AAPL

Apple Inc.

59
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AAPL offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

EXLS

ExlService Holdings, Inc.

71
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

EXLS has the edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

AAPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

EXLS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

EXLS's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AAPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$230-35%
Fair31x$279-21%
Expensive37x$328-7.5%
Forward38x$355—
Current40x$355—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.

EXLS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$43.10—
Current26x$43.10—
Cheap27x$45.36+5.2%
Fair34x$56.95+32%
Expensive41x$68.45+59%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EXLS has the edge over AAPL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AAPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.

EXLS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

EXLS has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.

AAPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$416.94
Downside-15%$301.30

Calculated from the latest close: $354.88 on Nov 12.

AAPL trails EXLS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

EXLS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$53.06
Downside-15%$36.68

Calculated from the latest close: $43.10 on Nov 12.

EXLS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAPL, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

AAPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.28+3.3%
Q3 2026$8.98+20%
Q2 2026$8.71+32%
Q1 2026$8.26+29%
Q4 2025$7.90+25%
Q3 2025$7.46+23%
Q2 2025$6.59+0.2%
Q1 2025$6.42-0.3%
Q4 2024$6.30-2%

AAPL earned $8.98 per share over the past year, up 20% from the year before.

EXLS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.10Q1 2024: $1.09Q2 2024: $1.08Q3 2024: $1.15Q4 2024: $1.21Q1 2025: $1.32Q2 2025: $1.44Q3 2025: $1.47Q4 2025: $1.54Q1 2026: $1.57Q2 2026: $1.59Q3 2026: $1.68Forward: $2.54
Q4 2023: $1.10Q1 2024: $1.09Q2 2024: $1.08Q3 2024: $1.15Q4 2024: $1.21Q1 2025: $1.32Q2 2025: $1.44Q3 2025: $1.47Q4 2025: $1.54Q1 2026: $1.57Q2 2026: $1.59Q3 2026: $1.68Forward: $2.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.54+51%
Q3 2026$1.68+14%
Q2 2026$1.59+10%
Q1 2026$1.57+19%
Q4 2025$1.54+27%
Q3 2025$1.47+28%
Q2 2025$1.44+33%
Q1 2025$1.32+21%
Q4 2024$1.21+10%

EXLS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $1.68 over the past year, up 14% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2020.

AAPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$114.5B+12%
Q2 2026$109.4B+16%
Q1 2026$111.2B+17%
Q4 2025$143.8B+16%
Q3 2025$102.5B+7.9%
Q2 2025$94B+9.6%
Q1 2025$95.4B+5.1%
Q4 2024$124.3B+4%

AAPL's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $114B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

EXLS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $414MQ1 2024: $437MQ2 2024: $448MQ3 2024: $472MQ4 2024: $481MQ1 2025: $501MQ2 2025: $514MQ3 2025: $530MQ4 2025: $543MQ1 2026: $570MQ2 2026: $595MQ3 2026: $634M
Q4 2023: $414MQ1 2024: $437MQ2 2024: $448MQ3 2024: $472MQ4 2024: $481MQ1 2025: $501MQ2 2025: $514MQ3 2025: $530MQ4 2025: $543MQ1 2026: $570MQ2 2026: $595MQ3 2026: $634M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$634M+20%
Q2 2026$594.8M+16%
Q1 2026$570.4M+14%
Q4 2025$542.6M+13%
Q3 2025$529.6M+12%
Q2 2025$514.5M+15%
Q1 2025$501M+15%
Q4 2024$481.4M+16%

EXLS has the edge over AAPL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AAPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.9B-2.4%
Q2 2026$31.9B+31%
Q1 2026$26.7B+28%
Q4 2025$51.6B+91%
Q3 2025$26.5B+11%
Q2 2025$24.4B-8.6%
Q1 2025$20.9B+0.9%
Q4 2024$27B-28%

AAPL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $136B over the past year, up 38% from the year before.

EXLS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $67MQ1 2024: −$33MQ2 2024: $63MQ3 2024: $97MQ4 2024: $95MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: $95MQ3 2025: $106MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: $73MQ3 2026: $103M
Q4 2023: $67MQ1 2024: −$33MQ2 2024: $63MQ3 2024: $97MQ4 2024: $95MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: $95MQ3 2025: $106MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: $73MQ3 2026: $103M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$102.5M-3.6%
Q2 2026$73.4M-23%
Q1 2026-$11.2M-$1.5M
Q4 2025$106.5M+12%
Q3 2025$106.4M+9.3%
Q2 2025$95M+51%
Q1 2025-$9.7M+$23.4M
Q4 2024$95.3M+41%

EXLS generated $271M in free cash flow over the past year, down 5.5% from the year before.

AAPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5.6M shares
1 year-1.9%-284M shares
3 years-6.9%-1.1B shares
5 years-13%-2.1B shares
Available history-17%-3.1B shares

AAPL has 14.7B diluted shares, down 1.9% from a year ago, with $86.4B in buybacks over the past year.

EXLS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 168MQ1 2024: 167MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 163MQ4 2024: 164MQ1 2025: 165MQ2 2025: 164MQ3 2025: 162MQ4 2025: 162MQ1 2026: 157MQ2 2026: 153MQ3 2026: 153M
Q4 2023: 168MQ1 2024: 167MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 163MQ4 2024: 164MQ1 2025: 165MQ2 2025: 164MQ3 2025: 162MQ4 2025: 162MQ1 2026: 157MQ2 2026: 153MQ3 2026: 153M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-262K shares
1 year-5.7%-9.1M shares
3 years-9%-15.1M shares
5 years-11%-19M shares
Available history-12%-20.9M shares

EXLS has the edge over AAPL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

AAPL has the edge over EXLS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

EXLS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.9xVery low
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

EXLS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

AAPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic85.0Overbought

AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

EXLS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI69.3Neutral
Stochastic89.5Overbought

EXLS's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 90 (overbought).

AAPL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAAPLSector medianRelative
PE40x28x42% above
PE %963561 pts above

AAPL is trading at 40x earnings, a 42% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

EXLS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricEXLSSector medianRelative
PE26x28x7.9% below
PE %123523 pts below

EXLS has the edge over AAPL on valuation relative to its sector.

AAPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$343.13.4% above
20 week MA$329.07.9% above
50 week MA$295.620% above
100 week MA$262.435% above
200 week MA$226.357% above

AAPL is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 57% above its 200-week average.

EXLS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.68.8% above
20 week MA$35.721% above
50 week MA$34.425% above
100 week MA$39.59.2% above
200 week MA$36.020% above

EXLS is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 20% above its 200-week average.

AAPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.5$132.0+82%
2021$132.0$176.3+34%
2022$176.3$131.9-25%
2023$131.9$192.5+46%
2024$192.5$255.6+33%
2025$255.6$273.4+7%
2026 YTD$273.4$354.9+30%

AAPL has the edge over EXLS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

EXLS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.0$17.2+24%
2021$17.2$28.0+62%
2022$28.0$34.5+23%
2023$34.5$30.9-11%
2024$30.9$44.5+44%
2025$44.5$43.3-2.8%
2026 YTD$43.3$43.1-0.5%

EXLS has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's roughly flat so far in 2026.

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