AAPL
Apple Inc.
AAPL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
GDEV
GDEV Inc.
GDEV has the edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
AAPL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
GDEV Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
GDEV's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, but its revenue is under pressure.
AAPL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 26x | $230 | -35% |
| Fair | 31x | $279 | -21% |
| Expensive | 37x | $328 | -7.5% |
| Forward | 38x | $355 | — |
| Current | 40x | $355 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.
GDEV PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 2x | $8.34 | — |
| Cheap | 4.2x | $17.31 | +107% |
| Fair | 8.8x | $36.22 | +334% |
| Expensive | 12x | $51.03 | +512% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GDEV has the edge over AAPL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
AAPL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.
GDEV Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for GDEV to show an outlook.
AAPL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.28 | +3.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.98 | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.71 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.26 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.90 | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.46 | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.59 | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.42 | -0.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.30 | -2% |
AAPL earned $8.98 per share over the past year, up 20% from the year before.
GDEV Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.11 | +75% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.93 | +74% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.78 | +215% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.88 | +52% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.35 | +2.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.26 | -10% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.20 | -50% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.89 | +$5.13 |
GDEV earned $4.11 per share over the past year, up 75% from the year before.
AAPL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $114.5B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $109.4B | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $111.2B | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $143.8B | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $102.5B | +7.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $94B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $95.4B | +5.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $124.3B | +4% |
AAPL has the edge over GDEV on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 31% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 33% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 35% | +0.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 30% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 34% | +0.7 points |
AAPL has the edge over GDEV on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
GDEV Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $93.6M | -22% |
| Q1 2026 | $99M | +2% |
| Q4 2025 | $90M | -7.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $97.6M | -12% |
| Q2 2025 | $119.9M | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $97M | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $97.5M | -11% |
| Q3 2024 | $110.7M | -8.8% |
GDEV's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $94M last quarter, down 22% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +6.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +4.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | +1.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 26% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | 16% | +1.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 14% | +14 points |
| Q4 2024 | 13% | +5.3 points |
| Q3 2024 | 13% | -11 points |
GDEV's operating margin was 22% last quarter, up 6.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AAPL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25.9B | -2.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.9B | +31% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.7B | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | $51.6B | +91% |
| Q3 2025 | $26.5B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $24.4B | -8.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.9B | +0.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $27B | -28% |
AAPL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $136B over the past year, up 38% from the year before.
GDEV Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $7.4M | +$17.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $7.4M | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.3M | +319% |
| Q3 2025 | $15.1M | +28% |
| Q2 2025 | -$9.9M | -186% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.4M | +1654% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.8M | -50% |
| Q3 2024 | $11.8M | +46% |
GDEV has the edge over AAPL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAPL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +5.6M shares |
| 1 year | -1.9% | -284M shares |
| 3 years | -6.9% | -1.1B shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -2.1B shares |
| Available history | -17% | -3.1B shares |
AAPL has the edge over GDEV on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.3B |
| Q2 2026 | $25.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $12.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $24.7B |
| Q3 2025 | $20.1B |
| Q2 2025 | $21.1B |
| Q1 2025 | $25.9B |
| Q4 2024 | $23.6B |
AAPL spent $86.4B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 4.8% from the year before.
GDEV Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.9% | +343K shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -47.8K shares |
| 3 years | -2.3% | -433K shares |
| 5 years | -6% | -1.2M shares |
| Available history | -6% | -1.2M shares |
GDEV has 18M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
GDEV hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
AAPL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.5x | Very low |
AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
GDEV Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
GDEV has the edge over AAPL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
AAPL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 85.0 | Overbought |
AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).
GDEV Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 2.5 | Oversold |
GDEV's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).
AAPL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | AAPL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40x | 28x | 42% above |
| PE % | 96 | 35 | 61 pts above |
AAPL is trading at 40x earnings, a 42% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
GDEV PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | GDEV | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 2x | 28x | 93% below |
| PE % | 0 | 38 | 38 pts below |
GDEV has the edge over AAPL on valuation relative to its sector.
AAPL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $343.1 | 3.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $329.0 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $295.6 | 20% above |
| 100 week MA | $262.4 | 35% above |
| 200 week MA | $226.3 | 57% above |
AAPL has the edge over GDEV on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
GDEV Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.95 | 16% below |
| 20 week MA | $11.1 | 25% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.7 | 39% below |
| 100 week MA | $15.6 | 47% below |
| 200 week MA | $26.5 | 69% below |
GDEV is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 69% below its 200-week average.
AAPL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $72.5 | $132.0 | +82% |
| 2021 | $132.0 | $176.3 | +34% |
| 2022 | $176.3 | $131.9 | -25% |
| 2023 | $131.9 | $192.5 | +46% |
| 2024 | $192.5 | $255.6 | +33% |
| 2025 | $255.6 | $273.4 | +7% |
| 2026 YTD | $273.4 | $354.9 | +30% |
AAPL has the edge over GDEV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
GDEV Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $97.0 | $101.3 | +4.4% |
| 2021 | $101.3 | $80.1 | -21% |
| 2022 | $80.1 | $63.8 | -20% |
| 2023 | $63.8 | $22.1 | -65% |
| 2024 | $22.1 | $19.1 | -14% |
| 2025 | $19.1 | $16.0 | -16% |
| 2026 YTD | $16.0 | $8.34 | -48% |
GDEV has finished five years in a row lower, and it's down 48% so far in 2026.