AAPL

Apple Inc.

59
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AAPL has the edge over GDS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

GDS

GDS Holdings Limited

53
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

GDS offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AAPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

GDS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Weak
Weak

GDS's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are weak.

AAPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$230-35%
Fair31x$279-21%
Expensive37x$328-7.5%
Forward38x$355—
Current40x$355—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.

GDS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x53x71x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x53x71x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current9.8x$20.05—
Cheap11x$22.42+12%
Fair21x$43.89+119%
Expensive52x$106+430%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GDS has the edge over AAPL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AAPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.

GDS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

GDS has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

AAPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$416.94
Downside-15%$301.30

Calculated from the latest close: $354.88 on Nov 12.

AAPL trails GDS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GDS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+43%$28.59
Downside-30%$14.11

Calculated from the latest close: $20.05 on Nov 12.

GDS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAPL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.28+3.3%
Q3 2026$8.98+20%
Q2 2026$8.71+32%
Q1 2026$8.26+29%
Q4 2025$7.90+25%
Q3 2025$7.46+23%
Q2 2025$6.59+0.2%
Q1 2025$6.42-0.3%
Q4 2024$6.30-2%

AAPL has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 20% for AAPL versus GDS down 40%.

GDS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.10Q4 2023: $-3.54Q1 2024: $-3.43Q2 2024: $-3.43Q3 2024: $-3.24Q4 2025: $0.52Q1 2026: $1.54Q2 2026: $2.05
Q3 2023: $-1.10Q4 2023: $-3.54Q1 2024: $-3.43Q2 2024: $-3.43Q3 2024: $-3.24Q4 2025: $0.52Q1 2026: $1.54Q2 2026: $2.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2024-$3.24-$2.14
Q2 2024-$3.43-$2.40
Q1 2024-$3.43-$2.27
Q4 2023-$3.54-$2.30
Q3 2023-$1.10+$0.27
Q2 2023-$1.03+$0.33
Q1 2023-$1.16+$0.14
Q4 2022-$1.24-$0.16

GDS has returned to profit: it earned $2.05 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

AAPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$114.5B+12%
Q2 2026$109.4B+16%
Q1 2026$111.2B+17%
Q4 2025$143.8B+16%
Q3 2025$102.5B+7.9%
Q2 2025$94B+9.6%
Q1 2025$95.4B+5.1%
Q4 2024$124.3B+4%

AAPL has the edge over GDS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GDS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $378MQ4 2023: $384MQ1 2024: $394MQ2 2024: $424MQ3 2024: $393MQ4 2024: $286MQ1 2025: $409MQ2 2025: $435MQ3 2025: $433MQ4 2025: $438MQ1 2026: $505MQ2 2026: $462M
Q3 2023: $378MQ4 2023: $384MQ1 2024: $394MQ2 2024: $424MQ3 2024: $393MQ4 2024: $286MQ1 2025: $409MQ2 2025: $435MQ3 2025: $433MQ4 2025: $438MQ1 2026: $505MQ2 2026: $462M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$462.1M+6.2%
Q1 2026$505.3M+24%
Q4 2025$438.5M+54%
Q3 2025$433.3M+10%
Q2 2025$435.2M+2.6%
Q1 2025$408.7M+3.6%
Q4 2024$285.5M-26%
Q3 2024$393.1M+4%

GDS's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $462M last quarter, up 6.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.9B-2.4%
Q2 2026$31.9B+31%
Q1 2026$26.7B+28%
Q4 2025$51.6B+91%
Q3 2025$26.5B+11%
Q2 2025$24.4B-8.6%
Q1 2025$20.9B+0.9%
Q4 2024$27B-28%

AAPL has the edge over GDS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GDS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$145MQ4 2023: −$55MQ1 2024: −$160MQ2 2024: −$226MQ3 2024: −$22MQ4 2024: $625MQ1 2025: −$34MQ2 2025: −$54MQ3 2025: −$103MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$48MQ2 2026: $24M
Q3 2023: −$145MQ4 2023: −$55MQ1 2024: −$160MQ2 2024: −$226MQ3 2024: −$22MQ4 2024: $625MQ1 2025: −$34MQ2 2025: −$54MQ3 2025: −$103MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$48MQ2 2026: $24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$24.3M+$78.4M
Q1 2026-$48.4M-$14M
Q4 2025-$2M-100%
Q3 2025-$102.8M-$80.8M
Q2 2025-$54.1M+$172M
Q1 2025-$34.4M+$125.9M
Q4 2024$625.5M+$680.8M
Q3 2024-$22M+$123.3M

GDS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$129M over the past year, against $515M the year before.

AAPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5.6M shares
1 year-1.9%-284M shares
3 years-6.9%-1.1B shares
5 years-13%-2.1B shares
Available history-17%-3.1B shares

AAPL has the edge over GDS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GDS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 184MQ4 2023: 184MQ1 2024: 184MQ2 2024: 184MQ3 2024: 184MQ1 2025: 225MQ2 2025: 225MQ3 2025: 248MQ4 2025: 194MQ1 2026: 254MQ2 2026: 259M
Q3 2023: 184MQ4 2023: 184MQ1 2024: 184MQ2 2024: 184MQ3 2024: 184MQ1 2025: 225MQ2 2025: 225MQ3 2025: 248MQ4 2025: 194MQ1 2026: 254MQ2 2026: 259M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+5.5M shares
1 year+15%+34.8M shares
3 years+41%+76.1M shares
5 years+44%+78.8M shares

GDS has 259M diluted shares, up 15% from a year ago.

AAPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

AAPL has the edge over GDS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GDS Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 9.8xQ4 2023: 26.9xQ1 2024: 29.5xQ2 2024: 27.1xQ3 2024: 25.7xQ4 2024: 8.0xQ1 2025: 6.3xQ2 2025: 5.9xQ3 2025: 4.6xQ4 2025: 5.5xQ1 2026: 5.7xQ2 2026: 5.8x
Q3 2023: 9.8xQ4 2023: 26.9xQ1 2024: 29.5xQ2 2024: 27.1xQ3 2024: 25.7xQ4 2024: 8.0xQ1 2025: 6.3xQ2 2025: 5.9xQ3 2025: 4.6xQ4 2025: 5.5xQ1 2026: 5.7xQ2 2026: 5.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20265.8xHigh
Q1 20265.7xHigh
Q4 20255.5xHigh
Q3 20254.6xHigh
Q2 20255.9xHigh
Q1 20256.3xHigh
Q4 20248.0xHigh
Q3 202425.7xHigh

GDS's net debt is about 5.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.9 years a year ago.

AAPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic85.0Overbought

AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

GDS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.5Neutral
Stochastic7.0Oversold

GDS's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

AAPL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAAPLSector medianRelative
PE40x28x42% above
PE %963561 pts above

AAPL is trading at 40x earnings, a 42% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

GDS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricGDSSector medianRelative
PE9.8x28x65% below
PE %03535 pts below

GDS has the edge over AAPL on valuation relative to its sector.

AAPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$343.13.4% above
20 week MA$329.07.9% above
50 week MA$295.620% above
100 week MA$262.435% above
200 week MA$226.357% above

AAPL has the edge over GDS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GDS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$25.120% below
20 week MA$29.332% below
50 week MA$35.644% below
100 week MA$33.139% below
200 week MA$23.013% below

GDS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 13% below its 200-week average.

AAPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.5$132.0+82%
2021$132.0$176.3+34%
2022$176.3$131.9-25%
2023$131.9$192.5+46%
2024$192.5$255.6+33%
2025$255.6$273.4+7%
2026 YTD$273.4$354.9+30%

AAPL has the edge over GDS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GDS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.7$91.3+77%
2021$91.3$47.1-48%
2022$47.1$19.4-59%
2023$19.4$9.12-53%
2024$9.12$22.3+144%
2025$22.3$35.4+59%
2026 YTD$35.4$20.1-43%

GDS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +144% in 2024 to −59% in 2022. It's down 43% so far in 2026.

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