-7.5%
Forward38x$355—
Current40x$355—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.

HUBS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2346x4691x7037x9383x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2346x4691x7037x9383x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$216—
Current52x$216—
Cheap81x$340+58%
Fair117x$487+126%
Expensive6,152x$25,716+11814%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HUBS has the edge over AAPL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AAPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.

HUBS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

HUBS has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.

AAPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$416.94
Downside-15%$301.30

Calculated from the latest close: $354.88 on Nov 12.

AAPL trails HUBS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HUBS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+66%$358.10
Downside-22%$167.92

Calculated from the latest close: $215.84 on Nov 12.

HUBS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAPL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.28+3.3%
Q3 2026$8.98+20%
Q2 2026$8.71+32%
Q1 2026$8.26+29%
Q4 2025$7.90+25%
Q3 2025$7.46+23%
Q2 2025$6.59+0.2%
Q1 2025$6.42-0.3%
Q4 2024$6.30-2%

AAPL earned $8.98 per share over the past year, up 20% from the year before.

HUBS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.53Q1 2024: $-2.63Q2 2024: $-0.52Q3 2024: $-0.25Q4 2024: $0.09Q1 2025: $-0.45Q2 2025: $-0.23Q3 2025: $-0.08Q4 2025: $0.86Q1 2026: $1.90Q2 2026: $2.82Q3 2026: $4.18Forward: $16.09
Q4 2023: $-3.53Q1 2024: $-2.63Q2 2024: $-0.52Q3 2024: $-0.25Q4 2024: $0.09Q1 2025: $-0.45Q2 2025: $-0.23Q3 2025: $-0.08Q4 2025: $0.86Q1 2026: $1.90Q2 2026: $2.82Q3 2026: $4.18Forward: $16.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$16.09+285%
Q3 2026$4.18+$4.26
Q2 2026$2.82+$3.05
Q1 2026$1.90+$2.35
Q4 2025$0.86+856%
Q3 2025-$0.08+$0.17
Q2 2025-$0.23+$0.29
Q1 2025-$0.45+$2.18
Q4 2024$0.09+$3.62

HUBS has the edge over AAPL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$114.5B+12%
Q2 2026$109.4B+16%
Q1 2026$111.2B+17%
Q4 2025$143.8B+16%
Q3 2025$102.5B+7.9%
Q2 2025$94B+9.6%
Q1 2025$95.4B+5.1%
Q4 2024$124.3B+4%

AAPL's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $114B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

HUBS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $582MQ1 2024: $617MQ2 2024: $637MQ3 2024: $670MQ4 2024: $703MQ1 2025: $714MQ2 2025: $761MQ3 2025: $810MQ4 2025: $847MQ1 2026: $881MQ2 2026: $912MQ3 2026: $948M
Q4 2023: $582MQ1 2024: $617MQ2 2024: $637MQ3 2024: $670MQ4 2024: $703MQ1 2025: $714MQ2 2025: $761MQ3 2025: $810MQ4 2025: $847MQ1 2026: $881MQ2 2026: $912MQ3 2026: $948M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$947.6M+17%
Q2 2026$911.7M+20%
Q1 2026$881M+23%
Q4 2025$846.7M+20%
Q3 2025$809.5M+21%
Q2 2025$760.9M+19%
Q1 2025$714.1M+16%
Q4 2024$703.2M+21%

HUBS has the edge over AAPL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AAPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.9B-2.4%
Q2 2026$31.9B+31%
Q1 2026$26.7B+28%
Q4 2025$51.6B+91%
Q3 2025$26.5B+11%
Q2 2025$24.4B-8.6%
Q1 2025$20.9B+0.9%
Q4 2024$27B-28%

AAPL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $136B over the past year, up 38% from the year before.

HUBS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $96MQ1 2024: $121MQ2 2024: $110MQ3 2024: $148MQ4 2024: $181MQ1 2025: $148MQ2 2025: $148MQ3 2025: $177MQ4 2025: $234MQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $203MQ3 2026: $222M
Q4 2023: $96MQ1 2024: $121MQ2 2024: $110MQ3 2024: $148MQ4 2024: $181MQ1 2025: $148MQ2 2025: $148MQ3 2025: $177MQ4 2025: $234MQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $203MQ3 2026: $222M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$222M+25%
Q2 2026$203.1M+37%
Q1 2026$183.4M+24%
Q4 2025$234M+29%
Q3 2025$177M+19%
Q2 2025$148.3M+35%
Q1 2025$148.2M+22%
Q4 2024$181.4M+90%

HUBS has the edge over AAPL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5.6M shares
1 year-1.9%-284M shares
3 years-6.9%-1.1B shares
5 years-13%-2.1B shares
Available history-17%-3.1B shares

AAPL has 14.7B diluted shares, down 1.9% from a year ago, with $86.4B in buybacks over the past year.

HUBS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 50MQ1 2024: 51MQ2 2024: 51MQ3 2024: 52MQ4 2024: 52MQ1 2025: 52MQ2 2025: 53MQ3 2025: 53MQ4 2025: 53MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 50M
Q4 2023: 50MQ1 2024: 51MQ2 2024: 51MQ3 2024: 52MQ4 2024: 52MQ1 2025: 52MQ2 2025: 53MQ3 2025: 53MQ4 2025: 53MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 50M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.1%-1.1M shares
1 year-6%-3.1M shares
3 years-1%-516K shares
5 years+5.3%+2.5M shares
Available history+18%+7.5M shares

HUBS has the edge over AAPL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

HUBS Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -1,561.9xQ1 2026: -5.9xQ2 2026: -4.2xQ3 2026: -3.9x
Q1 2025: -1,561.9xQ1 2026: -5.9xQ2 2026: -4.2xQ3 2026: -3.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-5.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1,561.9xNet Cash

HUBS has the edge over AAPL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AAPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic85.0Overbought

AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

HUBS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.4Neutral
Stochastic36.2Neutral

HUBS's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 36 (neutral).

AAPL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAAPLSector medianRelative
PE40x28x42% above
PE %963561 pts above

AAPL has the edge over HUBS on valuation relative to its sector.

HUBS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricHUBSSector medianRelative
PE52x28x85% above
PE %23533 pts below

HUBS is trading at 52x earnings, a 85% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$343.13.4% above
20 week MA$329.07.9% above
50 week MA$295.620% above
100 week MA$262.435% above
200 week MA$226.357% above

AAPL has the edge over HUBS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HUBS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$226.24.6% below
20 week MA$225.04.1% below
50 week MA$248.813% below
100 week MA$408.547% below
200 week MA$468.054% below

HUBS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 54% below its 200-week average.

AAPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.5$132.0+82%
2021$132.0$176.3+34%
2022$176.3$131.9-25%
2023$131.9$192.5+46%
2024$192.5$255.6+33%
2025$255.6$273.4+7%
2026 YTD$273.4$354.9+30%

AAPL has the edge over HUBS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

HUBS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$158.3$414.8+162%
2021$414.8$675.0+63%
2022$675.0$281.2-58%
2023$281.2$580.5+106%
2024$580.5$708.2+22%
2025$708.2$398.2-44%
2026 YTD$398.2$215.8-46%

HUBS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +162% in 2020 to −58% in 2022. It's down 46% so far in 2026.

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