AAPL
Apple Inc.
AAPL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
GWRE
Guidewire Software, Inc.
GWRE has the edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
AAPL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
GWRE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
GWRE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
AAPL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 26x | $230 | -35% |
| Fair | 31x | $279 | -21% |
| Expensive | 37x | $328 | -7.5% |
| Forward | 38x | $355 | — |
| Current | 40x | $355 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.
GWRE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 35x | $160 | — |
| Cheap | 73x | $118 | -26% |
| Current | 98x | $160 | — |
| Fair | 171x | $278 | +74% |
| Expensive | 528x | $861 | +438% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GWRE has the edge over AAPL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
AAPL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.
GWRE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
GWRE has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.
AAPL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.28 | +3.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.98 | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.71 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.26 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.90 | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.46 | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.59 | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.42 | -0.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.30 | -2% |
AAPL earned $8.98 per share over the past year, up 20% from the year before.
GWRE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.56 | +180% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.63 | +101% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.86 | +354% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.21 | +$2.41 |
| Q4 2025 | $1.06 | +186% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.81 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.41 | +$0.55 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.20 | +$0.43 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.37 | +$1.23 |
GWRE has the edge over AAPL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAPL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $114.5B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $109.4B | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $111.2B | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $143.8B | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $102.5B | +7.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $94B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $95.4B | +5.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $124.3B | +4% |
AAPL's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $114B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 31% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 33% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 35% | +0.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 30% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 34% | +0.7 points |
AAPL has the edge over GWRE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
GWRE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $411.1M | +15% |
| Q2 2026 | $372.5M | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $359.1M | +24% |
| Q4 2025 | $332.6M | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $356.6M | +22% |
| Q2 2025 | $293.5M | +22% |
| Q1 2025 | $289.5M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $262.9M | +27% |
GWRE has the edge over AAPL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +6.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 8.2% | +6.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 11% | +6.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.5% | +7.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 8.3% | +4.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1.5% | +8.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4% | +9.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8% | +15 points |
GWRE's operating margin was 15% last quarter, up 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
AAPL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25.9B | -2.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.9B | +31% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.7B | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | $51.6B | +91% |
| Q3 2025 | $26.5B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $24.4B | -8.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.9B | +0.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $27B | -28% |
AAPL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $136B over the past year, up 38% from the year before.
GWRE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $281.8M | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $59.4M | +88% |
| Q1 2026 | $108.8M | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | -$72.3M | -$9.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $241.4M | +26% |
| Q2 2025 | $31.6M | +667% |
| Q1 2025 | $85.2M | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | -$63.1M | +$9.9M |
GWRE has the edge over AAPL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAPL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +5.6M shares |
| 1 year | -1.9% | -284M shares |
| 3 years | -6.9% | -1.1B shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -2.1B shares |
| Available history | -17% | -3.1B shares |
AAPL has the edge over GWRE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.3B |
| Q2 2026 | $25.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $12.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $24.7B |
| Q3 2025 | $20.1B |
| Q2 2025 | $21.1B |
| Q1 2025 | $25.9B |
| Q4 2024 | $23.6B |
AAPL spent $86.4B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 4.8% from the year before.
GWRE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +339K shares |
| 1 year | -0.6% | -506K shares |
| 3 years | +3.9% | +3.2M shares |
| 5 years | +2.2% | +1.8M shares |
| Available history | +3.7% | +3M shares |
GWRE has 85M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $213.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $244.3M |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | $47.8M |
| Q2 2023 | $14M |
AAPL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.5x | Very low |
AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
GWRE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -5.6x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -10.8x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -11.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -29.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2021 | 2.7x | Moderate |
GWRE has the edge over AAPL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
AAPL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 85.0 | Overbought |
AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).
GWRE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 50.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 34.1 | Neutral |
GWRE's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).
AAPL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | AAPL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40x | 28x | 42% above |
| PE % | 96 | 35 | 61 pts above |
AAPL has the edge over GWRE on valuation relative to its sector.
GWRE PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | GWRE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 98x | 28x | 252% above |
| PE % | 33 | 35 | 2 pts below |
GWRE is trading at 98x earnings, a 252% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
AAPL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $343.1 | 3.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $329.0 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $295.6 | 20% above |
| 100 week MA | $262.4 | 35% above |
| 200 week MA | $226.3 | 57% above |
AAPL has the edge over GWRE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
GWRE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $163.4 | 2.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $160.3 | 0.2% below |
| 50 week MA | $155.2 | 3.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $184.4 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $148.6 | 7.7% above |
GWRE's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 7.7% above its 200-week average.
AAPL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $72.5 | $132.0 | +82% |
| 2021 | $132.0 | $176.3 | +34% |
| 2022 | $176.3 | $131.9 | -25% |
| 2023 | $131.9 | $192.5 | +46% |
| 2024 | $192.5 | $255.6 | +33% |
| 2025 | $255.6 | $273.4 | +7% |
| 2026 YTD | $273.4 | $354.9 | +30% |
AAPL has the edge over GWRE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
GWRE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $109.0 | $127.2 | +17% |
| 2021 | $127.2 | $113.8 | -11% |
| 2022 | $113.8 | $60.5 | -47% |
| 2023 | $60.5 | $109.0 | +80% |
| 2024 | $109.0 | $171.2 | +57% |
| 2025 | $171.2 | $205.5 | +20% |
| 2026 YTD | $205.5 | $160.0 | -22% |
GWRE has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.